This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
Week 1 was okay for me - just 7-8-1 overall, but I won my best bet (Bengals) and went 4-1 in the Supercontest (wins: Bengals, Ravens, Panthers, Chiefs; loss: Saints.) I can't get too worried about the coin-flip games, though I do have to keep picking them.
Once again, I set my own lines ahead of time this week, and hewed to my initial inclinations, except for one or two.
Teams I like best are the Bengals, Steelers, Jaguars and Giants. As usual, I'll add the Supercontest picks in the comments.
Ravens -1 at Bengals
I know the Ravens crushed the Bills, but this is an easy call for me, as I think these are roughly equal teams, and the Bengals are getting a point at home. Take Cincinnati.
Bengals 20 - 16
Colts +5.5 at Redskins
I made this line 4.5, so I guess I'm on the Colts, even though excluding the QBs, the Redskins have a far better team, and Alex Smith isn't bad, either. The Colts are better coached than in recent years, and I expect them to be competitive. Take the points.
Redskins 27 - 23
Panthers + 5.5 at Falcons
These are two of the more banged-up teams with the Falcons losing two key defensive starters (Keanu Neal and Deion Jones) and the Panthers losing Greg Olsen, having Luke Kuechly questionable and already with injuries to the offensive line. In the end, this line strikes me as a