This article is part of our Survivor series.
Last week the Cowboys and Eagles took down nearly 50 percent of pools. It's getting to the end in most, and even in my $6M Circa Survivor Pool there are only 28 teams left. (We took the Bears on Thanksgiving Day and the Falcons during the weekend games.)
|Team||Opponent||%Taken*||Vegas ML**||Vegas Odds||Expected Loss|
Home teams in CAPS
* According to "polling" data on Officefootballpools.com
** Average of the two moneylines
A reminder that the percentage-taken numbers are noisy this time of year, so you'll want to look at the surviving entries in your pool and figure out an approximate distribution of ownership for yourself.
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs play their second straight road game, but the Falcons are soft defensively, and they don't have the weapons to challenge the Bucs' secondary. I give the Buccaneers a 85 percent chance to win this game.
2. Los Angeles Rams
The Rams should roll at home, but Matthew Stafford is banged up, and the Jaguars have been