This article is part of our FanDuel NBA series.
Thursday's five-game slate tips off at 7:30 p.m. ET. Let's begin with the Vegas odds and totals.
MIL (-2.5) vs. GSW O/U: 222.5
MEM (-5) vs. MIN O/U: 230
NOR (-2.5) vs. LAC 215.5
BKN (-9.5) vs. OKC O/U: 215.5
DEN (-9) vs. POR O/U: 215.5
MIL Jrue Holiday (ankle) - OUT
MIL George Hill (COVID-19 Protocols) - Questionable
GSW Draymond Green (calf) - OUT
MEM Dillon Brooks (ankle) - OUT
MEM Steven Adams (COVID-19 Protocols) - Questionable
LAC Paul George (elbow) - OUT
LAC Luke Kennard (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT
BKN LaMarcus Aldridge (foot) - OUT
BKN Nicolas Claxton (hamstring) - OUT
BKN Kevin Durant (rest) - OUT
BKN Patty Mills (rest) - OUT
Day'Ron Sharpe ($4,500) will see more time if both big men remain out.
POR Damian Lillard (abdomen) - OUT
POR CJ McCollum (chest) - OUT
POR Anfernee Simons (personal) - OUT
POR Norman Powell (COVID-19 Protocols) - OUT
POR Larry Nance (knee) - OUT
Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,300) is my favorite 10k-plus play in the marquee matchup of the night. I also don't mind James Harden ($10,000) as seemingly the only healthy star available for the Nets in a good matchup against OKC.
Although he's a tad expensive, Ja Morant ($9,000) is coming off a substantial 51-FP performance against Golden State as the red-hot Grizzlies continue to win. Anthony Edwards ($8,300) is also a green light on the other end of that matchup.
EXPECTED CHALK AND VALUE PLAYS
Jusuf Nurkic, POR ($7,500) @ POR
The Trail Blazers were blown out the last time they took on the Nuggets, but that was over a month ago and Nurkic only saw 21 minutes in the contest. The litany of injuries has driven Nurkic's numbers up, and he's regularly seeing over 30 minutes now. Although Nikola Jokic held Nurkic to four points and six rebounds in the blowout loss, his increased minutes should generate a better result.
Josh Giddey, OKC ($6,800) @ BKN
Giddey is on an excellent production run, averaging 14 points, 9.2 rebounds and 8.0 assists since returning from a three-game absence. His rebound and assist numbers are outstanding, and they go a long way toward fixing a stat line when Giddey's shots don't find the bottom of the basket. Stacking Giddey and SGA isn't advisable, but both have value against the Nets' below-average defense.
Bobby Portis, MIL ($6,200) vs. GSW
Portis has posted double-doubles in two of his last three games and averages an impressive 12 rebounds per game over the three-game span. Portis is in a similar situation to Giddey in that I wouldn't recommend stacking Giannis and Portis together, but he would work fine if you're opting for a different elite.