Aaron Nola
30-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Nola shocked many when he decided to re-up with the Phillies for seven years rather than test the free agent waters in what was a lucrative market with multiple big market teams looking for pitching. Then again, Nola has pitched very well at Citizens Bank Ballpark over the years whereas his struggles have more recently been away from Philly. You may be surprised to learn that Nola pitched to a 3.29 ERA with 12 homers in 87.2 innings at home in 2023, but had a 5.43 ERA with 20 homers in 106 innings on the road last season. He is a rare bird in that he has not missed a single start since missing a handful of starts in the 2017 season and has pitched at least 180 innings in each of the past five full seasons. He has become rather stingy with walks in recent years while continuing to get 200+ strikeouts year after year. 2021 and 2023 have a familiar look to them and Nola absolutely has the ability to bounce back in 2024 as he did in 2022 while deciding to continue his career where it began. Read Past Outlooks
Inks seven-year deal with Philly
Nola and the Phillies agreed to a seven-year, $172 million contract Sunday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Phillies GM Dave Dombrowski indicated the organization's top priority this offseason was re-signing Nola, and the two sides didn't take long to come to terms on a long-term deal. The 30-year-old right-hander's 4.46 ERA in 2023 was a bit underwhelming, but he's been one of the more reliable pitchers in baseball over the past six years with at least 32 starts in each full season. He's also topped 200 strikeouts in each of those campaigns and appears poised to finish out his career in Philadelphia.
Phillies GM Dave Dombrowski indicated the organization's top priority this offseason was re-signing Nola, and the two sides didn't take long to come to terms on a long-term deal. The 30-year-old right-hander's 4.46 ERA in 2023 was a bit underwhelming, but he's been one of the more reliable pitchers in baseball over the past six years with at least 32 starts in each full season. He's also topped 200 strikeouts in each of those campaigns and appears poised to finish out his career in Philadelphia.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .219 | 199 | 43 | 154 | 24 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .239 | 238 | 31 | 192 | 27 | |||
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Left | .240 | 90 | 25 | 81 | 16 | |||
2023vs Right | .241 | 112 | 20 | 97 | 16 | |||
2022vs Left | .200 | 109 | 18 | 73 | 8 | |||
2022vs Right | .237 | 126 | 11 | 95 | 11 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-19%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.41 | 0.96 | 184.2 | 10.1 | 1.7 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.21 | 1.13 | 214.0 | 9.6 | 1.7 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 3.29 | 0.97 | 87.2 | 10.0 | 1.7 | ||||
2023Away | 5.43 | 1.30 | 106.0 | 8.9 | 2.4 | ||||
2022Home | 3.53 | 0.96 | 97.0 | 10.3 | 1.6 | ||||
2022Away | 3.00 | 0.96 | 108.0 | 10.3 | 1.0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Aaron Nola compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.49K/9
9.4BB/9
2.1HR/9
1.5Fastball
92.4 mphERA
4.46WHIP
1.15BABIP
.298GB/FB
1.38Left On Base
66.2%Exit Velocity
82.7 mphBarrels/BBE
5.0%Spin Rate
2286 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.7%Swinging Strike
12.2%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Aaron Nola See More
Even with a tough matchup against the Phillies in Citizens Bank Park on Opening Day, Spencer Strider takes the top spot in the first Weekly Pitcher Rankings of the year.
Jeff Erickson and Tim Schuler drew the 1.1 pick in their NFBC Main Event. How did they build their roster after selecting Ronald Acuña Jr.?
Injuries and signings have caused plenty of shifts in our rankings over the last two weeks, with Elly De La Cruz jumping up six spots due to teammates missing time.
Brad Johnson concludes his deep dive into pitching staffs with the National League East, where in Atlanta, Spencer Strider is at the top of his game.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Turns down more money
According to Jon Heyman of the New York Post, Nola turned down more money elsewhere to re-sign with the Phillies on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander agreed to a seven-year, $172 million pact with Philadelphia but apparently had more lucrative deals on the table. The contract includes full no-trade protection and no opt outs, per Bob Nightengale of USA Today, so Nola will remain with the Phillies for the duration of the deal unless he approves a trade.
The right-hander agreed to a seven-year, $172 million pact with Philadelphia but apparently had more lucrative deals on the table. The contract includes full no-trade protection and no opt outs, per Bob Nightengale of USA Today, so Nola will remain with the Phillies for the duration of the deal unless he approves a trade.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Last year's outlook hinted at the possibilities of a strong bounceback season for Nola, and that is indeed what came to be. Years ago, this was the type of pitcher you could get on the cheap coming off the type of season he had in 2021, but fantasy baseball managers are a smarter bunch these days and Nola had very little discount last winter and is likely to bounce right back to his previous draft status this winter. He has now posted a K-BB% greater than 20% for three consecutive seasons and four of the past five seasons and the new conditions of baseball manufacturing were a blessing to him as it pulled his HR/9 rate below 1.0 for the first time since the 2018 season. He has tweaked his pitch mix by throwing more hard stuff and dialing back on his changeup a bit as the league hit .319 off that offering this season. The only concern with Nola heading into 2023 is the fact he finished last year with 230 innings (playoffs included), which is unchartered waters for him as he has never pitched deep into October.
More Fantasy News
Works six scoreless in win
Nola allowed three hits over six scoreless innings to earn the win in Tuesday's 10-0 victory over the Diamondbacks in Game 2 of the NLCS. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Lining up for playoffs
Nola won't pitch again during the regular season and is expected to start Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Round next Wednesday, Scott Lauber of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Solid in no-decision
Nola did not factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing one run on four hits and no walks over 6.2 innings against the Pirates. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in quality start
Nola did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing two runs on six hits over six innings against Atlanta while not issuing any walks. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Yields three runs
Nola allowed three runs (two earned) on seven hits and a walk over 4.2 innings in Friday's win over the Cardinals. He struck out one and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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