Greg Holland
Greg Holland
33-Year-Old PitcherRP
Arizona Diamondbacks
2019 Fantasy Outlook
When the Cardinals gave Holland $15 million on a one-year deal, it was the most recent test of the "there is no such thing as a bad one-year deal" rule. There were enough statistical warning flags that should have scared off most teams, but the Cardinals found themselves backed into a corner and needing the ever-dreaded "proven closer." The experience went as poorly as statistically predicted. Holland has a 5.23 ERA and 1.52 WHIP since the 2017 All-Star break, and has yet somehow compiled 16 saves. Couple his recent numbers with his decreased velocity and spotty command and you have a recipe for disaster should another team fall for the veteran closer trap in 2019. There are many more relievers with better skills that should get a chance before another team allows this reputation another shot at the closer role. Game over, man. Game over. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a one-year, $3.5 million contract with the Diamondbacks in January of 2019.
Blows first save
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 8, 2019
Holland allowed a run on two hits and a walk while striking out one in Wednesday's 3-2 extra-innings win over the Rays.
ANALYSIS
Holland had a chance to close out the game in regulation but allowed a game-tying run in the bottom of the ninth inning after getting the first two batters out. It was his first blown save in nine opportunities and the second straight game in which he's allowed a run.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-34%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-79%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-24%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-32%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .162 255 77 44 34 8 1 2
Since 2017vs Right .245 256 62 24 56 6 3 8
2019vs Left .042 28 10 4 1 0 0 0
2019vs Right .200 36 12 6 6 2 0 1
2018vs Left .205 100 24 21 16 4 1 0
2018vs Right .270 112 23 11 27 1 2 2
2017vs Left .157 127 43 19 17 4 0 2
2017vs Right .232 108 27 7 23 3 1 5
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-61%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-62%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 2.73 1.09 62.2 6 6 20 10.9 4.5 0.6
Since 2017Away 4.89 1.58 57.0 0 2 32 9.9 5.8 0.9
2019Home 1.00 0.78 9.0 1 0 2 11.0 5.0 1.0
2019Away 2.57 1.43 7.0 0 0 6 14.1 6.4 0.0
2018Home 2.63 1.08 24.0 2 2 1 9.8 4.9 0.0
2018Away 6.85 2.19 22.1 0 0 2 8.5 7.7 0.8
2017Home 3.34 1.18 29.2 3 4 17 11.8 3.9 0.9
2017Away 3.90 1.12 27.2 0 2 24 10.1 4.2 1.3
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Stat Review
How does Greg Holland compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.20
 
