Shane Greene
Shane Greene
30-Year-Old PitcherRP
Detroit Tigers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Greene outperformed his peripherals in 2017 and promptly paid back the baseball gods in 2018. He did convert 32 saves, but remained the Tigers' closer only by default. His 5.12 ERA was boosted by a 1.71 HR/9. He allowed five homers in September and posted a completely uninspiring swinging-strike rate for a closer (8.4%). Righty batters tormented him more often in 2018 (.352 wOBA), piling on his ongoing difficulties versus LHB (2.77 K/BB). To his credit Greene did improve his walk rate by nearly two free passes per nine, and his 69.7% left-on-base rate is ripe for a positive correction. Assuming he starts 2019 as the closer, he'll be looking over his shoulder at Joe Jimenez, who filled in for some save opps last year but wore down late. If Greene pitches his way out of the ninth or is traded by the rebuilding Tigers, his fantasy utility would evaporate instantly, as he doesn't have the skill set to be worthwhile if he isn't seeing saves. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $4 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Having a nice spring
PDetroit Tigers
March 18, 2019
Greene has allowed just a single run on five hits and a walk through eight innings so far this spring.
ANALYSIS
Detroit's incumbent closer is off to a good start in camp, which is encouraging after a 2018 campaign in which he posted a 5.12 ERA and 1.37 WHIP across 63.1 innings. The 30-year-old Greene doesn't figure to be in the long-term plans for a rebuilding Detroit team, especially with 24-year-old Joe Jimenez presumably waiting in the wings as the closer of the future. Greene still figures to have some early-season value, at least until he's traded or simply replaced by Jimenez, both of which are distinct possibilities.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .254 387 93 41 86 17 3 11
Since 2016vs Right .233 431 104 34 90 7 3 10
2018vs Left .246 150 36 13 33 4 1 6
2018vs Right .292 129 29 6 35 2 3 6
2017vs Left .235 119 33 19 23 4 1 3
2017vs Right .185 164 40 15 27 4 0 3
2016vs Left .283 118 24 9 30 9 1 2
2016vs Right .233 138 35 13 28 1 0 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-17%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-65%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-12%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 4.07 1.28 97.1 10 8 18 9.7 3.1 1.3
Since 2016Away 4.88 1.34 93.0 3 5 25 8.8 4.0 0.7
2018Home 5.50 1.43 37.2 4 5 17 9.8 2.9 2.2
2018Away 4.56 1.29 25.2 0 1 15 8.4 2.5 1.1
2017Home 1.36 1.12 33.0 3 1 1 9.8 3.5 0.5
2017Away 3.89 1.36 34.2 1 2 8 9.6 5.5 1.0
2016Home 5.40 1.28 26.2 3 2 0 9.5 2.7 1.0
2016Away 6.15 1.37 33.2 2 2 2 8.3 3.7 0.0
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Stat Review
How does Shane Greene compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.42
 
K/9
9.2
 
BB/9
2.7
 
HR/9
1.7
 
Fastball
94.3 mph
 
ERA
5.12
 
WHIP
1.37
 
BABIP
.330
 
GB/FB
1.25
 
Strand %
68.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Tigers Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
After the May demotion of Francisco Rodriguez and trade-deadline departure of Justin Wilson, Greene seized the Tigers’ closer role, going 9-for-10 in save opportunities from Aug. 1 to the end of the season while dazzling with a 2.49 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 21.2 frames. The converted starter enjoyed the velocity bump that comes with his role change, with his signature sinker gaining nearly one mph in 2017. On paper, Greene’s 9.7 K/9 looks to fit in with the typical closer picture, but it stems more from the sequencing of his four- or five-pitch makeup than it does dominance. His swinging-strike rate was only 8.6 percent. Though Green works quickly, he’s not overly efficient; he moved ahead 0-1 on just 59.4 percent of plate appearances. Walks are an issue, and the right-hander also benefited from a whopping 84.2 percent left-on-base rate. He's a risk to lose the job at some point in 2018.
Greene was a glaring case of the run prevention not matching his peripheral stats in 2016, as his combination of a K-per-inning with a humble walk rate and exceptionally low rate of homers allowed resulted in an inflated ERA of 5.82 despite a 3.13 FIP on the season. The right-hander started a trio of games in the first month of the season, but after an injury cost Greene a month, he was jettisoned to the bullpen upon his return. Whether pitching in the rotation or out of the bullpen, however, it was the same story for Greene, who was tagged for runs in either role despite solid peripheral stats. His value for 2017 and beyond likely hinges on his role, as the hard-throwing right-hander has an outside shot at some saves if he stays in the bullpen and might be out of chances to prove that he can stick in a rotation.
Greene looked like a Cy Young candidate in his first three starts — he went 3-0 with a minuscule 0.39 ERA. But then the wheels fell off the proverbial bus and he fell apart, literally and figuratively. He couldn't find the strike zone and when he did, batters just teed off on him to the tune of 20 earned runs in his next three starts (11 innings). He then went on and off the disabled list because he just couldn't feel the ring and pinky fingers on his throwing hand. He was finally diagnosed with thoracic outlet syndrome and went under the knife to eliminate a blood clot in August. That surgery is highly effective, so Greene could be ready to roll by spring training. If so, his slider/sinker combo could make him a solid mid-rotation hurler who is a groundball machine. Wait to invest until he's been on the mound and proves the tingling in those digits is gone for good.
Greene wasn’t even in the magazine last year and it’s hardly our fault as he wasn’t anything close to a prospect from either a scouting or numbers standpoint. He put up unimpressive numbers as someone who was too old or at the exact right age for his level. His start to 2014 was no different as he had a 4.61 ERA in Triple-A prior to his callup. The rash of injuries that ravaged the Yankees’ rotation forced Greene into the role in early July and he hit the ground running with a 3.09 ERA through his first 55 innings with 54 strikeouts and a 3.2 K/BB ratio. A couple of six-run shellackings book-ended his September and pushed his final mark up to 3.78, but even while struggling he still fanned 27 in 23 innings. The strikeouts were the biggest surprise in his breakout and they give him some staying power going forward. If he can refine his changeup and cut into his 100-point platoon split, Greene can be a steady all-formats option.
More Fantasy News
Signs deal with Detroit
PDetroit Tigers
January 10, 2019
Greene avoided arbitration Thursday by agreeing to a one-year, $4 million contract with the Tigers, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Seen as ninth-inning man
PDetroit Tigers
December 12, 2018
Manager Ron Gardenhire said the team views Greene as the closer heading into next season, Evan Woodbery of MLive Media Group reports.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up save No. 32
PDetroit Tigers
September 25, 2018
Greene pitched a scoreless ninth inning to record the save in Tuesday's 4-2 win over the Twins. He walked one and struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up homer but gets save
PDetroit Tigers
September 22, 2018
Greene recorded his 31st save of the season Saturday, working around a solo home run to close out a win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Records save despite rocky inning
PDetroit Tigers
September 17, 2018
Greene allowed a run on three hits in an inning of work but still managed to record his 30th save of the season Sunday against the Indians. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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