Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
New York Yankees
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Regression was probably inevitable for Judge after he took the baseball world by storm as a rookie, but his 25-home run decline was harsher than most anticipated. The fractured wrist that sidelined Judge for nearly two months bears much of the blame, as his batted-ball profile otherwise revealed the outfielder performed like one of the game's top sluggers. For the second straight year, Judge lit up the Statcast leaderboards, ranking first in average exit velocity (94.8 mph) and hard-hit percentage (53.8%) and 20th in barrel rate (8.6 Brls/PA). Judge's thumping ways should regularly translate to high BABIPs, thereby giving him more batting-average stability than others who strike out as often as he does (career 31.6 K%). Further wrist issues would obviously affect Judge's outlook, but the fact that he ended 2018 on the field and didn't require a follow-up procedure over the winter indicates the Yankees are confident he'll anchor a talented lineup in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $622,300 contract with the Yankees in March of 2018.
Goes deep in season finale
OFNew York Yankees
September 30, 2019
Judge went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in a loss to the Rangers on Sunday.
Judge plated the Yankees' only run of the game with a 408-foot homer in the third inning. Injuries cost the 27-year-old two months of the campaign but Judge nonetheless finishes with 27 homers for the second straight season while his 5.4 WAR is just a tick below the 5.5 mark he established in 2018. He'll enter the postseason on a power surge as he went deep five times over his final 10 games.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
Since 2017vs Left 1.003 420 62 24 47 5 .276 .443 .560
Since 2017vs Right .962 1202 218 82 189 13 .280 .387 .575
2019vs Left 1.124 122 19 8 19 3 .343 .467 .657
2019vs Right .847 324 56 19 36 0 .247 .349 .498
2018vs Left .967 143 20 8 12 1 .261 .427 .541
2018vs Right .901 355 57 19 55 5 .285 .377 .523
2017vs Left .934 155 23 8 16 1 .230 .439 .496
2017vs Right 1.079 523 105 44 98 8 .298 .417 .662
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
OPS at Home
Even Split
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
Since 2017Home 1.097 801 162 62 141 11 .319 .439 .658
Since 2017Away .853 821 118 44 95 7 .241 .364 .489
2019Home .922 223 42 11 28 2 .294 .404 .519
2019Away .919 223 33 16 27 1 .251 .359 .560
2018Home 1.170 244 47 18 45 4 .352 .471 .699
2018Away .688 254 30 9 22 2 .212 .315 .373
2017Home 1.165 334 73 33 68 5 .312 .440 .725
2017Away .935 344 55 19 46 4 .256 .404 .531
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Stat Review
How does Aaron Judge compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB Rate
K Rate
Exit Velocity
95.7 mph
Hard Hit Rate
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Aaron Judge
FanDuel MLB: Saturday ALCS Breakdown
3 days ago
George Springer has three hits in the last two games and two homers in the series between the Astros and Yankees.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Showdown Picks
3 days ago
As it's unknown who will pitch and for how long, Mike Barner concentrates on the hitting side that includes a couple lower-priced options.
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Showdown Picks
5 days ago
Christopher Olson checks in with his insights for Game 4 of the ALCS in New York on Thursday.
FanDuel MLB: Thursday ALCS Breakdown
5 days ago
FanDuel's ALCS Game 4 contest is headlined by dueling pitchers Masahiro Tanaka and Zack Greinke. Sasha Yodashkin takes a spin through the best picks for DFS lineups.
Games Played By Position: 2020 Eligibility Notes
6 days ago
Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
After a disappointing debut in 2016, Judge exploded for 52 home runs, finishing second in the AL MVP voting and arguably becoming the new face of baseball. He ranked first or second in most traditional hitting categories and modern technology confirmed what was obvious to the naked eye: Judge crushed the ball. He finished first in the majors in barrel rate (12.8 Brls/PA) and second among qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (45.3 percent). While Judge still struck out at a relatively high clip (30.7 percent), he made significant improvement in that regard from the previous season and trailed only Joey Votto in walk rate (18.7 percent). While his batting average could fade as he sees a heavier dose of breaking pitches, we've already seen enough to safely say Judge will be at least a three-category stud for many years to come. He underwent arthroscopic surgery on his shoulder in November, but is expected to be a full go for the start of spring training.
