Dylan Larkin
Dylan Larkin
24-Year-Old CenterC
Detroit Red Wings
Out
Injury Undisclosed
Est. Return 4/24/2021
2020 Fantasy Outlook
While Larkin produced just 19 goals and 53 points in 2019-20, he still remains one of the most exciting aspects of an otherwise lackluster Red Wings offense. Larkin had 73 points in 76 outings just one year prior, which shows what the 24-year-old center is capable of when everything goes right. Look for Larkin to settle in somewhere around a 25-goal, 60-point pace given his high shooting volume and quality linemates in Tyler Bertuzzi and Anthony Mantha in 2020-21. Larkin has a high floor as well -- he's a key piece of the Wings' top power play-unit so he'll likely see plenty of prime scoring chances in that role. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a five-year, $30.5 million contract extension with the Red Wings in August of 2018.
Unavailable against Dallas
CDetroit Red Wings
Undisclosed
April 22, 2021
Larkin (undisclosed) won't play Thursday against the Stars.
ANALYSIS
Larkin will undergo additional testing Friday to determine the extent of his injury, and an update on his status is expected to be released Saturday. The Red Wings only have eight games remaining on their schedule, so it wouldn't be surprising to see Larkin get shut down for the season if his injury isn't minor.
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NHL Stats
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2020
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2020 NHL Game Log
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2019 NHL Game Log
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2018 NHL Game Log
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2020–21 Time On Ice Stats
  • Average Time On Ice:
    20:24
  • Average Power Play TOI:
    2:47
  • Average Short-Handed TOI:
    0:19
 
Ice Time
Power Play
Short-Handed
2018–19
21:51
2:27
1:19
2019–20
21:15
3:14
0:45
2020–21
20:24
2:47
0:19
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Red Wings Power Play Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
A consummate professional, Larkin figures to become Detroit's team captain ahead of his 23rd birthday. He's in charge of leading the celebrated Red Wings franchise back to respectability, but anything short of a Stanley Cup win would be considered a major letdown in the eyes of an impassioned leader who plays every game like it's his last. Larkin garnered a five-year, $30.5 million contract with the Wings last August and immediately paid dividends by setting career highs in goals (32) and points (72). Additionally, the trailblazer stepped up on the man advantage, with Larkin converting seven goals and eight helpers to nearly double his previous career best in power-play points. Despite leading his team in penalty minutes (75), Larkin came close to averaging 22 minutes of ice time in his fourth NHL season, and fantasy owners can expect even more improvement from him in 2019-20.
Larkin is already an established top-six contributor for the Red Wings, as evidenced by the fleet-footed pivot securing a five-year, $30.5 million contract extension in August. Known for his rigid work ethic, it wasn't the least bit surprising to see him bounce back from a sophomore slump. Larkin saw close to a three-minute surge in ice time on the way to 16 goals and a career-high 47 assists, plus he successfully transitioned from left wing to center, in his third year. The hometown kid's wheels spin in all three zones and there's no special teams situation that he can't handle, but the Wings have fared no better than 13th on the power play since Larkin first arrived. Until there's improvement in that important team metric, the phenom should be on the outside looking into the elite group of fantasy centers.
The Michigan native acted out the "sophomore slump" narrative in 2016-17, slipping by 12 points compared to his rookie campaign and moving from a team-best plus-11 rating to a hideous minus-28. Larkin’s fifth-place in the Calder Cup voting was met with sky-high expectations, but the Wings were perpetually injured, while the young forward pivoted away from his natural center position at times. He'd finish down the middle, gelling with fellow speedster Andreas Athanasiou to produce a point in five of the season’s final six contests. Larkin set a record for fastest skater in the 2016 NHL All-Star Skills competition, but he's still figuring out the best way to harness that speed in a way that benefits his linemates. While it may be true that Larkin is at his offensive best when he's the one carrying the puck, he posted the worst faceoff winning percentage among Detroit centers who took at least 100 draws last year -- unless he improves in that area, another switch to left wing can't be ruled out. Still, the 21-year-old is mature beyond his years and universally admired for his self-discipline. His next obstacle is to consistently skate in the top six, but the power-play role will stick, and we'd hedge on a significant bounceback season for Larkin.
With his breakneck speed and nose for the net, Larkin tallied 23 goals on 221 shots with a plus-11 rating as a rookie last season, securing team highs in each of those categories. Even so, the hometown boy isn’t the type who will rest on his laurels. Now that Pavel Datsyuk – a surefire Hall of Famer – has jettisoned for Russia, it will be up to young guns like Larkin to carry more of the weight offensively. Specifically, the power play could use a massive boost. Larkin averaged 2:14 of ice time on the man advantage in 2015-16, but only had five power-play tallies, which barely made up 11 percent of his point total. Although the 20-year-old is too popular to qualify as a sleeper pick, you won’t want to overlook Larkin in fantasy drafts, as he’s mature beyond his years and figures to see his usage spike a great deal compared to the 16:33 of ice time he averaged last year.
The Red Wings' 2014 first-round draft pick, Larkin shined at the University of Michigan in 2014-15, piling up 15 goals and 47 points in 35 games. If the performance against NCAA competition didn't already have his value on the rise, the 19-year-old surely turned some more heads with his dominant showing at the World Junior Championships, where he scored five times in five games. The 6-foot-1 forward is just one of several young, offensively advanced talents coming through the Detroit pipeline, and he's expected to continue his excellence at AHL Grand Rapids to open the upcoming season. Larkin possesses the size and hockey intelligence to eventually make an impact at the NHL level, perhaps as soon as the second half of this season if the Red Wings determine he's an upgrade over their existing second- or third-line options. He'll remain a staple of most prospects lists until he debuts with the Red Wings.
Looking for the next Ryan O’Reilly? You might just find him in Larkin. This guy is fast and super smart, and he just oozes leadership. Scouts aren’t sold on his offensive ceiling, but it’s hard to know where he’ll top out. Right now, he looks to pass first, second and third. But he has a good shot with a quick release. He already carries himself like a pro (read: chill and low maintenance) and he’ll be headed to the University of Michigan in the fall to learn from hockey legend Red Berenson. Wait on him in dynasty formats. But keep his name tucked away, as he could be a valuable, top-six fantasy contributor in a handful of seasons.
More Fantasy News
Injured late Tuesday
CDetroit Red Wings
Undisclosed
April 20, 2021
Larkin (undisclosed) was injured late in the third period of Tuesday's 5-2 loss to the Stars, Helene St. James of the Detroit Free Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scores early in shootout win
CDetroit Red Wings
April 10, 2021
Larkin registered a goal on three shots and added two hits in Saturday's 5-4 shootout victory over the Hurricanes.
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Holds himself accountable
CDetroit Red Wings
March 31, 2021
Larkin managed an assist in Tuesday's 4-1 loss to the Panthers, but he skated to a minus-2 rating and shouldered the blame for the unfavorable outcome. "I had the puck on my stick twice and gave it to them and it's in the back of our net," Larkin said in a report by Ansar Khan of MLive.com. "That's on me. I take a lot of responsibility for that. That's not the way we have to play, not the way we were playing and it's not acceptable."
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Two helpers in Saturday's win
CDetroit Red Wings
March 27, 2021
Larkin picked up two assists in Saturday's 3-1 win over the Blue Jackets.
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Supplies assist in win
CDetroit Red Wings
March 18, 2021
Larkin recorded an assist and two shots on goal in Thursday's 3-2 win over the Stars.
ANALYSIS
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