Adrian Peterson
Adrian Peterson
33-Year-Old Running BackRB
Washington Redskins
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Peterson's first season outside of Minnesota didn't get off to an auspicious start. Joining a Saints backfield that already featured Mark Ingram and third-round pick Alvin Kamara, the future Hall of Famer couldn't get onto the field, and after voicing his displeasure with his workload, he was traded to an Arizona team in desperate need of someone to take snaps. For a brief moment, Peterson finally looked like his old self, rushing for 134 yards and two TDs against the Buccaneers in Week 6 and 159 yards against the 49ers in Week 8, but a neck injury ultimately cost him the final five games of the season. A free agent once again, Peterson has been given a clear bill of health, but the market for a 33-year-old running back who's only played 13 games over the last two seasons is a soft one. He finally found a team in mid-August after Washington's Derrius Guice suffered a torn ACL, freeing up an opportunity for Peterson to compete for carries with Rob Kelley and Samaje Perine. It's a nice situation all things considered, but Peterson isn't even assured of a spot on the 53-man roster. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $1.02 million contract with the Redskins in August of 2018.
Limited effectiveness in win
RBWashington Redskins
December 16, 2018
Peterson rushed 19 times for 51 yards and caught two of three targets for 20 yards in Sunday's 16-13 win over Jacksonville.
ANALYSIS
Peterson got plenty of touches but didn't find much running room with the Jaguars focusing on stopping the run and daring fourth-string quarterback Josh Johnson to beat them. Expect a similarly large workload against crowded fronts for Peterson against the Titans in Week 16.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Adrian Peterson's 2018 advanced stats compare to other running backs?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Broken Tackle %
    The number of broken tackles divided by the number of times he touched the ball.
  • Positive Run %
    The percentage of run plays where he was able to gain positive yardage.
  • % Yds After Contact
    The percentage of his rushing yards that came after contact.
  • Avg Yds After Contact
    The average rushing yards he gains after contact.
  • Rushing TD %
    Rushing touchdowns divided by rushing attempts. In other words, how often is he scoring when running the ball.
  • Touches Per Game
    The number of touches (rushing attempts + receptions) he is averaging per game
  • % Snaps w/Touch
    The number of touches (rushing attempts + receptions) divided by offensive snaps played.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Broken Tackle %
11.7%
 
Positive Run %
71.8%
 
% Yds After Contact
72.7%
 
Avg Yds After Contact
2.8
 
Rushing TD %
3.4%
 
Touches Per Game
14.2
 
% Snaps w/Touch
32.5%
 
Air Yards Per Game
0.8
 
Air Yards Per Snap
0.02
 
% Team Air Yards
0.3%
 
% Team Targets
5.6%
 
Avg Depth of Target
0.5 Yds
 
Catch Rate
78.6%
 
Drop Rate
7.1%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
13.6
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Washington RedskinsRedskins 2018 RB Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

394
104
228
54
160
51
36
36
25
0
9
0
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Adrian Peterson lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Jaguars pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
JAX
@ Jaguars
Sunday, Dec 16th at 1:00PM
Overall QB Rating Against
58.8
 
Cornerbacks
58.5
 
Safeties
33.3
 
Linebackers
74.6
 
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Adrian Peterson's measurables compare to other running backs?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"
 
Weight
220 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.40 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.40 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.09 sec
 
