FanDuel NBA: Wednesday Value Plays

FanDuel NBA: Wednesday Value Plays

This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.

We've got nine games for Wednesday's slate, with a 7:00 p.m. ET start time. Let's look at the odds and totals to begin our analysis.

SLATE OVERVIEW

WAS (-7.5) vs. ORL O/U: 217.5

BOS (-3.5) @ IND O/U: 210.5

PHI (-5.5) vs. CHA O/U: 226.5

ATL (-3.5) vs. MIA O/U: 223.5

DAL (-2) @ NYK O/U: 207.5

SAS (-5.5) vs. HOU O/U: 231.5

UTA (-6.5) vs. CLE O/U: 221.5

CHI (-1) vs. BKN O/U: 227.5

LAL (-2.5) @ SAC O/U: 230.5

Back-to-back games: Magic, Wizards, Bulls

As you'll find in our recommendations, the Spurs are very popular tonight due to value pivots, a weak opponent, and a respectable total prediction. Lower potential outcomes leave us very light on the Pacers, Knicks, Mavericks and Celtics tonight.

INJURIES

ORL Wendell Carter (hamstring) - QUESTIONABLE

ORL Mo Bamba (toe) - QUESTIONABLE

If Carter and/or Bamba can't make it, Chuma Okeke ($5,500) and Robin Lopez ($4,900) will see a boost in production.

WAS Bradley Beal (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

With Beal out, the Wizards will turn to Corey Kispert ($3.500) as the starter at the two. He recorded 13 points, five rebounds and three assists in relief of Beal Tuesday.

BOS Marcus Smart (thigh) - DOUBTFUL

Dennis Schroder ($5,300) is your best pivot in Smart's absence.

IND Caris LeVert (conditioning) - QUESTIONABLE

IND Malcolm Brogdon (Achilles) QUESTIONABLE

LeVert's return is slightly more likely than Brogdon's, but Duane Washington ($4,100) and Lance Stephenson ($6,400) are your top pivot candidates if both guards remain out.

CHA Kelly Oubre (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

Cody Martin ($4,300) is my favorite pivot in this spot.

PHI Seth Curry (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE

PHI Shake Milton (back) - OUT

Regardless of Curry's status, the return of Tyrese Maxey ($6,200) represents a great spot against the Hornets, as his absence sent his salary down.

MIA Jimmy Butler (back) - OUT

MIA Bam Adebayo (thumb) - OUT

MIA Dewayne Dedmon (knee) - QUESTIONABLE

Not much is new here, but you'll see more of Omer Yurtseven ($6,800) if Dedmon is compromised. You'll see appearances from other Miami players later in the article.

ATL Clint Capela (ankle) - DOUBTFUL

ATL Cam Reddish (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE

Onyeka Okongwu ($3,900) will start in Capela's absence, and if Reddish misses, give Bogdan Bogdanovic ($6,000) a bit more love. John Collins ($8,100) also usually sees a boost in a Capela absence.

DAL Kristaps Porzingis (COVID-18 Protocols) - OUT

Maxi Kleber ($5,600) is your clear pivot when Porzingis is absent. 

NYK Kemba Walker (knee) - QUESTIONABLE

NYK Nerlens Noel (conditioning) - QUESTIONABLE

If Walker is sidelined, things will look suitable for Alec Burks ($5,800) and Evan Fournier ($5,600).

SAS Derrick White (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

SAS Keldon Johnson (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

SAS Devin Vassell (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

We'll mention an obvious pivot in a bit but look to Lonnie Walker ($4,800)  and Joshua Primo ($3,800) during these absences.

UTA Rudy Gobert (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

UTA Rudy Gay (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT

UTA Joe Ingles (conditioning) - QUESTIONABLE

Hassan Whiteside ($7,000) and Royce O'Neale ($5,500) are my favorite pivots here.

BKN James Harden (knee) - QUESTIONABLE

BKN Kyrie Irving (ankle) - QUESTIONABLE

BKN LaMarcus Aldridge (foot) - OUT

BKN Nicolas Claxton (hamstring) - QUESTIONABLE

We've got significant issues with the Nets, but if you want to take some late-swap chances, I will seal up Kevin Durant or an elite Chicago player and pivot as Harden and Irving's status become clearer. Either way, you can expect output from Day'Ron Sharpe ($3,500) in Aldridge's absence.

