Joey Lucchesi
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Deception is the name of the game with Lucchesi; the lefty has a funky delivery and arm slot. The 2016 fourth-round pick was a surprise addition to the rotation out of spring training and enjoyed quite a bit of initial success, posting a 3.23 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 48:15 K:BB over nine starts before a hip strain forced him to the disabled list. It ultimately became clear that the deception could only take Lucchesi so far. Once teams got a better scouting report, the results took a predictable turn for the worse (4.88 ERA, 1.37 WHIP after the break) even as he continued to miss bats at a steady clip. The 7.9% walk rate looks good, but his command is actually lacking in a major way; the emerging stats that attempt to judge a pitcher's intent all point to Lucchesi's command being bad. Right-handers combined for a .339 wOBA against Lucchesi and he had homer trouble at home and on the road. There are better fliers to take in the mid-to-late rounds. Read Past Outlooks
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Allows six runs in loss
PSan Diego Padres
July 20, 2019
Lucchesi (7-5) allowed six runs on 10 hits and three walks while striking out three over 4.1 innings in a loss to the Cubs on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
The big blow came in the fourth inning when Javier Baez turned a one-run deficit into a two-run lead with one swing of the bat. Lucchesi's strikeout rate is down more than three percentage points from a year ago, but he's allowing less hard contact and fewer line drives overall. This recent stretch in the schedule has been especially tough (@LAD, vs. ATL, @CHC), and Lucchesi has held his own. He lines up for a home start against the Giants next week.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .236 204 56 15 43 8 0 3
Since 2017vs Right .240 758 185 56 166 35 3 33
2019vs Left .226 90 23 6 19 5 0 2
2019vs Right .220 324 73 22 65 16 0 11
2018vs Left .245 114 33 9 24 3 0 1
2018vs Right .256 434 112 34 101 19 3 22
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-51%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.47 1.21 142.2 11 7 0 9.2 3.2 1.3
Since 2017Away 4.89 1.21 88.1 4 6 0 9.7 2.1 1.5
2019Home 2.83 1.04 63.2 6 2 0 8.2 3.0 0.8
2019Away 5.79 1.23 37.1 1 2 0 9.2 1.7 1.7
2018Home 3.99 1.35 79.0 5 5 0 10.0 3.3 1.7
2018Away 4.24 1.20 51.0 3 4 0 10.1 2.5 1.4
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Joey Lucchesi compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.43
 
K/9
8.6
 
BB/9
2.5
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
90.7 mph
 
ERA
3.92
 
WHIP
1.11
 
BABIP
.273
 
GB/FB
1.53
 
Left On Base
70.4%
 
Exit Velocity
88.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.0%
 
Spin Rate
2211 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
34.8%
 
Swinging Strike
11.4%
 
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Defensive Stats
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More Fantasy News
No-decision versus Braves
PSan Diego Padres
July 13, 2019
Lucchesi didn't factor in the decision Saturday, allowing two runs on three hits and two walks while striking out four over five innings versus the Braves.
ANALYSIS
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Beats Dodgers for seventh win
PSan Diego Padres
July 8, 2019
Lucchesi (7-4) allowed three runs on six hits and no walks across 6.1 innings to earn the win Sunday against the Dodgers. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Whiffs six in 5.1 innings
PSan Diego Padres
June 30, 2019
Lucchesi did not factor into the decision against the Cardinals on Sunday, tossing 5.1 innings and allowing two runs on four hits and three walks while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
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Allows four runs
PSan Diego Padres
June 23, 2019
Lucchesi didn't factor into the decision Sunday against the Pirates after allowing four runs on six hits in five innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Brilliant against Brewers
PSan Diego Padres
June 17, 2019
Lucchesi (6-4) got the win against the Brewers on Monday, tossing seven shutout innings, giving up three hits, striking out five and walking three in the Padres' 2-0 victory.
ANALYSIS
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