Vertical Jump
38.5 in
 
Broad Jump
127 in
 
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Chris Liss argues for the importance of the running game in general and individual star running backs in particular.
Monday Night DFS Breakdown: Redskins vs. Eagles
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Gameday Injuries: Week 13
December 2nd
Juan Carlos Blanco guides you through a Week 13 injury report replete with big names and several potential game-time decisions as of early Sunday morning.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
The future Hall of Famer missed significant time for the second time in three seasons, playing in only three games in 2016 due to a series of lower-body injuries that should be considered extremely worrying in a 32-year-old running back with over 2,400 career carries on his ledger. Peterson never really got a chance last year to show whether he was still capable of gaining the huge chunks of real estate he got in his prime, but the Saints signed him to a fairly modest two-year deal to find out whether he had anything left. Listed behind Mark Ingram on the depth chart, Peterson could end up being little more than a change-of-pace option for New Orleans, but his reputation and pedigree should afford him more touches than a typical backup if he still retains enough of his legendary power and speed.
After a year almost completely wiped out by suspension, Peterson bounced back nicely in 2015, leading the NFL in the triple crown of RB counting stars: attempts, yards, touchdowns. His 4.5 YPC is a shade under his 4.9 career mark, but when someone's getting that much volume week-to-week — and plays a full 16 games —the minor efficiency hits don't bother you. Peterson has never been much of a receiver, so last year's haul was acceptable — heck, it might be an eyelash over reasonable expectations. Wrap it all up and it's a nifty return for an age-30 season. And now Peterson's a year older, like the rest of the world — and fantasy owners have been well trained to be suspicious of backs in this age pocket. That said, Peterson has been a career-long exception to the rule, and if he showed any signs of slippage last year, it was slight. If we reasonably discount the 2014 season from the computation, he's only missed nine games in eight seasons. Given Peterson's history of durability and the reasonable expectation that the O-Line will improve, we can sign off on another Pro Bowl-caliber year. Peterson is no longer the no-doubter No. 1 RB, but he's kept his spot in the first tier. Minnesota's preferred blueprint — play good defense, hide quarterback Teddy Bridgewater —also funnels nicely to Peterson's bottom line.
For the second time in four years, Peterson missed a significant portion of the season, but this time injury wasn't to blame. Peterson played one game last year before being sidelined the rest of the season for violating the league's personal-conduct policy. On the field, he still appeared to be at his peak, possessing the same elite blend of size, speed, burst, power and balance that he brought into the league, combined with the improved vision and pass-catching skills he's developed with experience. The last time Peterson had an extended break, he returned to post a 2,000-yard rushing season and 6.0 YPC, but the picture isn't quite as rosy in 2015. Lost in last season's scandal was that he was coming off groin surgery, and while Peterson likely has at least one more big season left in him, the downside of his career could be looming. He's 30 years old with 2,054 carries worth of wear and tear on his body.
While Peterson delivered his seventh double-digit touchdown total in his seven NFL seasons last year, there are some cracks starting to appear in the facade for the 6-1, 217-pound ballcarrier, who's entering his age-29 season. With a major knee surgery in his medical history, plus nagging foot and groin issues (the latter of which required surgery in January) that ruined the fantasy playoffs for many of his owners, AP may no longer be the lock he once was. That said, AP is a fixture atop the Vikings' depth chart and remains one of the most talented backs in the game. Despite his injury issues, he certainly hasn't experienced any lingering effects from his 2011 ACL and MCL surgery, and the recovery from his groin surgery seems to be going well. Nonetheless, more than a few stats point to cracks in the façade. Though Peterson remains a physical, downhill runner – he finished 2013 with the NFL's third-most broken tackles (42) – last year's 4.5 YPC was the second-lowest mark of Peterson's career, he sat out two games with injury, and he uncharacteristically put the ball on the ground five times. Further, PPR owners who enjoyed his 11 catches in the season's first three games suffered through a meager five receptions in his final five contests of the year, wrapping up a second consecutive season in which he averaged under six yards per reception. Of course, pass-catching has never truly been AP's calling card even though he's posted reliable catch rates throughout his career. The Vikings will enter 2014 with continued issues at quarterback and a fairly mediocre receiving corps aside from the electric Cordarrelle Patterson (who'll steal rushing opportunities from AP here and there). Although subpar QB play has never held the superhuman Peterson back, and Minnesota owns one of the better offensive lines in the league, it's worth wondering whether his parade of injuries has reduced him to merely human – and whether that humanity will affect his goal-line work, as he rushed just seven times from inside the five-yard line last year.
