David Phelps
David Phelps
32-Year-Old PitcherRP
Toronto Blue Jays
2019 Fantasy Outlook
An elbow injury ended Phelps' 2017 campaign prematurely, and the issue went on to cost him his entire 2018 campaign as well. He was able to throw some innings in the Cactus League before tearing his UCL and undergoing Tommy John surgery in late March. The timing of his injury means his availability for the start of the 2019 season is in doubt. In the two seasons prior to his injury, he recorded ERAs of 2.28 and 3.40, striking out 32.4% and 26.1% of batters faced, proving more than capable as a multi-inning middle reliever while flashing the potential to be a high-leverage option. He can safely be ignored in nearly all formats at draft time, as he'll be a 32-year-old with just five career saves coming off a serious injury. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#751
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$Signed a one-year, $2.5 million contract with the Blue Jays in January of 2019. Contract includes a $1 million escalating team option for 2020.
Serving as opener
PToronto Blue Jays
July 3, 2019
Phelps will be the opener for Wednesday's game against the Red Sox, Mike Wilner of Sportsnet 590 The Fan reports.
ANALYSIS
Phelps owns a 3.52 ERA and an 8:2 K:BB in 7.2 innings of work for Toronto this season. He'll face the toughest part of Boston's order before likely turning the ball over to Jacob Waguespack.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .279 136 33 12 34 5 1 5
Since 2017vs Right .213 149 41 18 27 3 2 1
2019vs Left .286 15 2 1 4 0 1 1
2019vs Right .214 32 10 3 6 1 1 0
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left .278 121 31 11 30 5 0 4
2017vs Right .212 117 31 15 21 2 1 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-66%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-49%
ERA on Road
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-78%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 1.78 1.27 35.1 1 1 0 9.9 3.8 0.3
Since 2017Away 5.17 1.47 31.1 3 4 0 10.1 4.3 1.4
2019Home 4.05 1.35 6.2 0 0 0 9.5 4.1 1.4
2019Away 2.08 1.15 4.1 0 0 0 10.4 2.1 0.0
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 1.26 1.26 28.2 1 1 0 10.0 3.8 0.0
2017Away 5.67 1.52 27.0 3 4 0 10.0 4.7 1.7
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Stat Review
How does David Phelps compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.00
 
