Michael Thomas
Michael Thomas
25-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
New Orleans Saints
2018 Fantasy Outlook
With Brandin Cooks in New England, Thomas was set to be the No. 1 receiver for the league's most prolific passing offense. But something strange happened: the Saints became a running team. It wasn't all bad. Thomas still had 149 targets (6th), 104 catches (3rd) and 1,245 yards (6th). But he scored four fewer TDs than in 2016 on three fewer red-zone targets, as tailback Mark Ingram doubled his rushing TDs from six to 12, and all-purpose back Alvin Kamara added 13 scores of his own. At 6-3, 212, Thomas has good size but below-average speed (4.57). He's a good route runner with steady hands, but he's not going to beat anyone deep - only one catch of 40-plus yards last year, two in his two-year career. Despite throwing less often, Drew Brees still attacks in the intermediate and deep areas of the field - Thomas was fourth with 22 catches of 20-plus - but speedster Ted Ginn was the home run hitter with five catches of 40 or more yards. Accordingly, Thomas' 8.4 YPT mark was a modest 11th among the league's 27 100-target receivers, despite playing with the QB who led the NFL in YPA at 8.1. (By contrast Ginn had 11.2 YPT.) Heading into 2018, Thomas is still the team's undisputed No. 1 target and should be drafted for volume and consistency. Just don't expect many big plays or an undue share of red-zone work, as Kamara and Ingram figure to again occupy a large share of the team's usage. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a four-year, $5.12 million contract with the Saints in May of 2016.
Vintage performance in division win
WRNew Orleans Saints
December 9, 2018
Thomas brought in 11 of his 13 targets for 98 yards in the Saints' 28-14 win over the Buccaneers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Thomas was back to playing the alpha dog of the Saints passing attack, posting a double-digit catch total for the first time since Week 9. The third-year wideout dominated the short-to-medium-passing window throughout the contest, logging his third-highest target total of the season in the process. Thomas has the potential to generate a stat line the caliber of Sunday's in any given week, and he'll look to build on the performance versus the vulnerable Panthers secondary in a Week 15 divisional matchup.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Michael Thomas' 2018 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
72.2
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.24
 
% Team Air Yards
32.3%
 
% Team Targets
28.4%
 
Avg Depth of Target
7.9 Yds
 
Catch Rate
86.4%
 
Drop Rate
2.5%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
4.2
 
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NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
New Orleans SaintsSaints 2018 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

757
218
457
135
263
78
170
0
138
104
126
0
46
41
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Michael Thomas lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Panthers pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
CAR
@ Panthers
Monday, Dec 17th at 8:15PM
Overall QB Rating Against
93.3
 
Cornerbacks
88.9
 
Safeties
109.8
 
Linebackers
91.1
 
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Michael Thomas
On Target: Week 15 WR/CB Matchups
Yesterday
Davis Mattek looks at the week's most interesting battles and warns not to prioritize matchup over volume, especially with an explosive player like Tyreek Hill.
Weekly Rankings: Week 15 Value Meter
3 days ago
Rob Gronkowski had a terrific offensive game last week, and now faces a Steelers defense that got torn apart by three different tight ends.
East Coast Offense: The State of the QB Position
3 days ago
If you don't have a superstar, and an elite prospect like Baker Mayfield is unavailable, go with a rental.
Game Spotlight: Lamar's Big Test
December 8th
Going to Arrowhead Stadium for his second road start, Lamar Jackson's play will go a long way in determining the game script for Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs.
Sunday Night DFS Breakdown: Rams vs. Bears
December 8th
Matt Killeen takes a close look at the Sunday Night Rams-Bears matchup from a single-game DFS perspective.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
Few rookie wideouts pan out as their team's No. 1 targets. Thomas was an exception -- so much so that after the season, the Saints jettisoned their former top receiver Brandin Cooks for a first-round pick. At 6-3, 212 and with 4.57 speed, Thomas is athletically on the cusp of what's typically required for a bona fide No. 1, but he's surprisingly agile and quick for a tall receiver and has excellent hands and good ball skills. Most importantly he has the trust of Drew Brees from whom he caught an unheard-of 76 percent of his 121 targets. Thomas also saw a fair amount of red-zone work last year (19 targets, T-11th) despite missing a game, and his size and hands make him well-suited to operate there -- seven of Thomas' nine scores came on red-zone throws. Thomas isn't a major downfield weapon -- only one catch of 40-plus yards, and his 12.4 YPC average was pedestrian. (His 9.4 YPT was fifth best, but driven entirely by his absurd catch rate.) Even with Cooks gone it's unlikely Thomas will see the deep balls left behind. While Willie Snead (4.56 40) is suited more to a possession role, the team added home run specialist Ted Ginn to run those routes, so Thomas' target depth should remain roughly the same. While Thomas might not be a game-breaker, he's a quality intermediate target, red-zone threat and top option in a Drew Brees-led offense.
Drafted 47th overall, Thomas has a chance for a significant role as a rookie with long-time Saint Marques Colston no longer around. While Willie Snead and Brandin Cooks should start, both are small and not especially useful in the red zone. At 6-3, 212, Thomas is tall, athletic and agile. He's not fast - 4.57 40 - but he has good hands, solid ball skills and scored 18 TDs the last two seasons at Ohio State. Tight end Coby Fleener will also see red-zone work, and 6-6 Brandon Coleman should make the team, but Thomas is the favorite for the No. 3 receiver job.
More Fantasy News
Puts in full practice
WRNew Orleans Saints
December 6, 2018
Thomas (ankle) was a full participant in Thursday's practice.
ANALYSIS
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Back at practice Thursday
WRNew Orleans Saints
Ankle
December 6, 2018
Thomas (ankle) returned to practice Thursday, Josh Katzenstein of The New Orleans Times-Picayune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Pops up with ankle injury
WRNew Orleans Saints
Ankle
December 5, 2018
Thomas was held out of Wednesday's practice with an ankle injury, Greg Auman of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Quiet night in surprising loss
WRNew Orleans Saints
November 29, 2018
Thomas brought in five of eight targets for 40 yards in the Saints' 13-10 loss to the Cowboys on Thursday. He also recovered a fumble.
ANALYSIS
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Quiet on Thanksgiving night
WRNew Orleans Saints
November 22, 2018
Thomas hauled in four of six targets, managing only 38 yards during Thursday's 31-17 win against the Falcons.
ANALYSIS
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