Handicapping the NBA: Monday Picks

Handicapping the NBA: Monday Picks

This article is part of our NBA Picks series.

Alex Barutha

76ers to cover -10.0 points (-110) at Rockets -- DraftKings, 2:35 PM CT

This is a big margin to cover on the road, but these teams are trending in opposite directions in terms of expectations.  Over the past two weeks, Philadelphia is outperforming the spread by an average of +6.2 points (-0.1 on the whole year), while Houston is underperforming the spread by an average of -7.6 points over the past two weeks (-1.9 on the year). The combined margin of the two teams gives me confidence in taking the 76ers despite the double-digit spread.

Nick Whalen

Cleveland Cavaliers -5.0 (-110) at Sacramento Kings -- DraftKings Sportsbook, 1:00 PM CT

Some of the luster has worn off the Cavs' impressive start over the last couple weeks, and they bottomed out with a terrible performance Sunday against Golden State, but getting the Kings on the second night of a back-to-back is a perfect bounceback opportunity. Cleveland is still covering at the best rate in the NBA, and that includes a 13-6-1 ATS mark on the road. The Cavs are 4-2-1 ATS on the second leg of back-to-backs and 3-1 ATS as a road favorite this season. Meanwhile, the Kings have dropped four straight games and are coming off of a 15-point drubbing at the hands of the woefully shorthanded Trail Blazers on Sunday. Sacramento is just 11-17 ATS as an underdog on the year.

Kirien Sprecher

Cleveland Cavaliers -5 (-110) at Sacramento KingsDraftKings Sportsbook 1:30 PM

The Cavaliers are 2-4 since losing Ricky Rubio for the season, but I still think they have the makings of a potential playoff squad. In order to make the playoffs, Cleveland is going to have to take care of business when they face the bottom half of the league, which means beating teams like the 12th place Kings. The Darius Garland/De'Aaron Fox showdown certainly draws a lot of attention, but I am focusing on the frontcourt matchup, as Sacramento may have to rely on Alex Len and Tristian Thompson, as Richaun Holmes is questionable due to COVID-19 protocols. I think rookie phenom Evan Mobley and veteran Jarrett Allen win this matchup -- regardless of Holmes status -- and help the Cavaliers get back on track with a solid win.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Kirien Sprecher
Kirien Sprecher is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate who has covered the NBA, NFL and MLB for RotoWire since early 2021. In his free time, Kirien is probably arguing a foul call during a pickup basketball game at a local rec center.
Nick Whalen
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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