After an MVP year in which he fell just nine yards shy of breaking Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record, Peterson set the bar high even for him. That he was able to do so barely eight months removed from reconstructive knee surgery bordered on the miraculous. And his 10-game romp to end the season during which he piled up 1,598 rushing yards at a whopping 6.8 YPC and 11 total scores might have been the greatest stretch by a back in modern NFL history. While the lack of a viable Vikings passing game ensured defenses stacked the box against Peterson, he rendered the tactic impotent with a league-leading 1,047 yards after contact. Now 28 and with 1,754 career carries, Peterson has some mileage on his body, but it's hard to get overly concerned about that when Peterson only got stronger as the year wore on. And he's now 20 months removed from his knee surgery, so the joint should be back to full strength. While Peterson is a competent pass catcher – he caught 40 balls last year, the second-highest total of his career – he doesn't excel in that area and will likely give up production to most of the other top backs, particularly in PPR formats.
Peterson was having his typical productive season until injuries struck last year. The first was an ankle sprain in Week 11 that cost him three games followed by a much more serious torn left ACL and MCL and meniscus damage. Moreover, the injury occurred so late in the year he didn’t have surgery until December 31. Most mortals would be a near lock to start 2012 on PUP, but Peterson plans on being ready for Week 1. All reports had his rehab going extremely well, and he even finished first running wind sprints with teammates in late April. A best-case scenario would still likely be a scaled down workload over the beginning of the season, especially with Toby Gerhart emerging as a capable alternative. Peterson remained the NFL’s best running back before going down, and while offseason reports have been positive, and he’s still in his prime, there are obvious concerns about an RB coming off major knee surgery such a short time ago. Consider Peterson a high-risk, high-reward pick.
Peterson’s numbers were down last season, when he finished with a career-low 1,298 rushing yards. Still, his YPC bounced back, and his ball security issues were corrected in a big way. Most of the drop in production can be pointed to a leg injury that cost him one game and decreased his usage, as he was given more than 17 carries in just one of the season’s final nine contests. Peterson has battled the injury-prone label since entering the league, but last season’s missed game was his first in the last three years. While nagging injuries plagued him over the second half, Peterson sill finished as the No. 3 fantasy back. Peterson remains the league’s most elite back, as he led the NFL in broken tackles for the second year in a row (he finished second in 2008), and his continued development as a receiver is terrific news for his fantasy value. His conversion rate at the goal line (9-for-18) was also third best in football. There was reason to worry about Minnesota’s quarterback situation until the team traded two sixth-round draft picks for Donovan McNabb. Nevertheless, the Vikings will continue to rely on Peterson to carry the offense, which is why he is both the safest and highest upside pick on the board.
Despite a big upgrade at quarterback, Peterson’s YPC dropped to a career-low 4.4 last season, but he more than made up for it by improving greatly as a receiver and getting more work at the goal line. Peterson scored an NFL (and career) high 18 touchdowns, and he more than doubled his previous-high with 43 catches. Moreover, his 10.1 yards-per-catch tied for second-best in the league among running backs and was a huge improvement from his previous year. Peterson saw his big plays (rushes for 20- plus yards) drop from 20 in 2008 to 12 last season, but he remains plenty explosive, and his strength was utilized plenty, as his 42 carries inside the 10-yard line and 30 goal-line rushes both led the NFL. However, fumbling remains a problem, as Peterson had the most lost (six) in the league for the second straight season. The good news for Peterson is that Minnesota has a handful of offensive weapons, so defenses can no longer stack eight men in the box to slow Peterson down. One area of concern is the fact that Minnesota used its second-round pick to draft Toby Gerhart, who immediately becomes the team’s RB2 with Chester Taylor out of town. While Gerhart is a threat to steal some goal-line work, Peterson figures to be given even more responsibilities on third downs, so increased numbers in the passing game should be expected. While Taylor’s workload continued to decline, he still racked up 44 catches last season, and the rookie Gerhart is unlikely to be trusted in passing situations. While it’s safe to assume the offense would take a step back should Brett Favre decide to retire, the Vikings still have one of the better offensive lines in football, and the defense is among the elite as well, so Peterson will be surrounded by good teammates regardless. He should once again dominate carries, and the fact he’s becoming a complete back means a career-high in yards from scrimmage could be in store, especially if last year’s 4.4 YPC mark can creep back up toward his career level (4.9).
Last year Peterson stayed healthy for all 16 games and led the NFL in rushing, yet it somehow all felt like a disappointment. That’s what happens when you follow a rookie campaign as impressive as Peterson’s. He saw his YPC drop from 5.6 to 4.8 and his touchdowns decline from 13 to 10 despite seeing 127 more touches. Still, 1,885 total yards with 10 scores is pretty good for what can be considered a letdown, and most encouraging of all was Peterson’s ability to stay healthy even with a full workload. Peterson is a rare talent who might be both the fastest and strongest running back in the NFL. He’s almost never brought down at first contact and is lethal in the open field with tremendous breakaway speed. He easily led the league with 20 carries for 20-plus yards in 2008 while also converting a remarkable five of his nine goal-line attempts for scores. However, Peterson struggled mightily as a receiver, as he gained a paltry 6.0 yards per catch on his 21 receptions last season. He also needs to work on ball