This article is part of our DraftKings Sportsbook series.
Seattle/Los Angeles Under 42 Points
The wager I like best this weekend is the under in the Seattle/Los Angeles game at 42. The Seattle defense has improved greatly over the course of the season and quarterback is a huge question for the Rams. I'd expect them to lean on the run which will run the clock and the Seahawks are facing the top defense in the league. I'd sprinkle a little on the under at 35.5 points (+225) here as well.
As far as the games go, I like my Bills -6.5 points. Look at their three losses - one to the Super Bowl Champs (KC), one on a weird Tuesday game (the Titans), and the last on a Hail Mary pass by Kyler Murray. Weather won't be an issue and I'd expect the Bills defense to focus on shutting down Jonathan Taylor.
Ravens -2.5 (-139)
I'd take the Ravens down to -2.5 (-139) just so the points don't matter in the game. The over/under of 54.5 is interesting and to be honest, I don't know what to make of that. As a Bills fan, the good news is one of these teams will be eliminated. The bad news? One of them will survive.
Michael Pittman Over 42.5 Receiving Yards
I'd expect Tre'Davious White to shadow T.Y. Hilton and Philip Rivers to look elsewhere to throw the ball. As much as I don't want to admit it, the Bills will give up yards today hopefully with the Colts playing from behind. I've gone to the Pittman well more than once this season and believe he might be the best receiver the Colts have.
Terry McLaurin Under 68.5 Receiving Yards
McLaurin has topped this mark only once in his last four games and you've got to think Tampa will be focused on shutting him down. Alex Smith is banged up and isn't going to push the ball down the field and instead will dump off secure passes to Logan Thomas and J.D. McKissic.
Derrick Henry Under 120.5 Rushing Yards
This is a huge number and you have to think the Ravens will be focused on shutting Henry down and making Ryan Tannehill beat them. The Ravens should also be focused on establishing their run game which should help chew up the clock.
Derrick Henry -200
He has 17 touchdowns this season and while I've touted the under for his rushing yards, it doesn't mean he can't find the end zone. Any snaps for Tennessee inside the 5-yard line should be a Henry carry and while I typically don't like laying these types of odds, I think this is an easy win.
I've done these two receiver combinations throughout the season and it's worked out more times than not. There's a scenario where both of them score a touchdown and it's just gravy at that point. You're basically getting both players at around +100 odds.
Again, I'm kind of hedging here taking two players. If only one of them scores, we make a profit. This is the game with the highest over/under total for the weekend and the Ravens are favored by a field goal. It's not a huge win if only one of these guys scores, but a win is a win.