Juan Soto

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF

New York Yankees

2024 Stats

AVG

.328

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

All's well that ends well? Soto was hitting .202 with five homers and 11 RBI as the calendar flipped to May, making many fantasy managers rather nervous watching their first round foundational pick get off to such a poor start. Soto went on to turn things around, hitting 30 homers, driving in 98, and hitting .290 for the rest of the season to finish as the 16th most valuable fantasy player in our standard rankings. He was one of three qualified hitters with more walks than strikeouts in 2023 and has still not fallen below the .400 mark for a season on-base percentage in his entire career. The batting average has taken a tumble since the 2020-2021 season but the volume is still in place for the other statistics. After getting traded to the Yankees for his final year before free agency, Soto will gain a massive home-park power boost, as Yankee Stadium rates as the second best park for lefty power, per Baseball Savant's park factors, while San Diego rated as the fifth-worst such park. There will be immense pressure on him to produce in pinstripes as his free agency looms next winter. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#10

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'1"

Weight 220

DOB 10/25/1998

Born Santo Domingo, DR

College None

Drafted 2015 WSH

Belts third homer

OFNew York Yankees

April 14, 2024

Soto went 1-for-7 with a three-run home run, three walks and two total runs in Saturday's doubleheader sweep of Cleveland.

ANALYSIS
Soto drew a walk but was otherwise quiet with an 0-for-4 line in Game 1 of the twin bill. However, me made plenty of noise in the nightcap with a 408-foot, three-run blast in the fourth inning. The long ball was Soto's third this season, and he's added 15 RBI through 15 games. The star outfielder is off to a strong start to his tenure with New York, slashing .333/.458/.544 with a 14:10 BB:K through 72 plate appearances. He has at least one hit in six of his past seven outings.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+25%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+17%

OPS vs LHP

2023

+21%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+34%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.771	468	60	16	51	6	.240	.368	.403
Since 2022vs Right	.960	984	141	49	135	13	.274	.428	.532
2024vs Left	1.080	25	3	1	7	1	.400	.480	.600
2024vs Right	.924	56	8	2	8	0	.295	.446	.477
2023vs Left	.813	207	26	8	21	4	.256	.377	.436
2023vs Right	.980	501	71	27	88	8	.283	.424	.556
2022vs Left	.701	236	31	7	23	1	.210	.347	.354
2022vs Right	.942	427	62	20	39	5	.261	.431	.511
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+11%

OPS on Road

2024

+24%

OPS at Home

2023

+24%

OPS on Road

2022

+1%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.848	701	88	27	81	6	.242	.399	.448
Since 2022Away	.943	751	113	38	105	13	.282	.417	.526
2024Home	1.119	28	4	1	8	1	.381	.500	.619
2024Away	.899	53	7	2	7	0	.302	.434	.465
2023Home	.827	349	39	12	45	3	.240	.398	.429
2023Away	1.026	359	58	23	64	9	.307	.422	.604
2022Home	.847	324	45	14	28	2	.233	.392	.455
2022Away	.859	339	48	13	34	4	.251	.410	.449
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Stat Review

How does Juan Soto compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

1.60

BB Rate

19.8%

K Rate

12.3%

BABIP

.346

ISO

.188

AVG

.328

OBP

.457

SLG

.516

OPS

.972

wOBA

.426

Exit Velocity

95.2 mph

Hard Hit Rate

40.0%

Barrels/PA

8.6%

Expected BA

.302

Expected SLG

.539

Sprint Speed

Ground Ball %

48.1%

Line Drive %

25.9%

Fly Ball %

25.9%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Juan Soto Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Likely to hit free agency

OFNew York Yankees

February 15, 2024

General manager Brian Cashman said that he expects Soto to test free agency after the 2024 season, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
Cashman didn't rule out the possibility of re-signing Soto altogether but conceded that a long-term deal is unlikely to get done before the 2024 season concludes. Soto has posted a wOBA of greater than .390 in five of his six campaigns and will be only 26 upon hitting free agency. As a result, the total value of his deal could exceed $400 million.

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

Baseball is an incredibly difficult game, and even players with Hall of Fame skill sets will struggle for stretches. At the end of June, Soto was batting just .224. It leaked in the media that Soto had turned down the Nationals' 15-year, $440 million offer, setting the stage for a blockbuster trade that sent Soto out West for an all-time prospect haul. Batting average, as we know, has its limitations, and in Soto's case his .242 season mark is downright misleading. He still hit the ball with incredible authority and chased pitches outside of the zone at a lower rate than anyone. The Padres did not run much last season under manager Bob Melvin, but everything else sets up well for a big-time rebound in Soto's first full season in San Diego.