K/9
9.8
 
BB/9
3.3
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
91.8 mph
 
ERA
3.27
 
WHIP
1.27
 
BABIP
.321
 
GB/FB
0.77
 
Left On Base
79.4%
 
Exit Velocity
87.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
10.0%
 
Spin Rate
2431 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
30.0%
 
Swinging Strike
7.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring David Phelps
The Long Game: The Shape of Saves to Come
12 days ago
Erik Siegrist points out relievers who could inherit closer roles after the trade deadline and thinks the Giants' Reyes Moronta has the potential to someday become one of the league's best ninth-inning men.
Regan's Rumblings: Trade Deadline Bullpen Shuffle
21 days ago
Dave Regan breaks down the bullpen trade candidates, including Will Smith of the San Francisco Giants.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
July 1, 2018
Jan Levine hopes waiver-wire trollers are picking up emerging Phillies pitcher Zach Eflin.
Mound Musings: AL West Draft Day Targets
March 22, 2018
Brad Johnson wraps up his trip around the league with an analysis of the arms of the AL West, featuring Justin Verlander and the stellar Houston Astros staff.
Mound Musings: Trade Deadline Repercussions
August 3, 2017
Brad Johnson examines some of the more significant pitching trades, like A’s starter Sonny Gray, who goes to the New York in a move that could make the Yankees the AL East favorite.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
After serving as a swingman type for several years, Phelps worked primarily as a one-inning reliever last season between Miami and Seattle before going down with an elbow injury. He left his seventh appearance with the Mariners with elbow soreness and eventually had surgery to remove a bone spur. The right-hander performed at a high level when healthy, striking batters out at a 26.1 percent clip while limiting opposing hitters to a 29.5 percent flyball rate. Walks have held him back some in recent years (4.0 BB/9 last year), but he's been able to mask that flaw for the most part with the whiffs, and with another uptick in velocity, Phelps is looking like a setup weapon capable of getting more than three outs. Of course, everything will depend on his health in 2018. Phelps resumed a throwing program in mid-December.
Phelps had established himself as a solid but unspectacular swingman through his first four years. However, more work out of the pen (only five of 64 appearances were starts, compared to 59 of 110 before 2016) yielded career bests in strikeout and groundball rates, which fueled his best ERA and WHIP to date. He found 3.3 mph on his four-seam fastball, which spurred his surge. In fact, his .166 opponents' average and 33 percent strikeout rate off the fastball were tied for the best in the majors (minimum 900 heaters thrown). He stood alone at the top with a .521 OPS. The fastball was even better in his five starts (.130 AVG, .463 OPS, 32 percent strikeout rate), so it wasn't just pitching out the pen that helped him. Despite a rotation influx, the early plan is to keep Phelps in the bullpen. Still, Jeff Locke is hardly an immovable object, and Phelps could be the first replacement option if someone in the rotation suffers an injury. He is an interesting low-dollar gamble, especially in NL-only leagues.
Phelps was in Miami's starting rotation from the beginning of the 2015 season until a stress fracture of the radius bone in his right forearm ended his season in early August. In his first year with the Marlins, Phelps saw a significant improvement in his control (2.6 BB/9 from 3.6 BB/9), but it was offset by a declining strikeout rate (6.2 K/9 from 7.3 K/9). While he doesn't have great velocity (90.2 mph average fastball), he keeps the ball in the park and has a decent strikeout rate. If he can maintain his improved control and stay healthy, he could be productive if he wins a spot in the Miami rotation this spring.
The injury-ravaged rotation of the Yankees left Phelps with more innings than he or they expected him to receive in 2014. He wound up with 17 starts and 113 innings, both career highs, and he did a decent enough job answering the bell. He could’ve been a real fantasy asset in leagues with specific pitcher designations because he was a reliever-eligible arm logging starts every fifth day, but he managed just a 4.28 ERA in that time. Phelps remains a solid-but-unspectacular swingman capable of short bursts of usefulness, but his fantasy value is extremely limited and often confined to league types that pay the biggest dividends for those relievers who start (usually H2H leagues). He could start the 2015 season with a role in the Marlins' rotation following a December trade, but there is no guarantee he holds onto one all season.
After a fine 2012 season as a swingman, Phelps missed a big chunk of 2013 with forearm trouble, and it's unclear how much the injury contributed to his relative ineffectiveness even before he went on the disabled list. Phelps had a .324 BABIP against him in 2013, after putting up a .262 mark in 2012. His overall baseline is likely somewhere in between his 2012 and 2013 performances. Depending on how the Yankees' offseason goes, Phelps could get a shot at the rotation for 2014. While he could have some value with wins and strikeouts if he does get to start, don't expect a ton of growth from him.
Phelps was an unsung hero for the Yankees last season, putting up excellent numbers in 11 starts and 22 relief appearances. Phelps doesn't have dominant stuff, but he can get his four-seamer up to 95 mph when he needs to, and he mixes in a good curve and a decent changeup. He may have tried to be a little too fine in his starts last season, walking nearly 3.5 BB/9 after keeping that rate around 2.0 BB/9 in the minors, but he balanced that out by being harder to hit than he had shown previously. Phelps has definitely earned a spot on the Yankees' roster for 2013, but it's unclear if he'll be in the rotation or the bullpen. Whatever role he finds, he's an interesting sleeper for 2013.
Phelps doesn't have the upside of fellow Yankees prospects Manny Banuelos and Dellin Betances, but his command and control may allow him to beat them to the majors should the Yankees need rotation help.  The 25-year-old has just average velocity on his fastball, but he put up good numbers in Triple-A in 2011, going 6-6 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.317 WHIP last season.  He's far too hittable to achieve much success in the AL East without additional progress with his secondary pitches, but Phelps would become more intriguing if he landed in a situation with a more pitcher-friendly home park.
More Fantasy News
Looks good in 2019 debut
PToronto Blue Jays
June 18, 2019
Phelps walked one and struck out one in a scoreless inning of relief during Monday's loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Returns from IL
PToronto Blue Jays
June 17, 2019
Phelps (elbow) was activated from the 60-day injured list Monday, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nearing activation
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
June 14, 2019
Phelps (elbow) is with the team in Houston but likely won't be activated from the injured list until Saturday or Sunday, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Advances rehab to Triple-A
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
June 7, 2019
Phelps (elbow) was transferred from High-A Dunedin to Triple-A Buffalo to continue his rehab assignment, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Resumes throwing
PToronto Blue Jays
Elbow
April 4, 2019
Phelps (elbow) has resumed a throwing program and is throwing with no issues, Mike Wilner of Sportsnet 590 The Fan reports.
ANALYSIS
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