This article is part of our Exploiting the Matchups series.
With a six-team bye on tap, it's that point of the year when the holiday season is a perfect analogy for our fantasy football decisions – will we get a "trick" or a "treat" with our replacement calls?
In a year that's causing us to roll the dice with some wildly unpredictable names due to injuries (Raheem Mostert, anyone?), it's more likely the treats will have come from actual trick-or-treating, not mining the waiver wire.
But we still must dig deep into that candy dish to look for the best one, the tastiest treat we can get our hands on. Fortunately, the holidays, like any good sugar rush, come and go quickly. So, enjoy the high of watching those dice rolls after kickoff and cross your fingers they come up "treat."
After all, there's really no way to accurately predict who will trick us (thanks, Belichick). When you roll the dice the house almost always wins (not sure how I went from Halloween to a casino, but stay with me here). Just like in seeking your number on a craps table or your favorite treat in a Halloween dish, the move is to boost your odds. Bet the statistically best numbers, pick as many pieces of candy as your hand can hold and opt for the players you know will have a role. After all, no touches, no treat.
It's still tough to discern a role sometimes with these fringe options, but I always try to marry