Cristian Javier

Cristian Javier

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Houston Astros
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Javier posted career highs with 31 starts and 162 innings. However, his skills fell precipitously from the previous season. Most notably, Javier's slider wasn't nearly as effective, fueling a strikeout rate drop from 33.2 percent to 23.1 percent. His 3.44 BB/9 compared to a 3.15 BB/9 in 2022 suggests a decline in control, but Javier's BB% was nearly identical to the previous campaign. The reason is his BABIP last year was .272, 48 points higher than the .228 mark from 2022. The increase in base runners bumped up the plate appearance denominator in BB%. As a fly ball pitcher, a .272 BABIP is plausible; he was fortunate the prior season. Inconsistent release points rendered Javier's slider and four-seam fastball less dominant, but he showed signs of improvement down the stretch and into the postseason. The Astros are a smart organization, so Javier will probably make the needed adjustments. Still, expecting a rebound to 2022 levels is aggressive. Splitting the difference between the last two seasons is the sage approach. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#175
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $64 million contract extension with the Astros in February of 2023.
Continues strong start
PHouston Astros
April 14, 2024
Javier (2-0) allowed two runs on five hits and two walks to earn the win Sunday over the Rangers. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
Javier needed just 89 pitches to complete seven innings, throwing 62 for strikes to earn the win in his longest outing of the season. Javier's command had been a bit shaky going into Sunday's outing, walking eight batters over 10.1 innings during his previous two starts. However, he's provided a much-needed boost to the short-handed Astros rotation, allowing just four earned runs for a 1.54 ERA over his first four starts spanning 23.1 innings. He'll have a chance to improve upon those numbers even further in his next start as he's tentatively slated for a weekend matchup against the Nationals in Washington.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Cristian Javier generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Cristian Javier generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-28%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-32%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-31%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-22%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .233 738 165 73 152 36 5 21
Since 2022vs Right .168 629 206 52 95 21 1 22
2024vs Left .222 44 6 7 8 4 0 1
2024vs Right .152 51 12 4 7 2 1 0
2023vs Left .273 372 69 35 90 21 4 12
2023vs Right .189 315 90 27 53 12 0 13
2022vs Left .189 322 90 31 54 11 1 8
2022vs Right .147 263 104 21 35 7 0 9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-34%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-70%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 2.73 1.03 161.2 13 7 0 10.1 3.1 1.0
Since 2022Away 4.13 1.19 172.1 10 7 0 9.9 3.6 1.3
2024Home 1.00 1.00 18.0 2 0 0 7.0 4.0 0.5
2024Away 3.38 1.50 5.1 0 0 0 6.8 5.1 0.0
2023Home 3.71 1.21 68.0 5 2 0 9.4 2.8 0.9
2023Away 5.17 1.31 94.0 5 3 0 8.4 3.9 1.7
2022Home 2.26 0.89 75.2 6 5 0 11.4 3.2 1.2
2022Away 2.84 1.01 73.0 5 4 0 12.1 3.1 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Cristian Javier compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.64
 
