Brendan McKay
Brendan McKay
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Tampa Bay Rays
Out
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 3/1/2021
2020 Fantasy Outlook
McKay, the No. 4 overall pick in 2017, had a 1.21 ERA, 0.79 WHIP and 88:15 K:BB in 66.2 innings at Double-A and Triple-A when he got the call for his MLB debut on June 29. He pitched OK in his first three outings, but logged a 7.34 ERA and 1.79 WHIP over his next 30.2 MLB innings, with a few trips back to Triple-A mixed in. The strikeouts and walks were fine for McKay. The big difference between the minors and majors was hard contact. His groundball rate plummeted from 47.1% at Triple-A to 35.2% and he gave up eight home runs after giving up just three in the minors. Touted as a big southpaw with command of a deep arsenal, McKay threw his four-seam fastball and curveball a combined 83.3% of the time in the big leagues, so perhaps working in his cutter and changeup more would help keep hitters off balance. There is strikeout upside, but he will have to earn a true starter's role for the free-thinking Rays. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a contract with the Rays in June of 2017 that includes a $7 million signing bonus.
Spring status in doubt
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Shoulder
August 20, 2020
McKay (shoulder) underwent surgery Wednesday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
McKay has been sidelined with a left shoulder issue for several weeks, but the team was optimistic that he'd be able to return by spring training in 2021. However, the surgery revealed that he had a labrum issue, which puts his status for the start of spring training in doubt. His status for the beginning of spring training will hinge on how he recovers over the offseason, and it's unclear whether he'll be available once Opening Day rolls around in 2021.
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Pitching Stats
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Batting Stats
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2019
2019 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+56%
OPS vs RHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+56%
OPS vs RHP
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .500 2 0 0 0 0 .000 .500 .000
Since 2018vs Right .778 9 2 1 1 0 .222 .222 .556
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left .500 2 0 0 0 0 .000 .500 .000
2019vs Right .778 9 2 1 1 0 .222 .222 .556
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+88%
OPS at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+88%
OPS at Home
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home 1.000 5 1 1 1 0 .200 .200 .800
Since 2018Away .533 6 1 0 0 0 .200 .333 .200
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 1.000 5 1 1 1 0 .200 .200 .800
2019Away .533 6 1 0 0 0 .200 .333 .200
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-23%
BAA vs LHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-23%
BAA vs LHP
2018
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .220 52 8 2 11 5 0 0
Since 2018vs Right .284 164 48 14 42 10 1 8
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left .220 52 8 2 11 5 0 0
2019vs Right .284 164 48 14 42 10 1 8
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2018
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 5.06 1.31 26.2 1 3 0 10.1 2.0 2.0
Since 2018Away 5.24 1.52 22.1 1 1 0 10.5 4.0 0.8
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 5.06 1.31 26.2 1 3 0 10.1 2.0 2.0
2019Away 5.24 1.52 22.1 1 1 0 10.5 4.0 0.8
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
The bulk of the MLB value McKay will provide will come as a starting pitcher, but he will continue to be developed as a two-way player, for now. The 6-foot-2 southpaw dominated across 78.1 innings, primarily at Low-A and High-A. McKay works with a plus fastball (92-94 mph) and plus cutter, mixing in a curveball and changeup that are solid third and fourth pitches. His advanced strike-throwing ability allows his arsenal to play up. He missed a month in the middle of the season with a strained oblique and his GB% plummeted from an elite 61.0% in the Midwest League to a below-average 37.7% in the Florida State League. Already 23 years old, McKay seems destined to be a No. 3 starter, as early as 2020. At the plate, he walks almost as much as he strikes out, but that passivity prohibits him from regularly getting to his plus power. He is no Shohei Ohtani, but could get some starts at first base or DH against righties when he is not pitching.
The dream of a true two-way player is alive with McKay, who received the second highest bonus in the 2017 draft. He was Hudson Valley's starting pitcher every Sunday, got Wednesday's off for his side session, and saw time at first base and DH in between. On the mound, the 6-foot-2 lefty has a quality four-pitch mix, led by his 93-94 mph fastball. He notched a 21:5 K:BB in 20 innings while holding hitters to a .147 average, looking the part of a future mid-rotation starter. As a hitter, he slashed .268/.374/.454 with four home runs in 97 at-bats against righties, but was completely overmatched in a small sample against lefties. The Rays have said they envisioned him as a hitter when they drafted him, so he may still end up as a full-time first baseman. He worked strictly as a hitter in fall instructs after reaching his innings limit on the mound, but given his relative success in both roles, he will probably go back out as a two-way player again this season.
More Fantasy News
Season-ending surgery on tap
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Shoulder
August 18, 2020
McKay (shoulder) will undergo season-ending surgery Wednesday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with shoulder irritation
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Shoulder
August 11, 2020
Manager Kevin Cash said Tuesday that McKay is dealing with shoulder irritation and is being shut down for 7-to-10 days, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fires two simulated innings
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Not Injury Related
August 5, 2020
McKay (illness) threw two innings in a simulated game Wednesday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Healthy but not close to return
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Illness
August 1, 2020
McKay (illness) came out of his live batting practice session healthy but will need some time before being ready for game action, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
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Cleared to work out
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Illness
August 1, 2020
McKay has been cleared to return after a positive COVID-19 test wiped out his entire summer camp, and he began throwing at the Rays' alternate training site Saturday, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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