Luis Severino News

Luis Severino

25-Year-Old PitcherSP

New York Yankees

60-Day IL

Injury Lat

Est. Return 9/17/2019

2019 Stats

W-L

0-0

ERA

0.00

WHIP

0.00

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2019 Fantasy Outlook

Severino had an amazing season considering he makes his home starts in Williamsport Northeast. Most of his metrics were a carbon copy of his 2017 breakout season. He allowed two or fewer earned runs in 19 starts and struck out eight or more hitters in 13 starts. All kidding aside about his home ballpark, Sevvy was a monster at home, notching a 2.74 ERA while holding the opposition to a .217/.270/.337 line over 92 innings. The road games were where he was more mortal, as he had a 3.99 ERA and allowed a .255/.303/.416 line over 99 innings away from Yankee Stadium. It looked as if he would cruise to a Cy Young Award at the break, going into it with a 2.31 ERA and 14 wins. Severino won five games in the second half with a 5.57 ERA. He wasn't that bad (3.37 FIP), but he was giving up significantly more line drives while generating fewer groundballs. On top of that, he injured his shoulder warming up for his first spring training game and is expected to start the season on the injured list. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#63

ADP

Overall

Starting Pitcher

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League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man No

Height 6'2"

Weight 218

DOB 2/20/1994

Born Sabana de la Mar, DR

College None

Drafted 2012 NYY

Confirmed as Tuesday's starter

PNew York Yankees

Lat

September 13, 2019

Severino (lat) confirmed Friday that he will start Tuesday against the Angels, Kristie Ackert of the New York Daily News reports.

ANALYSIS
Tuesday will be Severino's first big-league appearance of the season after he dealt with injury issues dating back to spring training. He won't be able to handle a full starter's workload right away, but he did reach 64 pitches in his final rehab start, so he should be able to pitch fairly deep into the game as long as he's efficient.

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Pitching Stats

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Minor League Game Log

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Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2017

-10%

BAA vs RHP

2019

No Stats

2018

-10%

BAA vs RHP

2017

-10%

BAA vs RHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2017vs Left	.236	710	206	53	153	37	2	18
Since 2017vs Right	.213	853	244	44	170	32	1	22
2019vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2019vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2018vs Left	.252	351	102	27	81	19	2	6
2018vs Right	.227	429	118	19	92	20	1	13
2017vs Left	.221	359	104	26	72	18	0	12
2017vs Right	.198	424	126	25	78	12	0	9
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Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2017

-3%

ERA on Road

2019

No Stats

2018

-31%

ERA at Home

2017

-40%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2017Home	3.24	1.04	189.0	18	7	0	10.7	2.3	1.1
Since 2017Away	3.13	1.14	195.2	15	7	0	10.4	2.3	0.8
2019Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2019Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2018Home	2.74	1.04	92.0	10	2	0	10.8	2.2	0.8
2018Away	3.99	1.24	99.1	9	6	0	10.0	2.2	1.0
2017Home	3.71	1.04	97.0	8	5	0	10.6	2.4	1.4
2017Away	2.24	1.04	96.1	6	1	0	10.8	2.3	0.6
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Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Severino

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Nationals, Astros Dominate Top-5

Yesterday

Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching has the Astros and Nationals have separated themselves from the pack.

MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers

6 days ago

Erik Halterman analyzes who's hot and who's not in baseball this week, including Boston's Rafael Devers, who has cooled considerably recently.

Mound Musings: Seeking a Blueprint for Pitching Success

17 days ago

Brad Johnson takes a crack at identifying the characteristics of pitching success in this era of the homer, which includes closely observing guys like veteran ace Justin Verlander.

Oak's Corner: Finding Help Down the Stretch

23 days ago

Scott Jenstad offers up a list of FAAB players who could offer fantasy teams help down the stretch, including Delino DeShields Jr., who’s the guy to grab if you’re in a tight stolen base competition.

Mound Musings: See You in September?

24 days ago

Brad Johnson runs down a list of arms who could help in the fantasy season’s final month or who might be deserving of your attention next spring, starting with Giants pitcher Johnny Cueto.

