RotoWire Partners
Luis Severino
Luis Severino
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Yankees
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 6/1/2021
2020 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
W-L
ERA
WHIP
K
SV
Unlock Our Projections
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Simply put, Severino is one of the best pitchers in MLB. The question heading into 2020 is, are the lat and shoulder issues that cost him all but three regular-season starts behind him? Initially diagnosed with a sore rotator cuff early in spring training, Severino was later revealed to have also suffered a Grade 2 lat strain which is what was responsible for the lengthy absence. When Severino returned, his velocity was just a tick below normal, offering some optimism for a full recovery. Severino is unfairly penalized for his home venue. Yankee Stadium is plus for homers but suppresses runs. This helps explain his success in the Bronx where his career ERA and WHIP are a tad better than on the road. Most will want to wait until the spring before investing, creating a buying opportunity in early drafts. However, even if healthy, Severino's workload will likely be lower than other aces. Read Past Outlooks
read more
RANKSFrom Preseason
#455
ADP
#Subscriber-Only
Dynasty
Add To Watchlist
League Majors
Bats R
Throws R
40 Man No
Height 6'2"
Weight 218
DOB 2/20/1994
Born Sabana de la Mar, DR
College None
Drafted 2012 NYY
$Signed a four-year, $40 million contract with the Yankees in February of 2019. Contract includes $15 million team option ($2.75 million buyout) for 2023.
Lands on 45-day IL
PNew York Yankees
Elbow
June 28, 2020
Severino (elbow) was placed on the 45-day injured list Sunday.
ANALYSIS
This was inevitable after Severino underwent Tommy John surgery in February. He has been progressing well in his rehab and is optimistic that he will be able to pitch for the Yankees at some point in 2021.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .244 383 114 31 85 20 2 6
Since 2018vs Right .224 445 123 21 94 20 1 13
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left .148 32 12 4 4 1 0 0
2019vs Right .143 16 5 2 2 0 0 0
2018vs Left .252 351 102 27 81 19 2 6
2018vs Right .227 429 118 19 92 20 1 13
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 2.50 1.02 101.0 11 2 0 11.0 2.1 0.7
Since 2018Away 4.05 1.25 102.1 9 7 0 10.0 2.5 1.0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 0.00 0.78 9.0 1 0 0 13.0 2.0 0.0
2019Away 6.00 1.67 3.0 0 1 0 12.0 12.0 0.0
2018Home 2.74 1.04 92.0 10 2 0 10.8 2.2 0.8
2018Away 3.99 1.24 99.1 9 6 0 10.0 2.2 1.0
More Splits→ View More Split Stats
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
View Luis Severino vs. Batter Stats
Loading Matchup Stats...
Yankees Depth Chart
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Severino
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Yankees at Phillies
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Yankees at Phillies
10 days ago
10 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Wednesday's Phillies at Yankees game for Dream11 contests.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Red Sox at Yankees
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Red Sox at Yankees
14 days ago
14 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Sunday's Red Sox at Yankees game for Dream11 contests.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Yankees at Nationals
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Yankees at Nationals
20 days ago
20 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Sunday's New York Yankees at Washington Nationals matchup for Dream11 contests.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Yankees at Nationals
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Yankees at Nationals
24 days ago
24 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down the Opening Day matchup between the Yankees and Nationals for Dream11 fantasy baseball contests.
Rounding Third: Week 0 FAAB Results
Rounding Third: Week 0 FAAB Results
26 days ago
26 days ago
Rich Hill drew big bids in this week's series of FAAB bids. Jeff Erickson breaks down the FAAB bidding in his leagues on Sunday night.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Severino had an amazing season considering he makes his home starts in Williamsport Northeast. Most of his metrics were a carbon copy of his 2017 breakout season. He allowed two or fewer earned runs in 19 starts and struck out eight or more hitters in 13 starts. All kidding aside about his home ballpark, Sevvy was a monster at home, notching a 2.74 ERA while holding the opposition to a .217/.270/.337 line over 92 innings. The road games were where he was more mortal, as he had a 3.99 ERA and allowed a .255/.303/.416 line over 99 innings away from Yankee Stadium. It looked as if he would cruise to a Cy Young Award at the break, going into it with a 2.31 ERA and 14 wins. Severino won five games in the second half with a 5.57 ERA. He wasn't that bad (3.37 FIP), but he was giving up significantly more line drives while generating fewer groundballs. On top of that, he injured his shoulder warming up for his first spring training game and is expected to start the season on the injured list.