security – his nine fumbles were by far the most in the league. The Vikings’ offensive line took a small step backward last season, but part of the problem was Bryant McKinnie opening the year with a four-game suspension. Chester Taylor is still around to spell Peterson, but he’s become nothing more than your typical backup, as this is clearly Peterson’s backfield. With Bernard Berrian, a healthy Sidney Rice and exciting rookie Percy Harvin, there’s talent in the receiving corps, but quarterback remains the big question on offense. Tarvaris Jackson impressed at times last season, but after he failed spectacularly during a loss to the Eagles in the Wild Card round, Minnesota traded for Sage Rosenfels, who’s the favorite to start Week 1. Rosenfels figures to be an upgrade, but he’s turnover-prone and is hardly a Pro Bowler. Meanwhile, there remains the possibility that Brett Favre could be brought into the mix. Peterson is entering just his third year in the league and still has room to grow. He has fresh legs and plays for a team with a strong offensive line, solid defense and an improving passing attack. Peterson’s lack of receiving ability limits his upside somewhat, but there isn’t a bigger threat to rush for 2,000 yards in football, and it’s safe to expect more than nine goal-line carries in 2009 and hence more touchdowns. There’s still some risk for injury, but he made it through a 363-carry campaign last year relatively unscathed, and Minnesota will once again rely heavily on him in 2009.
Peterson took the league by storm in 2007, totaling more than 1,600 yards with 13 touchdowns in just 14 games. He finished second in the league with 1,341 rushing yards despite starting only nine contests, and his 5.6 YPC ranked only behind situational rusher Jerious Norwood among ballcarriers with more than 100 rushes. Of some concern is Peterson's feast-or-famine nature, as he went eight games with fewer than 80 yards rushing while averaging 159 rushing yards in the six others, including setting the single game NFL rushing record with 296 yards against the Chargers. Peterson's also in a great spot – the Vikings have quite possibly the league's best offensive line and improved their offense with the addition of Bernard Berrian at wide receiver. Quarterback Tarvaris Jackson is a question mark, as his subpar 9:12 TD:INT ratio often allows opposing defenses to focus on stopping the running game. For all his upside, however, Peterson's not without risk. He’s been injury-prone since college and suffered a torn LCL last year, which cost him two games and limited him the rest of the season – he averaged just 2.7 YPC over the final four contests while wearing a cumbersome knee brace. It’s also disconcerting Peterson received just six goal-line carries last season, but Chester Taylor only converted two of his nine rushes from in close and has a success rate of just 24 percent at the goal line over the past three years, so Peterson should see the majority of touches near paydirt. Additionally, Peterson's success rate on red-zone rushes (7-of-20) was easily the best in football. It also reveals massive touchdown potential, considering Peterson scored 13 times when given so few chances from in close. And for those worried about Peterson's health issues, having a clear-cut backup in Taylor can actually be a positive, as that situation is muddled in San Diego and Indianapolis.
There’s no doubting Peterson’s talent. He ran for 4,045 yards and 41 touchdowns in 31 games at Oklahoma and has the potential to be a franchise back with his combination of size, speed and strength. He ran the 40-yard dash in 4.37 seconds, yet is 6-2, 217, and doesn’t shy away from contact. In fact, he invites it. Peterson’s aggressiveness is often compared to Eric Dickerson’s, but the upright style has also raised durability concerns. He dislocated his shoulder in 2004 (no games missed), suffered a high ankle sprain in 2005 (missed parts of three games) and endured a broken collarbone in 2006, forcing him out of action for the final seven weeks. He still finished with 1,012 rushing yards and 12 touchdowns last season, showing just how productive he can be when on the field. Peterson set an NCAA freshman single-season rushing record with 339 carries, suggesting these past couple of injuries might be flukes, and doctors elected to let his broken collarbone heal on its own rather than opting for an additional surgery. Peterson joins a fairly crowded backfield and could begin the year as Chester Taylor’s backup. Merely an average running back (4.0 YPC), Taylor had 345 touches last season, but his backups averaged 5.0 behind a solid offensive line anchored by Steve Hutchinson, Matt Birk and Bryant McKinnie. As such, Peterson should be heavily involved from the start and will almost certainly take over the starting job at some point during the season.
More Fantasy News
Cleared to play
RBWashington Redskins
December 14, 2018
Peterson (shoulder) doesn't have an injury designation for Sunday's game at Jacksonville, John Keim of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Workload limited at practice
RBWashington Redskins
Shoulder
December 13, 2018
Peterson (shoulder) was a limited participant at Thursday's practice, Daniel Popper of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Limited at Wednesday's practice
RBWashington Redskins
Shoulder
December 12, 2018
Peterson (shoulder) practiced on a limited basis Wednesday, Kareem Copeland of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Bottled up in blowout loss
RBWashington Redskins
December 9, 2018
Peterson rushed 10 times for 16 yards and added a three-yard catch on his lone target in Sunday's 40-16 loss to the Giants.
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Cleared for Week 14
RBWashington Redskins
December 7, 2018
Peterson (shoulder) doesn't carry a designation into Sunday's game against the Giants, Tarik El-Bashir of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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