Long viewed as one of the top prospects in the Yankees system, Judge got a chance to make his major league debut last season. Following the trade deadline departure of Carlos Beltran, the 6-foot-7, 275-pound Judge was immediately inserted into an everyday role in right field. After smacking 19 home runs in the minors, Judge got off to a terrific start in the majors with homers in his first two games while hitting over .300 in his first week, but a lot of worrisome issues cropped up after that. The 24-year-old struck out at an alarming 44.2 percent clip and ended up hitting just .179 before a Grade 2 oblique strain ended his season. While his elite raw power was never questioned in the minors, he had some seasons where he posted strikeout rates above 25 percent, and the worry was always that big league pitching would be able to exploit his size, resulting in low batting averages. That appears to be exactly what happened last season. Winning the starting right field job is all but guaranteed, and Judge could be a solid source of power, but the questions about his hit tool make this an extremely volatile profile.
Viewed as the top prospect in the Yankees' system, Judge will likely get his chance to make his big league debut in 2016. The 23-year-old has great raw power, helped in large part by his 6-foot-7, 230 pound frame, which he flashed en route to hitting 20 home runs across both Double-A and Triple-A in 2015. Though his average dipped after the promotion, Judge projects to be more than just a pure power hitter. Barring any offseason trades, the Yankees' outfield appears to be totally accounted for, with Carlos Beltran occupying Judge's natural right field spot for the 2016 season and Aaron Hicks available to spell him. In order to give Judge everyday playing time, the Yankees will likely have him spend the first half (if not the entire season) back at Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
At 6-foot-7, 230 pounds, Judge was understandably labeled a high-risk/high-reward proposition when he was drafted by the Yankees with the 32nd pick in the 2013 draft. Now, following an excellent first full season as a professional, the idea of Judge actualizing his immense potential is starting to look a lot more realistic. He has 80 raw power, which one might expect out of such a herculean specimen. But, somewhat surprisingly, he also had no problem hitting for average and getting on base in 131 games between Low-A and High-A. He split his time right down the middle between the two stops, and combined to post a .308/.419/.486 slash line with 17 home runs. There’s no doubt that more power will come in time, and by showing good on-base skills in 2014 he has earned the label of best position player prospect in the Yankees’ system. After capping his impressive debut season by putting on a show in the Arizona Fall League, few prospects will enter 2015 with more helium.
Judge, one of the Yankees' first-round picks in the 2013 draft, is a massive human being at 6-foot-7 and 255 pounds, but he has a good arm and moves around well enough that he should stick in the outfield. He has a short swing that hasn't yet generated much in-game power, so it seems likely that the Yankees will want to work with him on his mechanics to unleash some of that power potential. He'll make his pro debut in 2014, and may be brought along relatively slowly for an older bat drafted out of college.
More Fantasy News
Day off Friday
OFNew York Yankees
September 27, 2019
Judge will sit Friday against the Rangers, Erik Boland of Newsday reports.
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Goes deep again in win
OFNew York Yankees
September 23, 2019
Judge went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in a win over Toronto on Sunday.
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Hits majestic homer
OFNew York Yankees
September 20, 2019
Judge went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk during a 4-3 loss to the Blue Jays on Friday.
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Back in lineup as DH
OFNew York Yankees
September 20, 2019
Judge (shoulder) will serve as the designated hitter and bat second Friday against the Blue Jays.
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Sitting Thursday as precaution
OFNew York Yankees
September 19, 2019
Judge is out of Thursday's lineup as a precaution following him landing on his shoulder during a diving catch Wednesday, Lindsey Adler of The Athletic reports.
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