A year later than expected, Severino proved that the flashes he showed as a rookie in the second half of 2015 were indicative of his upside. While Masahiro Tanaka scuffled in the first half, Severino thrived, mixing his arsenal of a high-90s fastball, slider and improved changeup effectively to become one of the best starters in the American League. He threw more pitches in the strike zone than ever before (49.3 percent), held hitters to a lower contact rate on those pitches (82.3 percent), and made hitters chase pitches outside the zone at the highest rate of his career (31.3 percent). Home runs are still his greatest weakness, and he allowed 15 in 97 innings at Yankee Stadium compared to six in 96.1 innings on the road, but as long as he keeps his walk rate (2.4 BB/9) in check, the long balls are unlikely to derail him. Severino will likely be treated as a top-10 starting pitcher in most draft rooms for 2018, but the increased price and hype appear to be warranted.
Severino had a breakout stint as a 21-year-old in 2015, working to a 2.89 ERA over 11 starts and looking poised to join the top of the rotation. Though there were signs that he might take a bit of a step back -- a 4.44 FIP, struggles with the long ball, and an unsustainably high strand rate of 83.3 percent -- few could have predicted how disastrous the 2016 campaign would be. Through seven starts, he was 0-6 with a 7.46 ERA and had allowed eight home runs in just 35 innings, leading to a demotion to the minors to straighten things out. Severino joined the bullpen after coming back up to the majors, where he was terrific to the tune of a 0.39 ERA with 25 strikeouts in 23.1 innings. Despite his success in the bullpen, the Yankees will likely try again with the young righty as a starter in 2017, though he proved too unreliable last season for owners to confidently count on him out of the gate. As a low-risk gamble, however, he could pay off handsomely.
The Yankees bypassed the starting pitching trade market in July, instead declaring Severino the solution to their problems. They were right and Severino was dominant down the stretch. There are some issues to iron out, including the home runs, but he showed an impressive three-pitch mix that was effective against both righties and lefties. His fastball carries him which is often the case when a guy throws 95-96 mph on average. He gets both swings-and-misses and groundballs at a good clip with it, but his changeup is an above-average strikeout weapon and an elite groundball inducer (62%). The slider is the weakest of the three, but still showed flashes of success. With 162 combined innings in 2015, Severino should have few, if any, innings restrictions in 2016. He's set to join Masahiro Tanaka atop the Yankees' rotation and could be a star in the making.
No pitcher in the minor leagues enhanced their stock as much as Severino during the 2014 season. He climbed two full levels, posting a 127:27 K:BB ratio and a 2.46 ERA in 113.1 innings between three stops, thanks to a mid-90s heater and a slider and changeup that work well off said fastball. Severino, who finished the season as a 20-year-old at Double-A Trenton, has never failed at a level, but he has never been truly tested. In 24 starts last season, he gave up more than three earned runs on just one occasion. This is what makes his upcoming season so intriguing. Despite being just six feet tall, he weighs almost 200 pounds, so he should be able to handle a full season. He also happens to pitch in a system where advanced starting pitching will be pushed aggressively, as the Yankees' starting rotation is chock-full of injury concerns and below-average options. Assuming he was unowned going into last season, he should be a top-5 pick in dynasty drafts in 2015.
More Fantasy News
Pleased with progress in rehab
PNew York Yankees
Elbow
May 31, 2020
Severino (elbow) said Saturday that he's progressing well in his recovery from the Tommy John surgery he underwent in February and remains optimistic that he'll be ready to pitch for the Yankees at some point in 2021, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Clear to rehab at team facility
PNew York Yankees
Elbow
April 1, 2020
Severino (elbow) is among a group of Yankees eligible to use the Yankees' facility in Tampa in the midst of Florida's stay-at-home declaration, George A. King III of the New York Post writes.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Rehabbing at training complex
PNew York Yankees
Elbow
March 18, 2020
Severino (elbow) has been rehabbing at the Yankees' spring-training complex, Marly Rivera of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Undergoes successful surgery
PNew York Yankees
Elbow
February 27, 2020
Severino's Tommy John surgery went as expected Thursday, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Tommy John surgery set for Thursday
PNew York Yankees
Elbow
February 25, 2020
Severino will undergo Tommy John surgery on his right elbow Thursday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Top News Stats Game Log Splits Stat Review More Stats Matchup Stats Depth Chart Articles Outlooks More News