Jose Alvarado
24-Year-Old PitcherRP
10-Day IL
Injury Oblique
Est. Return 8/1/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Closers need a couple things: two quality pitches (or one amazing one) and command. Alvarado has two excellent pitches in a fastball that tickles triple digits and a hard, 11-5 breaking ball that batters have a tough time picking up out of his hand. Early in 2018, he lacked the command portion of that equation and had a 14% K-BB rate despite his stuff because he could not hit his spots consistently. That changed midseason and Alvarado had a 28 K-BB% in the second half while holding hitters to a .154 batting average and a .244 slugging percentage. He allowed one home run on the season to the 263 batters he faced, which while fortunate, also speaks to how tough he is for batters to pick up. A few year ago, the club had Felipe Vazquez on the roster and traded him to get Jose Lobaton. They have Vazquez 2.0 here and will not repeat that mistake. As long as the Rays do not try to game the arbitration system, this is their new closer. Read Past Outlooks
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#163
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Lands on injured list
PTampa Bay Rays
Oblique
July 11, 2019
Alvarado (oblique) was placed on the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
The move was expected, as Alvarado is in line to miss at least six weeks with an oblique strain. Expect Emilio Pagan and Diego Castillo (shoulder) to receive the bulk of the save chances for the Rays in his absence.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-22%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-48%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .241 184 44 20 38 7 0 1
Since 2017vs Right .191 326 99 37 54 11 3 3
2019vs Left .219 42 9 6 7 1 0 0
2019vs Right .279 82 25 13 19 3 1 2
2018vs Left .215 90 26 10 17 2 0 1
2018vs Right .167 173 54 19 25 8 1 0
2017vs Left .298 52 9 4 14 4 0 0
2017vs Right .156 71 20 5 10 0 1 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-39%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-21%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-24%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-66%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.95 1.11 68.1 1 9 7 11.5 3.8 0.3
Since 2017Away 2.42 1.40 52.0 0 5 8 9.7 4.8 0.3
2019Home 5.51 1.65 16.1 0 3 3 11.6 6.1 0.6
2019Away 4.35 1.74 10.1 0 2 4 11.3 7.0 0.9
2018Home 2.70 0.93 33.1 1 4 4 12.7 3.8 0.3
2018Away 2.05 1.30 30.2 0 2 4 9.7 4.4 0.0
2017Home 4.82 0.96 18.2 0 2 0 9.2 1.9 0.0
2017Away 1.64 1.36 11.0 0 1 0 8.2 4.1 0.8
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Stat Review
How does Jose Alvarado compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.79
 
K/9
11.5
 
BB/9
6.4
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
98.5 mph
 
ERA
5.06
 
WHIP
1.69
 
BABIP
.368
 
GB/FB
2.07
 
Left On Base
68.7%
 
Exit Velocity
89.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.8%
 
Spin Rate
2256 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
34.8%
 
Swinging Strike
13.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jose Alvarado
Collette Calls: AL Bold Predictions Mid-Year Assessment
3 days ago
Jason Collette looks at where his 30 bold AL predictions stand now that we're halfway through the season. Jackie Bradley Jr. is heating up in the second half again.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
7 days ago
Erik Siegrist sifts through a pitching-rich waiver wire in the American League and notes a number of players getting ready to return from the IL, including Rangers outfielder Hunter Pence.
Mound Musings: The Futures Game Showcase
10 days ago
Brad Johnson examines some of the impact players in the Futures Game who he thinks should be on fantasy watch lists, like the Braves Ian Anderson.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
21 days ago
Erik Siegrist looks over the free-agent pool in the American League and thinks Brendan McKay is ready to make a big impact in the Tampa Bay rotation.
Mound Musings: Potential Second Half Success Stories
24 days ago
Brad Johnson examines pitchers who are candidates to improve significantly in the second half like Aaron Nola, who Johnson anticipates will soon be on a roll.
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarado's fastball-slider combo had enticed during his rise through the farm system, but he hadn't shown an ability to locate with consistency prior to 2017. The lefty issued walks at a 6.4 BB/9 clip in a 16-game stint at Triple-A and hadn't posted a mark under 4.0 at any level. All of a sudden, Alvarado began hitting his spots and ended up with an above-average walk rate (2.7 BB/9) in his first exposure to big-league hitters. The swing-and-miss came with him to the majors, with Alvarado averaging close to a strikeout per inning, and he induced groundballs 53.7 percent of the time. His FIP was more than a run lower than his ERA at 2.55 -- that was good for 18th among 291 relievers with at least 20 innings. Alvarado was excellent against righties (.193 wOBA), and if Alex Colome is dealt this winter, Alvarado could get a look in the ninth.
More Fantasy News
Out longer than expected
PTampa Bay Rays
Oblique
July 8, 2019
Alvarado (oblique) could miss 6-to-8 weeks, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out 2-to-6 weeks
PTampa Bay Rays
Oblique
July 6, 2019
Alvarado (oblique) is expected to miss 2-to-6 weeks depending on the results of his MRI, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
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Dealing with oblique strain
PTampa Bay Rays
Oblique
July 6, 2019
Alvarado left Saturday's game against the Yankees with a strained oblique, Josh Tolentino of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with side injury
PTampa Bay Rays
July 6, 2019
Alvarado left Saturday's game against the Yankees with an apparent side injury, Steve Carney of Sports Radio 620 WDAE reports.
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Lower-leverage role on tap?
PTampa Bay Rays
July 4, 2019
Alvarado, who's allowed seven runs (six earned) across three appearances since returning from an extended absence due to personal reasons, may be used in lower-leverage situations in the short term, Marc Topkin of the Tamp Bay Times reports. "In all fairness to him, us, probably try to find a softer spot for him,'' manager Kevin Cash said. "Unfortunately we don't have many soft spots, and there's not a soft spot when you face the New York Yankees."
ANALYSIS
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