Walker and Okongwu represent two of my favorite picks of the evening.

ELITE PLAYERS 

I will have LeBron James ($11,300) all over my lineups tonight against the Kings, and the probable tag doesn't bother me one bit. Joel Embiid ($10,900) is also bound to keep the ball rolling with another 31 points (or more) against Charlotte, but we have a lot of value available at center, and we might need to go another way to get the best deal. Dejounte Murray ($10,200) is also in a pretty obvious spot with many productive players absent for the Spurs. 

LaMelo Ball ($8,400) will have his work cut out for him against the Sixers, but he's still too good to pass up at this depressed salary point. I like multiple Chicago players against the potentially depleted Bulls backcourt, with DeMar DeRozan ($8,300) and Zach LaVine ($7,400) earning the highest marks in that spot.

Also consider: Donovan Mitchell, UTA ($8,500) vs. CLE, Russell Westbrook, LAL ($8,500) @ SAC

EXPECTED CHALK AND CORE TARGETS 

Cole Anthony, ORL ($7,400) @ WAS 

There's a chance that Carter will play, and Franz Wagner is a top producer, but when Anthony is healthy, he is the glue that holds this offense together. He'll have an excellent shot at leading his team with the top stat line tonight. He's averaged 19.0 points, 6.3 rebounds and 5.0 assists since his return to action three games ago.

Tyler Herro ($6,500) and Kyle Lowry ($7,200), MIA @ ATL

As per usual, in a Butler absence, Lowry and Herro will strive to keep the Heat competitive against their opponent. The Hawks could present some problems, but you can expect reliable floors from both players and upside potential to pop if they are draining shots early.

Spencer Dinwiddie, WAS ($7,100) vs. ORL

As one might expect, a lot of Beal's production will be absorbed by Dinwiddie. He did precisely that in the last game without Beal, logging an excellent 22-point,10-assist double-double. If he can keep his shot volume and assist numbers up, he'll be an excellent value on Tuesday's slate.

Also consider: Malik Monk, LAL ($7,000) @ SAC, Christian Wood, HOU ($7,000) @ SAS

VALUE PLAYS 

We've offered some massive value in the injury section, but here are a few plays below the FanDuel median that slipped through the cracks.

Kevin Porter, HOU ($5,900) @ SAS

Some underwhelming games from Porter have sent his salary spiraling downward, and he's now at a point where we need to take advantage. The Lakers will give Barnes more problems than Hield, but both players could smash value at these salaries.

Keita Bates-Diop, SAS ($3,900) vs. HOU

The sharps will find their way to more effective options for the Spurs, but Bates-Diop has great potential at this low salary. Over three starts, he's averaged 7.7 points and 6.0 rebounds, but his average of 30 minutes per game over that span is what really has my attention. The team seems happy with keeping him on the floor in the second half, and although Houston is back to full health, they're still one of the worst defenses in the league. If you want to dig deep for a Spurs punt play, I offer you Devontae Cacok ($3,900), who could find himself with elevated usage in a blowout.

Also consider: Jakob Poeltl, SAS ($6,100) vs. HOU, Caleb Martin, MIA ($5,200) @ ATL

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire.
RotoWire Community
Join Our Subscriber-Only NBA Chat
Chat with our writers and other RotoWire NBA fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
Join The Discussion
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Edgerton
Jeff has provided sports content for numerous sports outlets and has played fantasy sports since scores had to be tabulated via newspaper. He started working with RotoWire in 2017. Originally from South Carolina, he's a lifelong Clemson fan now enjoying the sun in Los Angeles.
Handicapping the NBA: Thursday Picks
Handicapping the NBA: Thursday Picks
NBA Mailbag: Trade Advice, Kawhi's Dynasty Value + Deal or Hold Klay Thompson?
NBA Mailbag: Trade Advice, Kawhi's Dynasty Value + Deal or Hold Klay Thompson?
Around the Association: Ja Dazzles, Hornets Go Off, Cleveland Makes Statement
Around the Association: Ja Dazzles, Hornets Go Off, Cleveland Makes Statement
FanDuel NBA: Thursday Value Plays
FanDuel NBA: Thursday Value Plays
Yahoo DFS Basketball: Thursday Picks
Yahoo DFS Basketball: Thursday Picks
DraftKings NBA: Thursday Cheat Sheet
DraftKings NBA: Thursday Cheat Sheet