Dinelson Lamet
Dinelson Lamet
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Lamet made the leap from a volatile source of strikeouts to borderline ace in 2020. The driving force behind his success was his slider, which he used at a league-high 53% rate -- Patrick Corbin had the second-highest usage at a 40% clip -- and limited opposing batters to a .162 xSLG while generating a 47.4 Whiff%. Lamet also flashed an improved fastball, and combined to use his fastball-slider combination 90% of the time. While it's fair to say Lamet earned his results in 2020, it must also be noted that he limited both walks and home runs at a level he previously hadn't shown. Risk of regression is only heightened by his reliance on his slider and limitations as a two-pitch pitcher. Lamet is expected to avoid surgery on his elbow after going down late in the season, but he is still extremely risky from a health/workload standpoint heading into 2021. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#104
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1.3 million contract with the Padres in January of 2020.
Fine following Tuesday start
PSan Diego Padres
May 6, 2021
Lamet came out of Tuesday's appearance against the Pirates without any setbacks, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Lamet threw only 30 pitches in the outing and experienced a drop in his velocity in the second inning, but manager Jayce Tingler suggested that the decline was likely due to rust rather than injury. If he continues feeling well throughout the week, Lamet could make his next start Sunday at San Francisco.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
30
Last 10 Games
30
Last 5 Games
30
How many pitches does Dinelson Lamet generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Dinelson Lamet generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-33%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .194 321 104 26 56 10 0 9
Since 2019vs Right .206 269 96 24 49 12 0 8
2021vs Left .300 10 3 0 3 0 0 0
2021vs Right .333 7 1 1 2 0 0 0
2020vs Left .132 143 49 12 17 1 0 3
2020vs Right .196 117 42 7 21 7 0 2
2019vs Left .242 168 52 14 36 9 0 6
2019vs Right .208 145 53 16 26 5 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-12%
ERA on Road
2021
No Stats
2020
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-44%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.17 1.08 88.0 3 3 0 12.0 3.0 0.9
Since 2019Away 2.79 1.07 58.0 3 3 0 13.2 3.4 1.2
2021Home 0.00 1.50 4.0 0 0 0 9.0 2.3 0.0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 1.88 0.81 48.0 3 0 0 12.8 2.4 0.6
2020Away 2.57 0.95 21.0 0 1 0 10.7 3.0 0.9
2019Home 5.25 1.39 36.0 0 3 0 11.3 3.8 1.5
2019Away 2.92 1.14 37.0 3 2 0 14.6 3.6 1.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Dinelson Lamet compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.00
 
K/9
9.0
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
95.0 mph
 
ERA
0.00
 
WHIP
1.50
 
BABIP
.407
 
GB/FB
2.00
 
Left On Base
100.0%
 
Exit Velocity
83.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
2474 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
35.0%
 
Swinging Strike
18.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dinelson Lamet
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Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
12 days ago
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NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
14 days ago
With many positional battles across the league, Jan Levine figures Nico Hoerner could win the Cubs' job at second.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
Every offseason, someone gains helium to the point they're "so underrated, they're overrated." Lamet could be that guy, coming off his first action since missing 2018 rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. The right-hander debuted July 4 and fireworks ensued as Lamet fanned 105 in just 73 frames. His 33.6 K% would have ranked fourth among qualified starters if he pitched ample innings. Lamet's 9.6 BB% was high, though an improvement from his rookie season. While command was likely an issue, Lamet was also a bit unlucky as his 77th percent average exit velocity should have portended lower marks in BABIP (.311) and HR/FB (19.7%). There's little doubt Lamet has the stuff to be a difference maker and barring a complete breakdown, he'll break camp in the Padres' rotation. The key will be controlling his slider to complement his plus fastball and developing his changeup as a viable third pitch.
Lamet tantalized with his performance in 2017, making him a popular sleeper during draft season, but he did not end up throwing a single pitch in 2018. The right-hander left a March 25 spring training game with elbow discomfort, and while the Padres were initially hopeful that they would get him back in the rotation by May, Tommy John surgery was ultimately deemed necessary. There has been little from the team regarding his progress, but Lamet will likely be out until the summer months. The last time we saw Lamet in regular-season action, he was dominating right-handed batters while showing an impressive strikeout punch. His detractors wisely pointed to the lack of a third pitch -- he began throwing a curveball last spring before getting hurt -- and the heavy reliance on the slider. He's a big unknown after the long layoff and it's probably wise to just wait and see if he can A) return to full health and B) regain a similar level of effectiveness.
Lamet rode his high-90s fastball and wipeout slider to a 28.7 strikeout percentage in 2017, which ranked 12th among major-league pitchers with 100-plus innings. The 25-year-old only worked 49.2 Triple-A innings, so he lacks polish around the plate (4.3 BB/9 with the Padres, 3.8 in his minor-league career). It's also difficult to trust this lineup for run support. Even with these obstacles, he showed promise in the second half, sporting a 3.80 ERA with 84 strikeouts in 73.1 innings while giving up just 0.98 homers per nine innings, hinting he may be correcting that major issue. Developing a reliable third pitch -- his changeup or sinker -- might be Lamet's elixir for left-handed bats, who tagged him for a .364 wOBA. Petco Park provides a favorable environment for talented pitchers to develop, and cheap investments in flawed, strikeout-heavy arms often go a long way in fantasy.
This is an example of how scouting the stats can be dangerous. Lamet's minor league numbers last year, particularly his 91:31 K:BB in 74.1 innings at Double-A, would suggest he is a promising pitching prospect with the potential to make an impact in the big league rotation this season. He may make an impact in the majors in 2017, but it is unlikely to be as a successful starting pitcher. His command is shaky at best, and he lacks a third pitch. At 24 years old, it is hard to expect that third pitch to show up, leaving Lamet destined for relief. Of course, considering the lack of quality options in the big league rotation, he may be allowed to fail as a starter before the transition to the bullpen is made. Once in the bullpen, his fastball should sit in the mid-to-high-90s and his slider could serve as an out pitch, meaning a high-leverage role could be in store down the road.
More Fantasy News
Two innings Tuesday
PSan Diego Padres
May 4, 2021
Lamet started Tuesday's 2-1 loss to San Diego and tossed two scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Tuesday vs. Pirates
PSan Diego Padres
May 4, 2021
Lamet (forearm) will start Tuesday's game against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Throws off mound again
PSan Diego Padres
Forearm
May 3, 2021
Manager Jayce Tingler said Lamet (forearm) felt good coming out of his most recent bullpen session Sunday, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Won't start Sunday
PSan Diego Padres
Forearm
May 2, 2021
Lamet (forearm) won't start Sunday's game against San Francisco.
ANALYSIS
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Could start Sunday
PSan Diego Padres
Forearm
April 28, 2021
Lamet (forearm tightness) could start Sunday's game against the Giants, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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