Jharel Cotton
Jharel Cotton
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Oakland Athletics
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/2/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Cotton was battling for an Opening Day rotation spot when he suffered a strained UCL in the middle of spring training, and the right-hander ultimately opted to undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery in mid-March. While he resumed throwing in August, he is expected to remain sidelined at the start of the 2019 season. A clearer timetable for the right-hander’s return should emerge as he progresses in his rehab, but Cotton figures to get at least one more opportunity in Oakland’s rotation whenever he’s deemed ready. He struggled during his first extended look with the A’s in 2017, posting a 5.58 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 105:53 K:BB through 129 innings (24 starts), though he looked much better during spring training in 2018 prior to suffering the injury. There's still some perceived upside with the former Dodgers prospect given the quality of his changeup, but he'll need to prove he's healthy before warranting any serious consideration. Read Past Outlooks
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#732
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Gets in mound work
POakland Athletics
Elbow
February 12, 2019
Cotton (elbow) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Jane Lee of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Now nearly 11 months removed from Tommy John surgery, Cotton is a bit further behind in his recovery than the Athletics anticipated at this point, but a return to game action in 2019 remains in play. The Athletics are tentatively targeting a mid-summer return for the right-hander, whose innings count will likely be monitored carefully regardless of how he progresses in the months to come. Once he receives a clean bill of health, Cotton will at the very least provide another depth option for an Oakland rotation lacking in impact arms.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-33%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .237 307 55 34 63 8 0 15
Since 2016vs Right .265 371 73 23 90 24 0 17
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left .257 255 44 30 56 7 0 14
2017vs Right .275 311 61 23 77 22 0 14
2016vs Left .146 52 11 4 7 1 0 1
2016vs Right .217 60 12 0 13 2 0 3
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-32%
ERA on Road
2018
No Stats
2017
 
 
-44%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-61%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 5.76 1.29 88.0 6 6 0 7.6 3.1 2.1
Since 2016Away 3.89 1.37 69.1 5 4 0 6.9 3.4 1.4
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 6.98 1.52 69.2 4 6 0 7.9 3.7 2.3
2017Away 3.94 1.35 59.1 5 4 0 6.7 3.6 1.5
2016Home 1.40 0.47 19.1 2 0 0 6.5 0.9 1.4
2016Away 3.60 1.50 10.0 0 0 0 8.1 1.8 0.9
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jharel Cotton
The Z Files: AL Rotation Overview
236 days ago
Todd Zola shifts back to the American League for a look at each team's rotation situation, where Ervin Santana might finally be closing in on his 2018 debut for the Twins.
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238 days ago
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260 days ago
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330 days ago
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Mound Musings: AL West Draft Day Targets
335 days ago
Brad Johnson wraps up his trip around the league with an analysis of the arms of the AL West, featuring Justin Verlander and the stellar Houston Astros staff.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
Cotton's changeup is nasty, but pitchers need more than one weapon in their arsenal to sustain success against big-league hitters. After Cotton turned in a 2.15 ERA in a five-start sample in 2016, he was rocked for a 5.58 ERA last season. Home runs were a major problem (1.95 HR/9) as Cotton's flyball rate hovered around 46 percent -- his "sinker" hardly gets any sink and he had a nasty habit of leaving his four-seamer up in the wheelhouse of lefty batters (14 homers allowed to lefties). Walks compounded the issues with the long ball, with Cotton issuing free passes at a 9.4 percent clip, and he managed only a modest 18.6 percent strikeout rate. Fortunately, a late-season elbow scare proved minor, as Cotton was given a clean bill of health heading into the offseason. With a lack of quality alternatives behind him, he seems likely to get a chance to make amends in the rotation in 2018.
The Dodgers sent Cotton to Oakland to acquire Josh Reddick, and the right-hander found his way into the rotation about a month later. Though he sparkled in his first five major league starts and probably has the inside track at a rotation spot, some may overlook him because of the 7.1 K/9 during his time with Oakland and 4.31 ERA at Triple-A. The ugliness of his minor league surface stats masked the beauty of his 10.3 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9. Cotton's swinging-strike rate (a whopping 12.5 percent), an excellent get-ahead approach (66.1 first-strike rate) and diverse cache of pitches suggest he should've had better luck in the K/9 department. Those factors position him for a productive first full year, especially in his new pitcher-friendly environment, which will at least limit the dangers of his flyball-first approach in home starts. He's a low-cost sleeper yet possibly one of fantasy's best prospects for 2017.
Cotton saw his prospect status soar after an excellent 2015 in which he saw time at four different levels, ultimately finishing with five relief appearances in Triple-A. His Triple-A debut was pretty good, with Cotton striking out the only six hitters he faced in two innings. Combined, Cotton posted a 2.45 ERA in 95.2 innings with an excellent 114:31 K:BB. That 10.7 K/9 likely propelled him at least close to the team's top 10 prospects list. Cotton stands just 5-foot-11 and was a 20th-round pick, but a unique delivery and excellent stuff have propelled him up the charts. Cotton features a fastball anywhere from 90-95 mph, an excellent curveball, and a changeup that is already talked about as well above average for his development. Cotton spent time in both the rotation and the bullpen after returning from a wrist injury in late May. His long-term future is yet to be decided, but he should make his major league debut in some capacity this season after opening up in Triple-A.
More Fantasy News
Eyes midseason return
POakland Athletics
Elbow
February 10, 2019
Cotton (elbow) is behind in his rehab program but is still on track to return in the middle of the 2019 season, Julian McWilliams of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Begins throwing program
POakland Athletics
Elbow
August 13, 2018
Cotton (elbow) played catch Monday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Making progress in rehab
POakland Athletics
Elbow
July 30, 2018
Cotton (elbow) progressed to making sock throws Monday in his rehab from Tommy John surgery, Jane Lee of MLB.com reports. "That's a big day for him," manager Bob Melvin said. "To get to the point now where he gets to use his arm a little bit and sees a light at the end of the tunnel, I know he has a big smile on his face today."
ANALYSIS
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Undergoes successful surgery
POakland Athletics
Elbow
March 21, 2018
Cotton underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports. The Athletics had placed him on the 60-day disabled list two days earlier.
ANALYSIS
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Surgery set for Wednesday
POakland Athletics
Elbow
March 18, 2018
Cotton (elbow) is scheduled to undergo Tommy John surgery on Wednesday in Arlington, Tex., Jane Lee of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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