Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
25-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Los Angeles Dodgers
Out
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 3/15/2021
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Bellinger's first three seasons at the big-league level were statistically marvelous, and his 2019 MVP campaign set high expectations for his 2020 season. Fantasy veterans know that what goes up must come down a bit, but nobody projected the type of performance Bellinger posted in 2020 as his actual outcomes at the plate severely lagged his expected ones. His xBA was 45 points better than his actual one while his xSLG was 43 points better than his actual SLG. Bellinger was still accepting of his walks and kept his strikeouts in check, but he surprisingly struggled against fastballs with a .236 BA and .358 SLG. When we look to where the expected stats see a rebound, it is against the fastball as he had a .290 xBA and .471 xSLG on fastballs. Expecting a repeat of 2019 is aiming too high, but getting close to what he did in 2017 is not out of reach with his talents. Dual eligibility is a bonus too. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#16
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $16.1 million contract with the Dodgers in January of 2021.
Could see game action in mid-March
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
February 24, 2021
Bellinger (shoulder) expects to make his Cactus League debut in mid-March and projects to be ready for Opening Day, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
Manager Dave Roberts said Tuesday that Bellinger remains on track to be ready for Opening Day, and the center fielder reiterated that sentiment Wednesday. Bellinger isn't yet up to full speed to begin spring training after he underwent shoulder surgery in November, but there don't appear to be any concerns regarding his regular-season availability at the moment.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
10
23
4
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
4
5
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+43%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+29%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .800 512 61 26 76 11 .247 .338 .462
Since 2018vs Right .952 1015 175 57 144 24 .290 .383 .568
2020vs Left .597 74 9 2 7 1 .209 .284 .313
2020vs Right .854 160 22 9 22 5 .252 .350 .504
2019vs Left .982 228 36 18 44 5 .280 .386 .596
2019vs Right 1.061 433 85 29 71 10 .317 .416 .645
2018vs Left .681 210 16 6 25 5 .226 .305 .376
2018vs Right .880 422 68 19 51 9 .278 .363 .518
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+29%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .861 748 109 41 102 17 .258 .353 .508
Since 2018Away .944 787 129 43 119 18 .293 .384 .560
2020Home .731 113 15 3 9 1 .229 .345 .385
2020Away .836 130 18 9 21 5 .248 .323 .513
2019Home 1.052 328 60 27 61 10 .304 .402 .650
2019Away 1.018 332 61 20 54 5 .306 .410 .608
2018Home .707 307 34 11 32 6 .221 .303 .404
2018Away .915 325 50 14 44 8 .298 .382 .533
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Stat Review
How does Cody Bellinger compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.71
 
