Trevor Story
Trevor Story
26-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Colorado Rockies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
While 2016 may have been Story's breakout, 2018 was the season everything came together. He hit for a career-high average while greatly reducing his strikeout rate and expanding his power at the plate. The volume of stolen bases was a huge surprise that nobody forecasted in draft season and a bonus. His home-run total went up despite a small drop in his flyball rate. More hard contact allowed his HR/FB to get up to 20% and helped fuel the homer surge. There are two causes for concern moving forward, though: Story had an elbow scare near the end of the season that nearly put him on the surgeon's table, so that bears watching. Secondly, he ended the season with a 64-point split between his actual slugging percentage of .567 and his expected slugging percentage (.503). He is more likely to slide back to 30 homers than to challenge for 40 in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $5 million contract with the Rockies in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Swipes another base
SSColorado Rockies
March 6, 2019
Story went 1-for-3 with a double, a stolen base and a run scored Wednesday against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
All of Story's damage came during his first trip to the plate, as he doubled and stole third before coming in to score on a sacrifice fly from Raimel Tapia. The shortstop's power-speed combo has been on display early in camp; he's 5-for-15 with a pair of extra-base hits and three stolen bases through seven Cactus League games.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+30%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+55%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left 1.034 461 77 33 87 9 .306 .385 .649
Since 2016vs Right .796 1165 146 55 175 33 .254 .312 .484
2018vs Left 1.069 193 30 14 43 4 .326 .389 .680
2018vs Right .852 463 58 23 65 23 .277 .330 .521
2017vs Left 1.034 150 23 10 28 1 .301 .380 .654
2017vs Right .668 405 45 14 54 6 .216 .281 .386
2016vs Left .975 118 24 9 16 4 .280 .385 .590
2016vs Right .883 297 43 18 56 4 .268 .324 .559
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+29%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+34%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+45%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .971 822 128 55 163 18 .290 .354 .617
Since 2016Away .752 804 95 33 99 24 .246 .310 .442
2018Home 1.043 339 50 26 71 11 .306 .366 .678
2018Away .780 317 38 11 37 16 .276 .328 .452
2017Home .805 281 39 13 52 3 .256 .313 .492
2017Away .723 274 29 11 30 4 .220 .303 .420
2016Home 1.086 202 39 16 40 4 .313 .393 .693
2016Away .747 213 28 11 32 4 .235 .292 .454
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Stat Review
How does Trevor Story compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.28
 
BB Rate
7.2%
 
K Rate
25.6%
 
BABIP
.345
 
ISO
.276
 
AVG
.291
 
OBP
.348
 
SLG
.567
 
OPS
.914
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2013
Story was in the conversation for NL Rookie of the Year honors in 2016 before a thumb ligament injury ended his season, but he was unable to repeat that success in 2017. He stumbled out of the gates, batting .180/.289/.396 over his first 34 games. Story hit .255 with 18 homers and 67 RBI in 112 games after his return from a shoulder injury in May, but he continued to swing and miss at a high rate, fanning in one-third of his plate appearances over the remainder of the year. The strikeouts are not as much of a problem in today's game, and that's especially true when a player hits the ball as hard as Story does -- his 40.3 percent hard-hit rate ranked 18th among qualified hitters. Story will likely continue to be a batting-average liability with his current approach, even while playing half his games at Coors Field, but his prolific power and splash of speed at the shortstop position give him appeal at what will be a significantly discounted price from a year ago.
Story was given an opportunity in the starting role from Day 1 last season, replacing the suspended Jose Reyes. The rookie took off from the get-go, seemingly tearing down every rookie record in the book. Through the first month of the season, he already had 10 home runs, 20 RBI, and a massive 1.019 OPS. Understandably, he wasn't able to sustain this ridiculously torrid pace, but he managed to put up a .908 OPS, 27 home runs and 72 RBI prior to a thumb injury that cut his season short by two months. Story's 130 strikeouts are a concern, as that number could grow as pitchers figure out his tendencies, and his home/road splits were very different as one would expect for a Coors Field batter (1.086 home OPS vs. .747 road OPS). That being said, Story cemented himself as the shortstop of the future for the Rockies, and he looks to be an excellent source of power at the shortstop position playing half of his games in the thin Colorado air.
Story was a consensus top-100 prospect prior to the 2013 season, but his stock crashed to the point that he didn’t crack any industry top-100 lists in 2014 or 2015. That streak will come to a screeching halt this offseason, as Story made a big statement, abusing Double-A and Triple-A pitchers alike. He slashed .279/.350/.514 with 20 home runs and 22 steals (on 25 attempts) in 130 games, splitting time evenly between the two levels. Story remains age appropriate for his level, as he should debut in the majors early on in his age-23 campaign. Jose Reyes appears to stand in Story’s way, but Reyes’ performance was below replacement level in 47 games with Colorado last season, and he has serious off-field issues that could also cut into his availability. Look for Story to be starting every day at shortstop for the Rockies sooner rather than later in 2016, making him a worthy late-round flier in mixed leagues.
Forced to repeat High-A Modesto after striking out in 33 percent of his plate appearances in 2013, Story shined in his second go-around, slashing .332/.436/.582 while showing noticeable growth in his plate discipline. The improvements earned Story a midseason promotion to Double-A Tulsa. Just as was the case in the California League, he scuffled in his initial exposure to the new level. His strikeout rate hiked up to 34.6% and his on-base percentage sank to .302 over 237 plate appearances, dimming the impact of the rare power/speed package he offers at shortstop. Story’s ongoing contact issues leave scouts divided on whether or not he’ll become a viable big league regular, but it could simply be a matter of the 22-year-old needing more time to adjust to advanced pitching. The Rockies are of no mind to rush Story to the majors while Troy Tulowitzki is around, so he’ll have ample opportunity to refine his swing at the Double-A level and assert his standing as the team’s top middle infield prospect.
Story’s age-19 season was a promising one, as he exhibited a nice combination of power (18 homers), speed (15 steals) and on-base skills (.361 OBP). Story is not without a few flaws, however. It should be noted that his numbers came in the friendly hitting confines of the South Atlantic League, and his high strikeout totals could become more problematic as he advances in the minors. Story will likely move on to another hitters’ paradise in the California League this season, so it is possible we will not know the full extent of his batting skills until he reaches the upper levels of the minors.
More Fantasy News
Returns to lineup
SSColorado Rockies
February 25, 2019
Story (elbow) will return to the lineup Monday against the Royals, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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No worries after getting hit
SSColorado Rockies
Elbow
February 24, 2019
Story (elbow) is fine after getting hit by a pitch Saturday and expects to return to the lineup within a day or two, Patrick Saunders of The Denver Post reports.
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Exits with elbow contusion
SSColorado Rockies
Elbow
February 23, 2019
Story left Saturday's game against the Diamondbacks with a right elbow contusion after being hit by a pitch.
ANALYSIS
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No elbow issues
SSColorado Rockies
January 26, 2019
Story's elbow is feeling "great," Kyle Newman of The Denver Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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No arbiter required
SSColorado Rockies
January 11, 2019
Story agreed to a one-year, $5 million contract with the Rockies on Friday, avoiding arbitration, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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