Jackie Bradley Jr.
Jackie Bradley Jr.
28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Boston Red Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Bradley has been a below-league-average hitter in real life the past two years, but he's remained a viable fantasy option thanks to his plus contributions in two categories and worthwhile totals in two others. The only place where he's a real drain is batting average -- he has fallen below .250 in three of the last four seasons. That mark fell all the way to .234 in 2018 as his strikeout rate jumped to 25.6% and his line against lefties plummeted to .185/.260/.303 (from .276/.361/.405). Those numbers against same-handed pitching leave open a good deal of platoon risk, but to this point the Red Sox have been content to sacrifice a bit of offense for Bradley's world-class defense in center field. It's worked out pretty well for them so far. On the basepaths, Bradley swiped a career-high 17 bases last season and was only caught once, so another double-digit total seems likely for the soon-to-be 29-year-old. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $8.55 million contract with the Red Sox in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Bat cooling down
OFBoston Red Sox
March 18, 2019
Bradley went 0-for-2 with a walk in Monday's 4-1 loss to the Twins in Grapefruit League play.
Bradley opened the spring with multi-hit efforts in two of his first three starts, but he's gone just 2-for-22 at the dish since the calendar flipped to March. His downward-trending offense won't impact his status as the Red Sox's everyday center fielder, though the 28-year-old will likely be ticketed for a spot near the bottom of the batting order in most games he starts.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
Since 2016vs Left .668 446 57 8 43 5 .236 .312 .356
Since 2016vs Right .797 1266 171 48 166 29 .255 .336 .461
2018vs Left .562 131 18 2 8 2 .185 .260 .303
2018vs Right .768 404 58 11 51 15 .251 .332 .437
2017vs Left .766 133 12 3 18 1 .276 .361 .405
2017vs Right .713 408 46 14 45 7 .235 .311 .402
2016vs Left .673 182 27 3 17 2 .244 .313 .360
2016vs Right .902 454 67 23 70 7 .277 .363 .538
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
OPS at Home
OPS at Home
OPS on Road
OPS at Home
Since 2016Home .785 855 113 22 107 19 .267 .346 .439
Since 2016Away .742 857 115 34 102 15 .232 .314 .428
2018Home .793 259 43 4 32 11 .277 .351 .442
2018Away .645 276 33 9 27 6 .193 .279 .366
2017Home .647 273 26 6 26 5 .219 .304 .343
2017Away .806 268 32 11 37 3 .271 .343 .463
2016Home .895 323 44 12 49 3 .299 .378 .518
2016Away .772 313 50 14 38 6 .234 .319 .453
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Stat Review
How does Jackie Bradley Jr. compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Bradley’s elite defense in center field afforded him an everyday role in 2017, but the 27-year-old disappointed from a fantasy standpoint after he was unable to consistently display the burgeoning power he had shown the previous two seasons. It looked as though Bradley was trending toward a career-best campaign after providing an .853 OPS and 26 extra-base knocks in the first half, but much like 2016, his performance crashed after the All-Star break, as his OPS fell nearly 300 points while his walk and strikeout rates both veered sharply in the wrong direction. The vast disparity of those two halves makes Bradley a difficult player to project in 2018, but if his track record is any indication, he’ll offer stretches of both All-Star-caliber production and utter incompetence at the plate. If Bradley resembles the player he was in the second half of last season early on in 2018, his defense might not be enough to regularly keep him in the lineup with Andrew Benintendi capable of sliding over to center field when needed.
Thanks to a torrid finish to the 2015 campaign, Bradley was afforded a full-time spot in the Red Sox's outfield heading into 2016. The 26-year-old batted north of .300 for much of the first half while clobbering 14 home runs, 22 doubles and six triples en route to his first All-Star appearance. Unfortunately, it was a tale of two halves, as his production tapered off significantly following the All-Star break. In 73 second-half contests, his batting average sunk to a measly .233 mark while he averaged a strikeout per game. He also stole just two bases over the final three months. Bradley's defensive prowess and monster first half has him sitting pretty in the organization, although his history of extended slumps is keeping him from becoming a fantasy standout. If he can cut down on the strikeouts, Bradley could shine even more.
