Collin McHugh
Collin McHugh
33-Year-Old PitcherRP
Boston Red Sox
Day-To-Day
Injury Elbow
2020 Fantasy Outlook
After dominating as a reliever in 2018, McHugh began last season in the starting rotation and notched a 1.96 ERA through four starts. Disaster struck in his fifth outing, however, as McHugh allowed nine earned runs in 3.1 innings, setting off a four-start stretch in which the right-hander posted an unsightly 12.00 ERA. The slump cost McHugh a spot in the rotation that he never reclaimed. As a reliever, McHugh was mostly effective, though he battled elbow issues throughout the season and was shut down for good at the end of August. Overall, the veteran posted solid strikeout numbers (25.9 K%), but his home-run rate (1.45 HR/9) nearly doubled and his walk rate (9.5%) set a career high. McHugh will hit free agency in the offseason and is likely to covet a chance to start. He's enjoyed success in that role in the past, but he'll be a risky investment considering his elbow troubles and inconsistency last season. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $600,000 contract with the Red Sox in March of 2020. Contract contains an additional $3.63 million in incentives.
Ready for mound work
PBoston Red Sox
Elbow
June 29, 2020
Red Sox manager Ron Roenicke said that McHugh (elbow) will be ready to throw bullpen sessions when the team opens "summer camp" Friday, Jason Mastrodonato of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
McHugh hasn't yet had the chance to throw in front of the Red Sox staff after not signing with the organization until early March before MLB suspended its season less than two weeks later. He's been slow to recover from the tenex procedure he required in his right elbow late in 2019, as he didn't even initiate a throwing program until early April. Roenicke indicated that the Red Sox will see how he looks during bullpen sessions before gauging his availability for Opening Day and determining whether he's a better fit in the rotation or in the bullpen.
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Pitching Stats
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2019
2018
2017
2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
37
Last 10 Games
22
Last 5 Games
25
How many pitches does Collin McHugh generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Collin McHugh generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-34%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-41%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .229 405 104 41 82 25 1 11
Since 2017vs Right .206 466 134 30 87 24 2 14
2019vs Left .174 152 45 18 23 6 1 6
2019vs Right .264 165 37 12 39 13 1 6
2018vs Left .228 129 36 13 26 8 0 3
2018vs Right .135 154 58 8 19 1 1 3
2017vs Left .295 124 23 10 33 11 0 2
2017vs Right .218 147 39 10 29 10 0 5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-37%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-83%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 2.58 1.09 94.1 8 2 0 10.6 3.2 1.0
Since 2017Away 4.11 1.18 116.0 7 7 0 9.9 2.9 1.1
2019Home 3.92 1.33 39.0 2 2 0 10.6 5.1 1.6
2019Away 5.55 1.12 35.2 2 3 0 9.1 2.0 1.3
2018Home 2.14 0.74 33.2 4 0 0 12.8 1.6 0.8
2018Away 1.86 1.06 38.2 2 2 0 10.7 3.5 0.7
2017Home 0.83 1.20 21.2 2 0 0 7.1 2.5 0.4
2017Away 4.97 1.34 41.2 3 2 0 9.7 3.0 1.3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Collin McHugh compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.73
 
