This article is part of our NBA DFS Breakdown series.
Raptors (3-2) at Warriors
The Raptors have no injuries to report
Series Price: TOR -320, GSW +260
Spread: GSW -2.5, opened -4.0
Money Line: GSW -138, opened -136
Over/Under: 211.5, opened 210.5
Performance Against the Spread
|Last 10 Games||7-3||5-4-1|
Performance Against the Money Line
|Last 10 Games||7-3||7-3|
Performance Against the Over/Under
|Average +/- vs. O/U||-0.43||+1.05|
Stats Through Five Games
Unable to close out the series at home in the wake of Kevin Durant's Achilles injury, the Raptors will hope to upset Golden State during its last game in Oracle Arena. Considering 33 of the 34 teams to go up 3-1 in the Finals have won the title, the odds are still in Toronto's favor to raise the Larry O'Brien trophy.
But it shouldn't surprise anybody if the Warriors win Game 6. They're 36-14 when favored at home, and there are plenty of motivating factors – backs against the wall, KD's injury, last game in Oracle. However, the spread has tightened up since it opened at -4.0. It's not without reason. The Raptors have actually secured an advantage in each of the Four Factors and have a 114.9 offensive rating, which would have ranked third-highest during the regular-season.
By now, we've seen what these teams have to offer in terms of DFS. Kawhi Leonard, Steph Curry Klay Thompson and Draymond Green are high-usage, high-floor options. Each of them are putting on stellar performances on a regular basis. After you've inserted one of those players in your lineup, Toronto's role players catch the eye. The Raptors' depth has been a strong factor in their 3-2 lead, having six players averaging 10-plus points per game. On the other hand, the Warriors have only three such players.
Depending on how many of the stars you've thrown into your lineup, you may need some discount options. Every DFS site has different pricing, but there appears to be a clear drop-off after the likes of Andre Iguodala and Danny Green. Both players are seeing around 30 minutes per game, which is a great mark for lower-tier DFS options. Iguodala has upside based on his all-around play, while Green's upside is his ability to get hot from beyond the arc. My gut says to lean on Iguodala because the Warriors need him more than the Raptors need Green.