Sammy Watkins
Sammy Watkins
26-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Kansas City Chiefs
2019 Fantasy Outlook
With Watkins the question is always health. Last year, he managed 10 games, 9.4 YPT, 13.0 YPC and two catches of 40-plus yards on only 55 targets. And that doesn't include the playoffs when he caught 10 of 16 targets for 176 yards over two contests. With Patrick Mahomes under center, it's hard not to be efficient, and Watkins, still only 26, has the size (6-1, 211) and speed (4.43 40) to make plays. But Watkins fought through hamstring and hip injuries early on before missing six games with a right foot injury. It wasn't the same foot on which he had two surgeries earlier in his career, but Watkins has missed at least three games in three of the last four seasons and shows up on the injury report almost every week, i.e., he's rarely at full strength. He signed a contract guaranteeing him $30 million last offseason, so he's locked in as one of the Chiefs' key receiving options if he stays healthy. Moreover, top receiver Tyreek Hlll, who pleaded guilty to domestic assault and battery of his girlfriend in college, was investigated for a domestic battery incident involving his three-year-old son this offseason. Should Hill receive discipline from he NFL - or go the way of Kareem Hunt whom the Chiefs released for his own off-field transgression - Watkins could be the top wideout in the league's best offense. Of course, all-world tight end Travis Kelce is still around, and the Chiefs drafted Mecole Hardman with the 56th pick ostensibly to fill Hill's role, so Watkins' target ceiling is probably capped even if he stays healthy. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a three-year, $48 million contract with the Chiefs in March of 2018.
Stars in offseason program
WRKansas City Chiefs
June 21, 2019
Watkins performed well in the Chiefs' offseason program, Nate Taylor of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
In the absence of Tyreek Hill, who is indefinitely suspended from team activities, it may fall on Watkins to lead the Chiefs' wide receiver group. He's no stranger to being the head of the class at his position; the 26-year-old wideout held that role with the Bills during the majority of his tenure with the team. If he can stay healthy, Watkins figures to be the primary target of Patrick Mahomes while Hill is unavailable, and Watkins has flashed the ability to be just that in the past, racking up 1,047 receiving yards and nine touchdowns in 2015. However, he has had issues staying healthy, playing the full 16 games just once, his rookie season back in 2014. That likely remains the biggest concern for Watkins entering 2019, but he looks to be off to a good start.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Sammy Watkins' 2018 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
46.6
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.01
 
% Team Air Yards
9.3%
 
% Team Targets
9.8%
 
Avg Depth of Target
8.5 Yds
 
Catch Rate
72.7%
 
Drop Rate
1.8%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
6.1
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs 2018 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

1023
0
882
0
590
0
431
0
45
0
36
0
36
0
26
0
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Sammy Watkins lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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2018 Sammy Watkins Split Stats
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Sammy Watkins' measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"
 
Weight
211 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.43 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.34 sec
 
