Clayton Richard
Clayton Richard
35-Year-Old PitcherSP
Toronto Blue Jays
10-Day IL
Injury Lat
Est. Return 7/28/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Richard was the Padres' Opening Day starter. He struggled out of the gate, posting a 6.21 ERA and 1.73 WHIP over his first seven starts. At that point, Richard went on a run, posting a 3.03 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in his next nine outings. Eventually, he reverted back to being Clayton Richard, finishing with a 7.21 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in his final 11 efforts. His season ended prematurely in late August as he was battling knee inflammation that was revealed to be bothering him all season. Richard underwent surgery on both knees with the expectation he'll be 100 percent by the start of spring training. Now with Toronto following a December trade, Richard is at best a streaming option when the Blue Jays are on the road, and not in Boston or New York. Handle with care. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a two-year, $6 million contract extension with the Padres in September of 2017. Traded to the Blue Jays in December of 2018.
Lands on IL
PToronto Blue Jays
Lat
July 14, 2019
The Blue Jays placed Richard (lat) on the 10-day injured list Sunday, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
Richard's lat injury was labeled merely as tightness when he exited Saturday's start against the Yankees after two innings, but a follow-up MRI revealed that he was dealing with a strain. The grade of the strain hasn't been revealed, making it difficult to gauge how much longer than the 10-day minimum Richard might be sidelined. Edwin Jackson (back) was activated from the IL to fill Richard's spot on the active roster, but Toronto seems likely to delve into its minor-league ranks to replace the lefty when his next turn in the rotation comes up July 18 in Boston.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-33%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .264 400 95 21 95 11 3 4
Since 2017vs Right .297 1341 186 116 357 83 11 48
2019vs Left .212 38 5 3 7 0 0 1
2019vs Right .317 163 17 15 46 11 1 8
2018vs Left .242 145 28 10 31 5 1 2
2018vs Right .269 537 80 50 128 30 4 17
2017vs Left .286 217 62 8 57 6 2 1
2017vs Right .315 641 89 51 183 42 6 23
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-17%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.44 1.39 210.2 10 12 0 6.6 2.6 0.8
Since 2017Away 5.90 1.55 190.2 6 19 0 5.9 3.5 1.6
2019Home 6.35 1.55 28.1 1 2 0 5.1 3.5 1.3
2019Away 5.29 1.59 17.0 0 3 0 3.2 3.7 2.6
2018Home 3.94 1.22 77.2 2 3 0 6.4 2.5 0.6
2018Away 6.67 1.53 81.0 5 8 0 5.9 4.2 1.6
2017Home 4.30 1.47 104.2 7 7 0 7.2 2.5 0.8
2017Away 5.34 1.56 92.2 1 8 0 6.5 2.9 1.5
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Stat Review
How does Clayton Richard compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.22
 
