This article is part of our Beating the Book series.
I went 7-8-1 last week (I've oddly been right around .500 every week), won my best bet (Saints) and went 2-2-1 in the SuperContest.
I thought this was a tough slate, but for now I like the Titans, Dolphins, Chargers and Browns.
Buccaneers -7 at Eagles
I made this line 7.5 so I'm on the Bucs. It's not a strong lean as Tampa's secondary is bad, and it's a big number on the road. But Jalen Hurts hasn't looked sharp as a passer, and I expect the Bucs' offense to roll. Lay the wood.
Buccaneers 31 - 23
Dolphins -3.5 at Jaguars*
If Tua Tagovailoa plays – and it looks likely – I have to lay the wood. The Jaguars are terrible, and while Urban Meyer has gotten a brief respite thanks to Jon Gruden, I expect his team to get exposed again on Sunday. Take the Dolphins.
*game in London
Dolphins 27 - 20
Texans +9.5 at Colts
This is where I set the line, so I could go either way. Both teams lost heart-breaking games last week, but it seemed like Carson Wentz turned the corner, and the Colts defense held up until the last 20 minutes against the Ravens. Give me Indy.
Colts 33 - 20
Packers -4.5 at Bears
I dislike the Packers – they're a poorly constructed team around a good quarterback, wide receiver and running back. The defense isn't good, and they have no other outside weapons.