Cone Drill
6.95 sec
 
Vertical Jump
34.0 in
 
Broad Jump
126 in
 
Bench Press
16 reps
 
Hand Length
9.63 in
 
Arm Length
32.00 in
 
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41 days ago
Picking 13th in a 14-team experts mock, Jerry Donabedian eventually regretted his decision to pass on Julio Jones twice.
Dynasty Watch: Post-Draft Rankings
57 days ago
It's rare to find a rookie class where a quarterback warrants the top overall spot, but Kyler Murray offers stability in a class otherwise lacking it.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Watkins finally got to play in a credible passing offense, and the results were mixed. On the one hand, he scored eight times on 70 targets, the same number of TDs as A.J. Green, who had 142 looks, and Watkins averaged 15.2 YPC and 8.5 YPT, more than respectable per-play efficiency in this dink-and-dunk era. On the other hand, he saw only 70 targets, despite his competition for market share being third-round rookie Cooper Kupp and his former complement in Buffalo, Robert Woods. Why the Rams didn't feel the need to get Watkins the ball is unclear, but the Chiefs guaranteed him $30 million this offseason to play opposite Tyreek Hill, so that should change - to an extent. Hill was the most explosive receiver in the league last year, and tight end Travis Kelce functions as a co-No. 1, often lining up in the slot. The Chiefs also throw to their tailbacks a good deal, so if everyone stays healthy, Watkins' ceiling is relatively modest. But Watkins - who has good size at 6-1, 211, and impressive speed (4.43 40) - should have a better floor given his contract and the lack of receiving depth beyond the aforementioned options. He will have to play with untested second-year quarterback Pat Mahomes, but that might redound to his benefit, as Mahomes hasn't established a long-term rapport with Hill or Kelce, either, and he has a cannon for an arm that fits well with Watkins' (and Hill's) downfield playmaking abilities.
Health is the chief -- and only -- concern with Watkins, who missed 11 games the past two seasons. When he has played, he's been as advertised, a big-play threat with good size, great speed and excellent ball skills. Watkins put those skills to good use in 2015 when he had seven catches for 40-plus on only 96 targets, easily the league's highest big-play rate. He also led the NFL that year with 10.9 YPT. The question, though, is whether Watkins can hold up. In May 2016 he broke a bone in his foot and had a screw inserted. While he suited up for Week 1, he was clearly at less than full capacity. He tried to play through it but was shut down from Week 2 through Week 12, after which he finished the season on the still-broken bone. Watkins had a second surgery in January and sat out voluntary workouts in April before learning the Bills declined to pick up his fifth-year option in May. Just three months later, he found himself a member of the Rams, joining former Bill Robert Woods. The downgrade from Tyrod Taylor to Jared Goff will more than likely inhibit his ability to produce, but if he stays healthy, Watkins is by far the most talented receiver on his new squad.
Watkins quietly had a huge season in 12.5 games. Watkins was the NFL's most efficient receiver last year - his 10.7 YPT was first among the league's 40 90-target WR, and his 17.5 YPC was second. Watkins had six catches of 40-plus yards, one fewer than Antonio Brown on less than half the targets. And Watkins scored nine TDs, despite only seven looks inside the 20 and four inside the 10. That should change in 2016, as Watkins saw all his red-zone targets in the final six games and all his inside-the-10 targets in the final five. His rapport with first-year starter Tyrod Taylor improved vastly in the second half - Watkins had five 100-yard games in the last nine weeks and double-digit targets in four of the last six. Watkins isn't dependent on red-zone targets for scores, either. With his blazing speed - 4.43 40 at the Combine, 4.33 unofficially - and athleticism, he can strike from anywhere. And at 6-1, 211, he has above-average size for a burner, and the toughness to be effective in traffic. With Taylor and Watkins in their second seasons together, and no serious competition for targets, Watkins should see a significant increase in volume. If he comes close to last years efficiency, look out. Watkins had foot surgery in May, and while he returned during the preseason, it still adds some risk. (Prior to the news, he was our No. 6 WR.)
Considering Watkins battled through nagging injuries and subpar quarterback play throughout his rookie season, it was a promising professional debut. He narrowly missed being the ninth rookie to break the 1,000-yard barrier since 2000, but managed a passable 7.7 YPT (22nd among the league's 41 100-target WR) and 15.1 YPC (8th) while playing in the NFL's fifth-least efficient passing offense (6.7 YPA). At 6-1, 211, Watkins has decent size and blazing speed (4.43 official Combine time, but ran 4.33 and 4.37 unofficially) and is tough and athletic enough to make contested plays anywhere on the field. With Percy Harvin and Charles Clay in the fold along with incumbent Robert Woods, Watkins will have more competition for targets this year, and new coach Rex Ryan plans to have a more run-heavy attack behind newly acquired LeSean McCoy. Still, Watkins is the premier talent among the pass catchers in this group and, health permitting, should grow in Year 2. Watkins, who had hip surgery this offseason, isn't expected to take part in OTAs, but should be ready for the start of training camp.
Taken with the fourth overall pick, Watkins should be the Bills’ top target right away now that Steve Johnson’s gone. Watkins’ prospects will hinge in large part on the development of second-year quarterback EJ Manuel who struggled through an injury-riddled rookie year. Moreover, rookie receivers rarely make significant impacts – when Keenan Allen broke 1,000 yards last year, he became only the fifth to do so this millennium. And 1,000 yards is not a particularly high bar to clear in the modern NFL – 23 receivers hit that mark in 2013. That said, few rookie receivers are their teams’ likely No. 1’s out of the gate, and few have Watkins’ combination of decent size (6-1, 205), toughness and blazing speed; Watkins’ official NFL Combine time was 4.43, but he unofficially ran a 4.33 and 4.37. The Bills brought in Mike Williams this offseason from Tampa Bay, and Robert Woods makes for a nice possession option, but both profile as complementary pieces.
More Fantasy News
Leads team in receiving yardage
WRKansas City Chiefs
January 20, 2019
Watkins caught four of eight targets for 114 yards during Sunday's 37-31 AFC Championship Game overtime loss to the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Shakes off rust in win
WRKansas City Chiefs
January 12, 2019
Watkins caught six of eight targets for 62 yards during Saturday's 31-13 win over the Colts. He lost two yards on the ground and fumbled during the contest.
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Playing for first time since Week 11
WRKansas City Chiefs
January 12, 2019
Watkins (foot) is active for Saturday's divisional-round game against the Colts, James Palmer of NFL Network reports.
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Likely to play
WRKansas City Chiefs
Foot
January 12, 2019
Watkins (foot) is listed as questionable, but is expected to play Saturday against the Colts according to Ian Rapoport of NFL Network.
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Listed as questionable
WRKansas City Chiefs
Foot
January 10, 2019
Watkins (foot) is listed as questionable for Saturday's playoff game against the Colts after logging limited practices this week.
ANALYSIS
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