Setting the Table: Goals Form Table & Betting Lines for Week 23
Setting the Table: Goals Form Table & Betting Lines for Week 23

This article is part of our Setting the Table series.

Looking Back

Manchester City moved to the top of the goal differential form table after throttling Crystal Palace 4-0 at the Etihad Stadium last weekend, a result that kept the Eagles at the bottom. Scoreless in their last five Premier League matches, Palace haven't found the back of the net since Dec. 19 against Stoke City.

Additionally, the once lethal combination of Odion Ighalo and Troy Deeney has gone amazingly quiet, as Watford have scored just twice in their last four league games, including back-to-back shutout losses.

The biggest mover up the table was Bournemouth, who smacked Norwich 3-0 thanks to goals from Dan Gosling, Charlie Daniels and Benik Afobe. Up next: another ripe matchup against Sunderland.

Rank
(Prev)
ClubNext OppGoal
Diff.
ForAgstClean
Sheets (Wins)
Week 22Week 21Week 20Week 19
1 (4) Man City at West Ham +5 6 1 3 (1) 4-0 0-0 1-2 0-0
2 (1) West Ham v. Man City +4 8 4 1 (1) 2-1 1-3 2-0 2-1
3 (5) Chelsea at Arsenal +3 8 5 2 (1) 3-3 2-2 0-3 0-0
4 (2) Stoke at Leicester +3 8 5 1 (0) 0-0 3-1 2-1 3-4
5 (6) Tottenham at Crystal Palace +3 7 4 0 (0) 4-1 0-1 1-1 1-2
6 (3) Southampton at Man Utd +3 6 3 2 (2) 3-0 2-0 1-0 2-1
7 (12) Arsenal v. Chelsea +3 6 3 3 (2) 0-0 3-3 1-0 2-0
8 (13) Man Utd v. Southampton +2 6 4 2 (1) 0-1 3-3 2-1 0-0
9 (19) Bournemouth at Sunderland +1 4 3 2 (1) 3-0 1-3 0-0 2-0
10 (11) Leicester v. Stoke +1 2 1 3 (1) 1-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
11 (8) Sunderland v. Bournemouth - 8 8 0 (0) 4-1 2-4 3-1 0-1
12 (10) Everton v. Swansea -1 7 8 1 (0) 3-3 0-0 1-1 3-4
13 (16) Newcastle at Watford -1 5 6 0 (0) 2-1 3-3 1-0 1-0
14 (7) West Brom v. Aston Villa -1 5 6 1 (1) 3-0 2-2 2-1 1-0
15 (15) Swansea at Everton -2 4 6 2 (1) 1-0 2-4 2-1 0-0
16 (9) Liverpool at Norwich -2 4 6 1 (1) 0-1 3-3 2-0 0-1
17 (14) Norwich v. Liverpool -2 4 6 2 (2) 3-0 3-1 1-0 2-0
18 (17) Aston Villa at West Brom -3 3 6 1 (1) 1-1 1-0 3-1 2-0
19 (18) Watford v. Newcastle -5 2 7 0 (0) 1-0 2-0 1-2 1-2
20 (20) Crystal Palace v. Tottenham -8 0 8 1 (0) 4-0 1-0 0-3 0-0

Looking Ahead

Once again, I'm changing things up a bit, as instead of showing odds from Paddy Power, I've converted them into chances (not the Mesut Ozil kind). If you're interested in how the conversion is done, Galin Dragev at DailyRoto has a great breakdown. Additionally, the table will show win chances for each team, draw chances for each match and clean sheet chances for each team (not win and clean sheet), with the best chances highlighted in green.

HomeWin ChancesClean Sheet
Chances
AwayWin ChancesClean Sheet
Chances
Draw Chances
Norwich City 0.24 0.22 Liverpool 0.49 0.38 0.27
Crystal Palace 0.28 0.24 Tottenham 0.39 0.35 0.29
Leicester City 0.47 0.37 Stoke City 0.24 0.23 0.29
Manchester United 0.52 0.43 Southampton 0.21 0.23 0.27
Sunderland 0.32 0.26 Bournemouth 0.40 0.32 0.29
Watford 0.45 0.35 Newcastle 0.27 0.23 0.28
West Brom 0.46 0.41 Aston Villa 0.24 0.27 0.29
West Ham 0.19 0.15 Manchester City 0.56 0.36 0.25
Everton 0.57 0.41 Swansea 0.17 0.18 0.25
Arsenal 0.48 0.33 Chelsea 0.25 0.21 0.27

And finally, we'll look at some over/under odds to help us determine which teams have the best chance to score the most number of goals and which players may be the ones putting the ball in the back of the net.

HomeAwayOver 2.5
Chances
Likliest Goal Scorers
Norwich City Liverpool 11/10 Christian Benteke (11/10) Roberto Firmino (15/8) Cameron Jerome (11/4)
Crystal Palace Tottenham 11/10 Harry Kane (11/8) Heung-Min Son (21/10) Connor Wickham (5/2)
Leicester City Stoke City 11/10 Jamie Vardy (5/4) Riyad Mahrez (5/2) Shinji Okazaki (5/2)
Manchester United Southampton 5/4 Anthony Martial (13/8) Wayne Rooney (13/8) Juan Mata (12/5)
Sunderland Bournemouth 11/10 Benik Afobe (15/8) Jermain Defoe (2/1) Lewis Grabban (2/1)
Watford Newcastle 11/10 Odion Ighalo (6/5) Troy Deeney (13/8) Aleksandar Mitrovic (13/5)
West Brom Aston Villa 6/4 Salomon Rondon (15/8) Victor Anichebe (11/4) Jordan Ayew (3/1)
West Ham Manchester City 4/6 Sergio Aguero (20/21) Kelechi Iheanacho (6/4) Kevin De Bruyne (7/4)
Everton Swansea 10/11 Romelu Lukaku (10/11) Arouna Kone (15/8) Kevin Mirallas (21/10)
Arsenal Chelsea 5/6 Olivier Giroud (6/5) Theo Walcott (7/4) Diego Costa (2/1)
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Andrew M. Laird
Andrew M. Laird, the 2017 and 2018 FSWA Soccer Writer of the Year, is RotoWire's Head of DFS Content and Senior Soccer Editor. He is a seven-time FSWA award finalist, including twice for the Football Writer of the Year Award.
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