Soto, at 23 years old, is already arguably the best hitter in baseball. He has put up the type of stats from ages 19-22 that we expect to see from players in their prime years of 25-28, and a .301/.432/.550 career slash line is cheat-code worthy. He has improved his walk rate every year in the majors and has reduced his strikeout rate so much so that he has nearly a 50-50 chance to reach base every time he steps to the plate. A repeat of 110-plus runs should not be too much of a problem for him although there are more question marks than answers in the Nationals' current projected lineup. A rebound season from Cesar Hernandez and another solid Josh Bell season should lead to RBI chances for Soto, but the lack of talent behind him in the lineup could lead to more of what we saw after the trade deadline when the league walked Soto 29% of the time as he posted a .333/.525/.578 slash line.

Already a fantasy first-rounder before his 22nd birthday, Soto's 2020 exploits cemented him as a top-five pick, just a handful of steals away from No. 1 overall consideration. His biggest fans will take him there regardless. Soto's .351/.490/.695 slash line is even more remarkable considering he had a positive COVID-19 test the last week of summer camp and missed the first eight games of the season, catching a break that some of the Nationals' schedule was postponed in early August. The scary thing is Soto's production is fully supported by most Statcast metrics falling 90th percentile and higher. The exception is sprint speed, but he's a heady runner so maintaining double-digit steals is plausible. With an advanced eye, Soto is even better for OBP and points leagues, though some of his walk rate emanated from the Barry Bonds treatment in September. Even with batted-ball regression, Soto is a Triple Crown candidate.

Given what we saw from Soto at ages 19 and 20, it seems reasonable to say a Hall of Fame foundation is being laid. Soto was a top-12 rate contributor in the game by wRC+ in 2019, and he continued to shine on the biggest stage with a .277/.373/.554 line and five homers in the postseason. His K% and BB% were nearly identical to his marks from 2018 at 20.0% and 16.4%, respectively, and his xSLG, xwOBA and xwOBA on contact all ranked within the top 5% of the league. Soto also chipped in 12 steals in just 13 attempts. With that, he finished as the No. 13 roto hitter despite making a trip to the IL in May with back spasms. This profile is truly special and there aren't really any holes in his game. Not having Anthony Rendon ahead of him to drive in may hurt Soto's RBI count and we should probably expect a return to single-digit steals, but regardless the bat is good enough to warrant a first-round pick.

Simply put, Soto had one of the best seasons for a teenager of all time. His talent has never been in question, but the fact he even made his debut in 2018 came as a huge surprise considering he opened the year at Low-A. Soto arrived in the majors May 20 and made an immediate impact, homering in his first career start. He never looked back after that, posting a stellar .923 OPS and missing out on the Rookie of the Year award only because of an equally impressive season from Ronald Acuna. Among MLB hitters with at least 450 PA, Soto ranked sixth in BB% (16.0), 10th in wRC+ (146) and 12th in BB/K (0.80). Again, he was 19 when he did this. He handled righties (152 wRC+) and lefties (128 wRC+) just fine, so don't worry about a platoon. The loss of Bryce Harper may cost him some RBI and runs, but it also likely locks him in as the cleanup hitter indefinitely.

A fractured right ankle, hamate bone surgery and hamstring strain combined to limit one of the game's most exciting young prospects to just 32 games in 2017. That didn't stop him from reminding dynasty-league owners of his extreme upside when he was on the field. Soto's 172 wRC+ ranked third among Sally League hitters with at least 80 plate appearances. He walked more than he struck out, despite being the third youngest hitter to spend the majority of his season in that league. In addition to an elite approach and hit tool, Soto projects to provide 30-plus homer power in his prime seasons, but he won't generate much value with his legs. Given how advanced his bat is, it would not be surprising if he were aggressively assigned to the Carolina League after just 23 games at Low-A. The ankle and hamate injuries seem flukey, so while it's obviously concerning that he couldn't stay healthy in his first full season, it would be a mistake to discount him too much. All the tools are here for Soto to finish the season as a top-five prospect.

While he has not yet played above short-season ball, Soto made too much noise with his bat last year to qualify as an under-the-radar target in dynasty league drafts. He was seen as an advanced hitter with above-average power potential when the Nationals signed him out of the Dominican Republic for $1.5 million in 2015. So far, Soto has delivered on that promise and then some. He slashed .368/.420/.553 with five home runs, five steals and a 29:17 K:BB in 51 games across stops in the Gulf Coast and New York-Penn leagues, all before turning 18. It is quite rare for a player with the potential for plus power to be showing off an excellent approach and a plus hit tool against professional pitching at an age when most players are between their junior and senior years of high school. Soto should be valued similarly to the top prospects from the 2016 draft class and could follow the same aggressive promotion pattern as organizational mate Victor Robles.

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