Bradley, a well-regarded defender at a premium position, never came close to being a credible offensive threat in 530 plate appearances from 2013-2014 (.196/.269/.280). He put in a lot of offseason work on his swing, but didn't have a spot on the major league roster to start the 2015 season. Bradley hit well and was an on-base machine at Triple-A Pawtucket, but the Red Sox didn't seem convinced he was ready for Boston, despite obvious problems in their outfield. He had a brief callup in June and finally got a steady opportunity when the flailing Red Sox parted with Shane Victorino at the trade deadline. Bradley then posted a monster 25-game stretch from Aug. 9 to Sept. 7 (.446/.489/.952) to resurrect his career and put himself in the picture for 2016. He needs to prove he can remove the peaks and valleys at the plate, but the Red Sox are clearing the deck for Bradley by experimenting with Hanley Ramirez at first base.
Bradley, once a top prospect in the organization, has lost a lot of that prospect sheen. His struggles at the major-league level in 2013 and 2014 prompt serious doubts as to whether he can be a full-time starter on a team. Last season, he had a couple of good stretches offensively, but was largely lost at the plate and had historically bad offensive numbers. What kept him in the major leagues so long was his peerless outfield defense. Fascinatingly, Bradley was a finalist for the Gold Glove in center field despite playing only 105 games. Acquisitions (Hanley Ramirez, Allen Craig, Rusney Castillo) and in-house moves (Mookie Betts, Brock Holt) have crowded the outfield, which at this point suggests Bradley will open the season at Triple-A Pawtucket where he can work on finding his swing, but he may also be a trade target for teams seeking a defensive upgrade in center field.
Bradley was a big topic in Boston during spring training, when he strafed the ball during preseason games, earning a spot on the Opening Day roster. However, he didn't fare well once he faced big league pitchers regularly and was soon back at Triple-A Pawtucket. Because it was a level at which he'd never played, the year was one of adjustments for Bradley. He played well for the PawSox, improving his batting average, on-base percentage, slugging and OPS from the previous year at Double-A Portland. Where all this leaves Bradley entering the 2014 season is uncertain, but with Jacoby Ellsbury moving on to New York, Bradley could land on the roster as the starting center fielder and leadoff hitter.
The Red Sox certainly liked Bradley when the organization drafted him in 2011, but his first full season of professional baseball in 2012 showed he was much more advanced than imagined. He was an on-base machine at High-A Salem (.480) and Double-A Portland (.373) while showing a bit more power (nine homers, 42 extra-base hits) at this stage than expected. There was some average drop off after his promotion, so we would like to see if he can maintain as a .300 hitter for a full season at the advanced levels. He was already considered above-average defensively, so the development of his offense so early is a nice omen for his baseball future. He is right behind Xander Bogaerts in terms of the organization's prospect rankings.
Bradley fell to the supplemental round of the 2011 draft due largely to a tendon injury in his wrist that suppressed his production during his junior season at the University of South Carolina. Still on the lean side, the Red Sox feel he can develop some power. He needs to cover the plate better and work on not overextending his swing in order to become the plus hitter for average they feel he can be. Bradley's considered polished defensively and projects to remain a center fielder going forward. Look for him to start the season at Low-A Greenville.
More Fantasy News
Stays hot
OFBoston Red Sox
March 1, 2019
Bradley went 3-for-3 with an RBI and a run scored in Thursday's game against the Nationals.
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Homers again Wednesday
OFBoston Red Sox
February 27, 2019
Bradley went 2-for-3 with a solo homer in Wednesday's loss to the Orioles.
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Reaches agreement with Boston
OFBoston Red Sox
January 11, 2019
Bradley signed a one-year, $8.55 million contract with the Red Sox on Friday, avoiding arbitration, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
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Held out again for Game 5
OFBoston Red Sox
October 28, 2018
Bradley is not in the lineup for Game 5 of the World Series against the Dodgers on Sunday, Evan Drellich of NBC Sports Boston reports.
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Held out of lineup for Game 4
OFBoston Red Sox
October 27, 2018
Bradley is not in the lineup for Game 4 of the World Series against the Red Sox on Saturday, Jason Mastrodonato of the Boston Herald reports.
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