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2018

2017

2016

2015

A year later than expected, Severino proved that the flashes he showed as a rookie in the second half of 2015 were indicative of his upside. While Masahiro Tanaka scuffled in the first half, Severino thrived, mixing his arsenal of a high-90s fastball, slider and improved changeup effectively to become one of the best starters in the American League. He threw more pitches in the strike zone than ever before (49.3 percent), held hitters to a lower contact rate on those pitches (82.3 percent), and made hitters chase pitches outside the zone at the highest rate of his career (31.3 percent). Home runs are still his greatest weakness, and he allowed 15 in 97 innings at Yankee Stadium compared to six in 96.1 innings on the road, but as long as he keeps his walk rate (2.4 BB/9) in check, the long balls are unlikely to derail him. Severino will likely be treated as a top-10 starting pitcher in most draft rooms for 2018, but the increased price and hype appear to be warranted.

Severino had a breakout stint as a 21-year-old in 2015, working to a 2.89 ERA over 11 starts and looking poised to join the top of the rotation. Though there were signs that he might take a bit of a step back -- a 4.44 FIP, struggles with the long ball, and an unsustainably high strand rate of 83.3 percent -- few could have predicted how disastrous the 2016 campaign would be. Through seven starts, he was 0-6 with a 7.46 ERA and had allowed eight home runs in just 35 innings, leading to a demotion to the minors to straighten things out. Severino joined the bullpen after coming back up to the majors, where he was terrific to the tune of a 0.39 ERA with 25 strikeouts in 23.1 innings. Despite his success in the bullpen, the Yankees will likely try again with the young righty as a starter in 2017, though he proved too unreliable last season for owners to confidently count on him out of the gate. As a low-risk gamble, however, he could pay off handsomely.

The Yankees bypassed the starting pitching trade market in July, instead declaring Severino the solution to their problems. They were right and Severino was dominant down the stretch. There are some issues to iron out, including the home runs, but he showed an impressive three-pitch mix that was effective against both righties and lefties. His fastball carries him which is often the case when a guy throws 95-96 mph on average. He gets both swings-and-misses and groundballs at a good clip with it, but his changeup is an above-average strikeout weapon and an elite groundball inducer (62%). The slider is the weakest of the three, but still showed flashes of success. With 162 combined innings in 2015, Severino should have few, if any, innings restrictions in 2016. He's set to join Masahiro Tanaka atop the Yankees' rotation and could be a star in the making.

No pitcher in the minor leagues enhanced their stock as much as Severino during the 2014 season. He climbed two full levels, posting a 127:27 K:BB ratio and a 2.46 ERA in 113.1 innings between three stops, thanks to a mid-90s heater and a slider and changeup that work well off said fastball. Severino, who finished the season as a 20-year-old at Double-A Trenton, has never failed at a level, but he has never been truly tested. In 24 starts last season, he gave up more than three earned runs on just one occasion. This is what makes his upcoming season so intriguing. Despite being just six feet tall, he weighs almost 200 pounds, so he should be able to handle a full season. He also happens to pitch in a system where advanced starting pitching will be pushed aggressively, as the Yankees' starting rotation is chock-full of injury concerns and below-average options. Assuming he was unowned going into last season, he should be a top-5 pick in dynasty drafts in 2015.

More Fantasy News

Expected to start Tuesday

PNew York Yankees

Lat

September 12, 2019

Severino (lat) is expected to start Tuesday's game against the Angels, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
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Expects return within five days

PNew York Yankees

Lat

September 11, 2019

Severino (lat) indicated that he expects to join the Yankees as a starter in 4-to-5 days, Matt Kardos of MLB.com reports.

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One more rehab start on tap

PNew York Yankees

Lat

September 8, 2019

Severino (lat) will make one more rehab start Wednesday for Double-A Trenton before rejoining the big-league rotation, Pete Caldera of The Bergen Record reports.

ANALYSIS
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Activation plans still undecided

PNew York Yankees

Lat

September 7, 2019

Manager Aaron Boone said Severino (lat) could make his next start for Double-A Trenton, but the team has yet to make a final decision for his next appearance, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.

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Decision on activation looming

PNew York Yankees

Lat

September 6, 2019

Severino (lat) will have the next step in his rehab decided by Sunday, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.

ANALYSIS
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