K/9
9.9
 
BB/9
3.6
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
90.8 mph
 
ERA
4.70
 
WHIP
1.23
 
BABIP
.280
 
GB/FB
1.15
 
Left On Base
67.8%
 
Exit Velocity
88.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.5%
 
Spin Rate
2536 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
29.9%
 
Swinging Strike
11.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Collin McHugh
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The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Three
50 days ago
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53 days ago
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Mound Musings: Life, the Universe and Everything
91 days ago
Brad Johnson outlines things on which he focuses when comparing pitchers for his teams, and in Notable Rotation Ramblings, he notes that Shohei Ohtani should be ready to pitch when the season resumes.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
McHugh is probably the best starting pitcher who didn't make a single start last season. After McHugh turned in four straight years with a FIP under 4.00, the Astros, with their embarrassment of riches on the pitching side, moved McHugh to the bullpen in 2018. He excelled there to the tune of a 1.99 ERA in 72.1 innings. Notably, his strikeout rate spiked from 22.9% to 33.2% thanks to a small velocity bump and increased slider usage, while he held his walk rate steady at 7.4%. He'd likely give back some of those gains should he return to a starting role, but starting would mean more innings, more strikeouts and more chances at wins. McHugh is talented enough to remain a fantasy factor even if he remains in the bullpen, as he can help anchor your ratios.
McHugh's 2017 campaign got off to an ominous start as an early-spring dead arm turned into a right elbow impingement, delaying his debut until July 22. He started 12 contests, providing a timely shot in the arm to the Astros over the second half. McHugh's numbers were an improvement over his disappointing 2016, in part due to allowing only seven homers in 63.1 innings. He also significantly improved versus right-handed batters (.694 OPS against in 2017 versus .777 in 2016), incorporating a slider to complement the cutter he throws versus lefties. McHugh's career 22 percent strikeout rate and seven percent walk rate are both better than league average, portending success if he can continue minimizing homers. McHugh will contend for a spot in a crowded Astros rotation, but the acquisition of Gerrit Cole probably means he'll start the season working out of the bullpen like he did during the 2017 postseason. Unless his role is clarified in the spring, don't pay for more than 125-130 innings.
Those who bought in on McHugh in 2016 were left mostly disappointed as he turned in damaging ratios along with modest totals in wins and strikeouts. However, it was not a disastrous season by any means, and he in fact improved in several areas, most notably with his strikeout rate (22.2 percent) -- a rebound supported by his third straight season with a swinging-strike rate north of 10 percent. Unfortunately, a pair of disastrous outings (13 combined earned runs over the span of two innings) marred his overall numbers. He threw roughly 20 fewer innings than he did in 2015 despite making one additional start as manager A.J. Hinch was quick to give him the hook on his off nights. Home runs were a problem (25 allowed), but an improvement there in 2017 could return McHugh to mixed-league prominence. While there is some uncertainty at the back of the Houston rotation, McHugh should be secure in his role entering spring training.
After a 2014 breakout that put him in the AL Rookie of the Year conversation, McHugh entered last season with an assured rotation spot with the Astros. The 28-year-old picked up right where he left off, going 3-0 with a 2.92 ERA in April before suffering his first loss of the season on May 12. McHugh wasn't at his best from May through July, but a strong August (1.89 ERA) and four wins in September attributed to solid numbers overall, as he finished 19-7 with a 3.89 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 171:53 K:BB ratio over 203.2 innings. While his 19 wins were tied for third-best in the majors, his strikeout rate (7.6 K/9) dipped slightly, but that may be attributed to less use of his curveball and slider. The right-hander will open 2016 in the upper half of Houston's rotation after earning his first postseason victory with a win over the Royals in Game 1 of the ALDS.
McHugh opened 2014 in the minors after a disastrous spring (14.29 ERA), but he received a quick call from Houston when Scott Feldman's injury opened up a spot in the rotation. Once he arrived, he never looked back, going 11-9 with a 2.73 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 157:41 K:BB in 154.2 innings (25 starts). His curveball and slider were particularly effective, attributing to a career-best 9.1 K/9 ratio. McHugh's impressive season put him in the AL Rookie of the Year conversation, and while he didn't win the award, he definitely assured himself a spot in the Astros' starting rotation to open 2015.
The fifth spot in the Rockies' rotation was a continual trouble spot throughout the second half of the season, and McHugh was arguably the worst of those who filled the role, going 0-3 with a 9.95 ERA in his three starts. Despite his quality minor league numbers, McHugh has been abysmal over his 47 innings in the big leagues, with his strikeout rate bottoming out and an inability to avoid the long ball proving to be his biggest pitfalls. McHugh will compete for an Opening Day roster spot, in a role to be determined, with the Astros during spring training after being claimed off waivers in December.
McHugh held his own after a promotion to Triple-A Buffalo last season, carrying a 70:29 K:BB and finding a way to retire hitters without an overpowering arsenal. After throwing 129 innings between two levels in 2011, McHugh was likely out of gas by the time he broke through to the big leagues, having already logged 148.1 innings over 25 starts between Binghamton and Buffalo. If there are any openings in the rotation when the season begins, McHugh figures to be in the mix to handle a temporary spot as the team's fifth starter, but he will have to fend off Jeremy Hefner and youngsters Jenrry Mejia, Jeurys Familia and Zack Wheeler to keep that spot.
More Fantasy News
May be ready for Opening Day
PBoston Red Sox
Elbow
June 24, 2020
Chief baseball officer Chaim Bloom said Wednesday that McHugh (elbow) is "doing well" and could potentially be ready for the start of the shortened season, Bill Koch of The Providence Journal reports.
ANALYSIS
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Working through throwing program
PBoston Red Sox
Elbow
May 6, 2020
McHugh (elbow) said Wednesday that he's about a month into his throwing program and has been pleased with the progress he's made thus far, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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Building arm strength
PBoston Red Sox
Elbow
April 18, 2020
McHugh (elbow) continues to build arm strength in advance of an eventual throwing program, Rob Bradford of WEEI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not throwing yet
PBoston Red Sox
Elbow
March 31, 2020
Red Sox general manager Chaim Bloom said Monday that McHugh (elbow) has yet to begin a throwing program, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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Won't be ready for start of season
PBoston Red Sox
Elbow
March 5, 2020
McHugh (elbow), who signed a one-year contract with the Red Sox on Thursday, has yet to begin a throwing program this spring and will likely open the season on the 15-day injured list, Pete Abraham of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
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