This article is part of our Best Ball Journal series.
For this article I'll try to identify the players serving as my staple best ball picks with the regular season approaching. Some patterns are setting in reliably, and my favorite targets are emerging with increasing clarity. I'll list them by descending ADP price. The ADP cited for MFL10s goes back to August 1, while for DRAFT the date range is not clear.
Alex Collins, RB, BAL (40.35 MFL, 31.6 DRAFT)
Collins is one of my (exceedingly rare!) prospect misses, and I'm embarrassed to admit the error of fixating on his non-indicative combine testing which, while legitimately terrible (4.59 40, 28.5-inch vertical, 113-inch broad jump), seem in hindsight like a pretty clear case of just not training properly. Collins was a blue chip recruit for Arkansas who generally played at a high level in college football's toughest conference, and despite getting cut by Seattle last year, the success he enjoyed in Baltimore was exactly the sort of production you would have predicted for Collins after his freshman year at Arkansas.
So while I understand why someone might be leery of Collins' ability to hold off competition, or otherwise consider him a flash in the pan, I personally am sold at this point. Again, what Collins did last year is exactly what you would