This article is part of our Draft Kit series.
Betting on the National Champion before the college basketball season starts is hard. I looked at last year's article, and I said not to take Baylor at +800 because it was a favorite and the odds were too small. Maybe I was correct in theory, but the bet was clearly a miss.
Fortunately, I at least made sense on some of my conference picks, as Villanova and Virginia hit with plus odds to win the Big East and ACC, respectively. I even pointed out Baylor at +185 to win the Big 12, though I also said I didn't like betting against Kansas.
Either way, I'll probably focus on conference bets more than anything, since those odds at least make sense. If you think about it, how can you bet Baylor +800 to win the National Championship when they were +185 to win their conference? Given the unpredictability of the tournament, the value isn't there.
I don't often bet on Duke since its odds are usually juiced due to name, but at +1500 and higher at some places, there is some value. The main thing is that Paolo Banchero is starting to receive Zion Williamson-like buzz, and he could be the No. 1 pick in next year's NBA Draft. Throw in improvement from Jeremy Roach, Wendell Moore and Mark Williams, and the pieces are there for the Blue Devils to win it all in Mike Krzyzewski's final season.
I also think Kansas +2000 is worth a look