This article is part of our Matchup Edge series.
Giants vs. Rams
Open: 43.5 O/U, LAR -3.5
Press time: 42 O/U, LAR -4
It's a long trip for the Rams from Los Angeles, but the matchup in most regards appears clearly in their favor. With Janoris Jenkins out, Sammy Watkins and Robert Woods should see favorable coverage as Cooper Kupp presumably deals with the very tough Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie in the slot. Jared Goff's first inclination is to look to Kupp, but perhaps he won't often have that option if DRC is as good as usual. That could funnel a few extra targets to Woods and Watkins, who can both get open against the corners they'll see (very open in Watkins' case). Tyler Higbee is a favorite DFS tournament consideration for me against a Giants defense allowing 43 receptions for 508 yards (7.9 YPT) and eight touchdowns to tight ends. With three pass catchers profiling well in the matchup, I like Goff's projection as well.
If Goff and the Rams passing game are in sound shape, it should improve an already good projection for Todd Gurley. His rushing outlook is decent against a Giants defense allowing 4.1 yards per carry to running backs, and a good chunk of his rushing activity could occur in favorable field position if Goff plays well. With six or more targets in four games this year, Gurley also carries significant upside as a pass catcher against a Giants defense allowing 7.3 yards per target to running backs.
The Rams pass rush might rattle