K/9
6.9
 
BB/9
4.2
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
92.1 mph
 
ERA
1.54
 
WHIP
1.11
 
BABIP
.227
 
GB/FB
0.46
 
Left On Base
85.4%
 
Swinging Strike
10.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Losing rotation spot?
PHouston Astros
September 17, 2023
The Astros have yet to announce a starter for Wednesday's game against the Orioles, which would be Javier's typical turn through the rotation, per Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle.
ANALYSIS
Javier allowed two earned runs over five innings during his previous start but has a 6.99 ERA across his past 14 outings, dating back to June 21. The right-hander has been a staple of Houston's rotation over the past few years, but he's been unable to replicate the 3.05 ERA he posted from 2020-22 and could be at risk of losing his place in the rotation.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
After throwing only 101.1 innings in 2021, Javier started the year in the bullpen with the intention of conserving innings for the playoffs. The plan worked perfectly as Javier ended up starting 25 of his 30 appearances, compiling 148.2 frames before dominating in the postseason. Javier benefited from a fortunate 83.6% LOB mark and .228 BABIP. With a 26% groundball rate, his low 9.1% HR/FB mark came in handy. Javier's success wasn't just luck-driven as he posted a career high 24.3% K-BB%, the eighth best among pitchers with at least 140 innings. He used his four-seamer 60% of the time and a slider at a 28% clip. These are Javier's best pitches, but he mixes in a curve and changeup. He's due an ERA correction, but the kid gloves should be off with Javier working with no innings restrictions. Fly ball pitchers carry extra risk, but Javier's 33% strikeout rate limits concerns, so he warrants SP2/SP3 status.
Javier came into 2021 with some noise given his efforts during his rookie season, but 2021 was a bit all over the place. He opened the season in the rotation, and even tied a franchise record by striking out the first eight batters of a game in his third start. By the end of May, he was 3-1 with a 3.14 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and was holding hitters to a .171 average. Despite the success, the club decided to move him to the bullpen as Jake Odorizzi and Framber Valdez joined the rotation, and Javier's value plunged as he went on to win one game, save two others and run into issues with walks and homers out of the bullpen around plenty of strikeouts. Those issues carried over into the postseason as well. In all, he showed both what he is capable of when things are going right for him as well as how bad things can get when he struggles to locate his offerings. He is at his best when he is isn't overusing his fastball.
It's fairly easy to see that Javier overachieved as a rookie with a 5-2 record and 3.48 ERA over 12 appearances (10 starts) for the Astros. He served up 11 HR in 54.1 regular-season innings, and of course the estimators will ding him for all those long balls and a 86.2 LOB% (4.94 FIP, 4.86 xFIP, 4.43 SIERA). At age 23, Javier did not light up the radar gun with a four-seamer that averaged just 92.2 mph, but his slider was virtually unhittable. The right-hander threw 227 sliders during the regular season and allowed four hits, all singles, with 24 strikeouts. The changeup and curveball were distant third and fourth offerings, and the fact that Javier is currently mostly a fastball-slider pitcher leaves open a good deal of bullpen risk. Indeed the bullpen is where Javier spent the postseason. If the third pitch comes along, Javier could take off as the other pieces are there. Don't write off the possibility.
An international signee out of the Dominican Republic, Javier was added to the Astros 40-man roster, shielding him from the Rule 5 draft. The 6-foot-1 righthander features a fastball in the low 90s, touching 96. Not surprisingly considering the organization, what Javier's fastball lacks in velocity is made up for via high spin. He throws a curve and slider, both highly reliant on rotation. Javier's fate may depend on how well he develops his change-up, an offering better with less spin. With that effective pitch to combat lefthanders, Javier's long-term role is in the rotation with the bullpen as a fallback. Javier worked at three levels last season, finishing with a short stint at Triple-A Round Rock where he'll likely start the 2020 campaign. Javier has excelled at every level. If he impresses with the Express, he could get a look as a reliever later in the season as Houston often does with young arms.
More Fantasy News
Pitches into sixth versus Royals
PHouston Astros
April 9, 2024
Javier pitched 5.1 innings and allowed three runs (two earned) on five hits and three walks while striking out four batters in Tuesday's 4-3 extra-inning loss to the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Extends scoreless streak Wednesday
PHouston Astros
April 4, 2024
Javier (1-0) earned the win over Toronto on Wednesday, allowing one hit and issuing five walks while striking out three batters over five scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses six shutout frames
PHouston Astros
March 29, 2024
Javier allowed four hits and a walk over six shutout innings during Friday's 7-1 loss to the Yankees. He struck out six and didn't factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Lined up for regular season
PHouston Astros
March 17, 2024
Javier will start the second game of the regular season against the Yankees, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles to control runners
PHouston Astros
March 2, 2024
Javier allowed two stolen bases and was slow to the plate during his Grapefruit League outing Saturday against the Cardinals, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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