NBA DFS Breakdown: Final Game in Oracle
NBA DFS Breakdown: Final Game in Oracle

This article is part of our NBA DFS Breakdown series.

Raptors (3-2) at Warriors

The Raptors have no injuries to report

WarriorsPosInjuryStatusReturn
Kevon LooneyCChestGTD6/13/2019
Kevin DurantFAchillesOut4/1/2020

Odds

Series Price: TOR -320, GSW +260

Spread: GSW -2.5, opened -4.0

Money Line: GSW -138, opened -136

Over/Under: 211.5, opened 210.5

Performance Against the Spread

SituationRaptorsWarriors
Overall Record50-54-144-57-2
Last 10 Games7-35-4-1
Away Underdog13-8N/A
Home FavoriteN/A19-30-1

Performance Against the Money Line

SituationRaptorsWarriors
Overall Record73-3271-32
Last 10 Games7-37-3
Away Underdog12-9N/A
Home FavoriteN/A36-14

Performance Against the Over/Under

SituationRaptorsWarriors
Average +/- vs. O/U-0.43+1.05
Overall54-50-150-53
Away26-24-1N/A
HomeN/A21-30-0

Stats Through Five Games

Analysis

Unable to close out the series at home in the wake of Kevin Durant's Achilles injury, the Raptors will hope to upset Golden State during its last game in Oracle Arena. Considering 33 of the 34 teams to go up 3-1 in the Finals have won the title, the odds are still in Toronto's favor to raise the Larry O'Brien trophy.

But it shouldn't surprise anybody if the Warriors win Game 6. They're 36-14 when favored at home, and there are plenty of motivating factors – backs against the wall, KD's injury, last game in Oracle. However, the spread has tightened up since it opened at -4.0. It's not without reason. The Raptors have actually secured an advantage in each of the Four Factors and have a 114.9 offensive rating, which would have ranked third-highest during the regular-season.

By now, we've seen what these teams have to offer in terms of DFS. Kawhi Leonard, Steph Curry Klay Thompson and Draymond Green are high-usage, high-floor options. Each of them are putting on stellar performances on a regular basis. After you've inserted one of those players in your lineup, Toronto's role players catch the eye. The Raptors' depth has been a strong factor in their 3-2 lead, having six players averaging 10-plus points per game. On the other hand, the Warriors have only three such players.

Depending on how many of the stars you've thrown into your lineup, you may need some discount options. Every DFS site has different pricing, but there appears to be a clear drop-off after the likes of Andre Iguodala and Danny Green. Both players are seeing around 30 minutes per game, which is a great mark for lower-tier DFS options. Iguodala has upside based on his all-around play, while Green's upside is his ability to get hot from beyond the arc. My gut says to lean on Iguodala because the Warriors need him more than the Raptors need Green.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Alex Barutha plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel Username: unclestosh99, DraftKings Username: Roto_Alex.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's NBA Assistant Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, DraftKings Live and other platforms. Vince Carter and Alex both first dunked during their respective sophomore years of high school.
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