K/9
4.4
 
BB/9
3.6
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
90.4 mph
 
ERA
5.96
 
WHIP
1.57
 
BABIP
.294
 
GB/FB
2.49
 
Left On Base
65.1%
 
Exit Velocity
91.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
9.5%
 
Spin Rate
2207 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
49.4%
 
Swinging Strike
6.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Clayton Richard
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4 days ago
Petco Park and pitching prosperity seem to go hand-in-hand, which is part of the reason Chris Morgan has targeted Julio Teheran for his road start versus the Padres.
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6 days ago
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17 days ago
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18 days ago
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22 days ago
Adam Zdroik lets us know his best winning-lineup suggestions for Tuesday's 15-game slate.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
The pitching-starved Padres sent Richard to the hill every five days, where he recorded a 4.79 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 32 starts, spanning 197.1 innings. The silver lining is Richard's ratios were slightly inflated by a .353 BABIP, unusually high even for a groundball specialist. His 4.23 FIP and 3.76 xFIP are a better reflection of his skills. The veteran lefty features a 91-mph fastball along with a slider and change. A 17.7 percent strikeout rate indicates he doesn't miss many bats, preferring to induce grounders, which he did 59 percent of the time. The Padres must be hopeful Richard pitches more to his expected ERAs as they inked him to a two-year extension in September, with intentions on keeping him in the rotation for at least this season. With Petco Park at his back, Richard is a viable spot starter in mixed leagues with deep benches, but be ready to cut bait if he struggles as there's no upside worth waiting for.
Richard opened 2016 as one of the final members of the Cubs' bullpen, but a variety of minor ailments and poor results over 25 relief appearances led to his removal from the roster in late July. With a pitching staff plagued by injuries throughout the season, the Padres signed Richard in August in their quest to find viable innings eaters down the stretch. Working mostly as a starter in San Diego, Richard churned out a 2.52 ERA despite 5.7 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9, mainly via avoiding extra damage from free passes by keeping the ball on the ground (63.2 percent groundball rate) and stranding baserunners at an elevated rate (79.8 left-on-base percentage). At age 33, Richard inked a one-year, $1.75 million deal to return to the Padres, where he will presumably open the year in the rotation. However, all the indicators are there for him to perform much worse this time around, leaving him as an end-game play in NL-only leagues.
Richard had an odd year, starting nine games for Triple-A Indianapolis before the Pirates sold him to the Cubs, who kept designating him for assignment and then bringing him back. Richard's numbers aren't fantasy worthy - his strikeout rate in particular is embarrassing - but he turned himself into an extreme groundballer in 2015 and had some mild success. His 5.06 GB/FB ratio is nowhere near the figures he's put up throughout his career, but that rate has been steadily increasing over the last several seasons before shooting up last year. Is there room for a veteran pitcher who keeps the ball on the ground, can occasionally spot start, but also isn't too proud to spend time in the minors? Apparently so. That doesn't make him a good fantasy asset though.
Slated to head the Padres' rotation last year, Richard suffered through incompetence and an intestinal virus, before undergoing season-ending surgery in July to relieve discomfort in the acromiovacular joint in his left shoulder. Once the campaign concluded, the Padres outrighted the southpaw, who eventually elected to explore free agency. Organizations may be dubious of Richard, who recorded a 7.01 ERA, 1.633 WHIP, and 24:21 K:BB ratio in 52.2 innings, despite the built in advantage of taking the mound half of the time in the friendly confines of Petco Park. However, he's entering his age-31 season and is one year removed from posting a 54 percent groundball rate, which could translate in another pitcher's park.
Coming off of a 2011 season that was ended prematurely by shoulder surgery, Richard's 2012 season was by most accounts a fine bounceback effort. While he was unable to regain the strikeout rate he had prior to the surgery, he was able to improve his command greatly as he walked fewer than five percent of the batters he faced and improve upon his groundball rate, which was up to almost 54 percent when the 2012 season ended. If those two characteristics of his game carry over to 2013, there is little reason to think that he can't post a sub-4.00 ERA for the fourth consecutive season. Owners who are able to pick and choose his starts would be wise to start him only at home (Petco Park), where he has a career 2.82 ERA over 284 innings pitched.
It's hard to put much stock into Richard's 2011 numbers as he suffered from shoulder issues all season and underwent season-ending surgery in July. His overall numbers weren't exactly terrible, but the significant drops in his K/9IP and K/BB were strong indicators that something was wrong. He is expected to be at 100 percent come the start of spring training and if all goes well, should end up in the Padres' starting rotation next year. Given the rehab and the fact that he wasn't a dominant pitcher to begin with, you should keep your expectations low.
In his first full season as a member of the Padres' rotation, Richard was a useful starter for fantasy owners. He posted a 3.75 ERA, 1.408 WHIP, 1.96 K/BB ratio and 14 wins in more than 200 innings. He improved his strikeout rate to 6.8 K/9IP, but has yet to show the kind of control he had in the minors. Owners capable of streaming him only at home would be wise to do so as he posted much better numbers at Petco Park (3.15 ERA, .227 BAA) than on the road (4.41 ERA, .308 BAA) last season.
Richard's prospect status is based on him walking 2.5 guys per nine innings in the minors, something he hasn't come close to doing in the majors. With a big body and a less-than-impressive fastball, Richard is vaguely reminiscent of Mark Hendrickson, and could well have Hendrickson's career.
The big guy looks like he should throw harder and be more dominant than he is. As it stands, Richard was way too hittable in the majors, and like a bunch of Sox pitching prospects, will have to learn how to get outs with subpar stuff in the majors. One of Richard, Lance Broadway and Jack Egbert will probably have a career, but it's hard to say which.
More Fantasy News
Headed for MRI
PToronto Blue Jays
Lat
July 13, 2019
Richard will undergo an MRI to determine the extent of his left lat injury, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Leaves with lat tightness
PToronto Blue Jays
Lat
July 13, 2019
Richard left Saturday's game against the Yankees with left lat tightness.
ANALYSIS
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Leaves with apparent rib injury
PToronto Blue Jays
Ribs
July 13, 2019
Richard left his start Saturday against the Yankees with an apparent rib injury, Mike Wilner of Sportsnet 590 The Fan reports.
ANALYSIS
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Saddled with fifth defeat
PToronto Blue Jays
July 6, 2019
Richard (1-5) took the loss Saturday against the Orioles, allowing six runs (three earned) on seven hits and one walk across six innings. He struck out two.
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Captures first win
PToronto Blue Jays
July 1, 2019
Richard (1-4) allowed three runs on seven hits with one walk and four strikeouts across six innings to earn a victory against the Royals on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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