BB Rate
12.3%
 
K Rate
17.3%
 
BABIP
.245
 
ISO
.216
 
AVG
.239
 
OBP
.333
 
SLG
.455
 
OPS
.789
 
wOBA
.345
 
Exit Velocity
83.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.0%
 
Barrels/PA
8.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Cody Bellinger
Bernie on the Scene: NL West Analysis & Predictions
3 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff analyzes each team in the NL West with grades for each player and predictions for the division. How many games will the Dodgers win?
Rounding Third: Anti-Recency Bias Draft
3 days ago
Christian Yelich headlines the all Anti-Recency Bias squad that you could assemble, using NFBC ADP's as a guide to availability.
SXM Highlights: Bellinger's Shoulder Injury Is a Concern
8 days ago
Liss is concerned about Cody Bellinger's shoulder injury. Jeff does not care for his ADP (~15). They discuss.
The Z Files: Putting a Price on Multiple Eligibility
13 days ago
Todd Zola examines the added value provided by players eligible at multiple positions, such as Cavan Biggio, in different league formats.
Baseball Draft Kit: Player Values by Position
21 days ago
Jeff Erickson ranks the players at each position for the 2021 RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Guide.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
In his third season, Bellinger patched up some of the holes in his batting profile that had surfaced in 2018 and made the leap to superstardom. The NL MVP's production was mostly front-loaded -- he slashed .336/.432/.692 and slugged 30 of his homers in the first half -- but a refined plate approach was evident throughout. After posting an 0.45 BB/K between 2017 and 2018, Bellinger raised that mark to 0.88 in 2019, good for sixth among qualified hitters. He also turned in a .982 OPS versus lefties, a 200-point jump from his first two years. As if the big power numbers and improved contact rate weren't already enough, Bellinger added value by chipping in 15 steals and playing Gold Glove defense in right field. Bellinger's peak fantasy season might have already arrived, but since he won't turn 25 until July and is the centerpiece of a stacked Dodgers lineup, he'll be a reasonable top-five selection in drafts.
Big things were expected from Bellinger in his second season after he ran away with the NL Rookie of the Year award. He did steal four more bases than he did in 2017 -- albeit in 30 more games -- but his numbers declined in the other standard fantasy categories and all three rates in his slash line, even as he lowered his strikeout rate and improved his BB:K. Those improvements helped him hit .285 and post a .369 OBP after the All-Star break, but that came at the expense of even more power. He also struggled quite a bit against southpaws in year two, as his OPS dipped from .903 to just .681. Despite the overall decline, Bellinger is still a versatile fantasy option, able to play two positions and contribute across the board. The increases in the second half suggest some improvement in plate selection, and there’s plenty of reason to expect Bellinger -- who won’t turn 24 until July 13 -- to bounce back if he can find his power stroke again.
An injury to Adrian Gonzalez opened the door for Bellinger sooner than expected and Bellinger made the most of the opportunity. He finished second in the National League in home runs and tied for 13th in RBI despite spending the first three weeks of the season in the minors and later making a trip to the disabled list. He finished inside the top six in both ISO (.315) and hard-hit rate (43 percent), utilizing a violent uppercut swing to generate immense power. The 22-year-old endured some struggles in the postseason, finishing 4-for-28 with 17 strikeouts in the World Series, and there may be something to those struggles: Bellinger was routinely exploited on inside breaking balls. Perhaps that is a hole that will be exposed more moving forward, but we'll bet on Bellinger's talent and say he figures it out. Look for him to bat cleanup every day after posting a .903 OPS against left-handed pitching as a rookie.
With Corey Seager and Julio Urias both graduating last year, Bellinger now stands as the top prospect in the Dodgers' system. After getting off to a slow start in 2016, the 21-year-old first baseman finished with 26 home runs, slugging 19 of them from July 1 on. Bellinger ended the season with a surge, playing three games at Triple-A where he tallied three home runs and six RBI. The 6-foot-4, 210-pound Bellinger has a sweet left-handed power stroke, and he is athletic enough to play first base or the outfield. His final slash line for the 2016 campaign shows his impressive combination of power and plate discipline. Bellinger will begin the 2017 campaign at Triple-A. Adrian Gonzalez is signed through the 2018 season, so Bellinger's path would appear to be blocked in the short term, though his athleticism could allow him to get some at-bats in the outfield.
Though Corey Seager may have a beef with the voting, Bellinger was named the organization's Minor League Hitter of the Year. The 20-year-old batted .264/.336/.538 for High-A Rancho Cucamonga, a line that included 30 home runs and 103 RBI in addition to 10 stolen bases. As one can imagine by the relatively low batting average, Bellinger swung and missed a lot, fanning 150 times for a 27.6% K-rate, though he did draw a decent number of walks (52 in 128 games). Bellinger hit just three home runs in 51 games in 2014, so while the power spike is due in part to a very favorable hitting environment in the Cal League, the first baseman is clearly one of the organization's top prospects. He will be challenged by a promotion to Double-A this year where he'll be one of the league's younger players. Should Bellinger handle that level of pitching, we should see him on plenty of midseason top-100 prospect lists.
More Fantasy News
Remains on track for Opening Day
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
February 23, 2021
Bellinger (shoulder) remains on track to be ready for Opening Day according to manager Dave Roberts, Jorge Castillo of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nearing full strength
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
February 9, 2021
Bellinger (shoulder) is still limited but should be fully healthy by the start of the regular season, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
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Signs big one-year deal
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
January 15, 2021
Bellinger (shoulder) and the Dodgers avoided arbitration Friday by agreeing to a one-year, $16.1 million contract, Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Progressing well in recovery
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
December 17, 2020
Bellinger (shoulder) is healing well and has begun his recovery process, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Undergoes shoulder surgery
1BLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
November 17, 2020
Bellinger underwent surgery to repair his dislocated right shoulder Tuesday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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