K/9
12.4
 
BB/9
5.6
 
HR/9
0.6
 
Fastball
92.2 mph
 
ERA
1.69
 
WHIP
1.06
 
BABIP
.206
 
GB/FB
1.56
 
Left On Base
89.7%
 
Exit Velocity
87.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.1%
 
Spin Rate
2208 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.9%
 
Swinging Strike
14.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Greg Holland
Collette Calls: Did New Pitches Make the Team?
43 days ago
Jason Collette surveys hurlers like Jordan Zimmermann who added pitches to their repertoires this spring to see if those new offerings made it to the regular season.
Mound Musings: Who Are These Guys?
50 days ago
Brad Johnson examines whether new pitchers like Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes, whose values are often unknown, can help fantasy players achieve the optimal pitching staff.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
53 days ago
Erik Halterman highlights players trending up, and those trending down, including reliever Josh Hader, who could have a huge season if he keeps the closer job for the Brewers.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
54 days ago
Erik Halterman reviews the top available NL picks, with an aging closer in Arizona and a rising star at Citi Field leading the list.
Mound Musings: Endgame Odyssey Update
57 days ago
Brad Johnson updates potential pitching opportunities and reviews bullpens with continued question marks, including where free agent Craig Kimbrel could land.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
The Rockies took a chance on Holland as a free agent following a 2016 campaign that he lost due to recovery from Tommy John surgery. During the first half, he looked like one of the game's elite closers again, fanning batters at a 33.3 percent clip and posting a 1.64 ERA while holding opposing hitters to a meager .159/.264/.259 line. Holland went through a stretch in August where he was hammered by the opposition, posting a 13.50 ERA in 9.1 innings while his strikeout rate plummeted (16.3 percent) and he had issues with walks (12.5 percent) and home runs (3.86 HR/9). He recovered in September (32.4 percent K%) despite a slight drop in velocity. Holland proved capable of pitching half of his games at Coors Field, carrying a 3.34 ERA at home compared to a 3.90 mark on the road. Overall, his return was a success as he pitched well enough to trigger the vesting option in his contract, but Holland opted for free agency in hopes of landing a multi-year deal this winter.
While Holland has 319.2 innings and 145 saves under his belt, he's an unknown commodity at this time. We haven't seen the 31-year-old in well over a year, since he underwent Tommy John surgery in October of 2015. What we do know second-hand is that Holland was sitting between 88-91 mph with his fastball during a recent showcase -- significantly lower than his 95.5 mph career average -- but most scouts emerged feeling confident about his health. The general expectation is that Holland will be ready for spring training, but after signing with the Rockies on a one-year pact, he'll likely have to settle for a setup role to begin the season. Holland's experience in the ninth inning should lead itself to future save opportunities if he returns to something close to his old self, but until he can supplant Adam Ottavino for save opportunities, he'll make for a risky investment.
After back-to-back All-Star appearances and 45-plus save seasons, Holland had a down year in 2015 by his standards, likely tied to injury issues. His season ended on Sept. 22 when the team shut him down and he eventually decided to have Tommy John surgery in early October. This will likely keep the All-Star closer out for a majority of the 2016 season.
Holland was one of the elite fantasy baseball closers for the second season in a row, as the right-hander collected 46 saves in 2014, which was second to only Fernando Rodney's mark of 48 in the American League. He also provided support in other categories, striking out 90 batters to go along with a 1.44 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. Even though the Royals have several options in their bullpen that would make exceptional closers, Holland is their guy, and there's little reason to think otherwise heading into 2015. He's still on the better side of 30 years old, and his 2014 average fastball velocity of 95.8 mph was an exact match with his career average. Holland also possesses a devastating slider that he deploys frequently, and although he used a split-fingered fastball on just 2.3% of his pitches last season, it remains a weapon in his arsenal that can catch hitters off guard. He's one of the safest ninth-inning options in AL-only formats, and is arguably a top-five closer in mixed leagues.
While Holland looked impressive during the latter half of the 2012 season after finally being handed the closer's job, his 2013 campaign looked even better. The season opened a bit on the rocky side, but after the first few weeks, he settled down and proceeded to dominate hitters in outstanding fashion. His 47 saves ranked second in the majors and his 13.8 K/9 and 103 strikeouts over 70.1 innings each ranked second among qualified relievers. Add in a 5.72 K/BB and you certainly have all the ammunition needed to claim that Holland was indeed the best closer in baseball last year. Armed with a mid-90s fastball and a high-80s slider, Holland will continue to close for the Royals in 2014 and should be one of the first relievers off the board in most drafts.
With Joakim Soria out for the season, Holland was prepared to open the year competing for the team's vacant closer role. After a shaky start, Holland was diagnosed with a rib stress fracture and landed on the DL for a month towards the end of April. His return was impressive as he went on to post a 2.16 ERA with 46 strikeouts over 33.1 innings, earning him the closer job after the July 31 trade deadline. He continued to dominate out of the bullpen and by the end of the year, was 7-4 with 16 saves, a 2.96 ERA and 91 strikeouts over 67 innings. Even more impressive was the uptick in velocity he saw as his fastball was regularly clocked at 96 mph. He will open the 2013 season as the Royals' closer and should prove to be a valuable fantasy asset.
Holland was arguably the best pitcher on the Royals' roster in 2011 and has shown the potential to be a closer at some point down the road. Perhaps most impressive, in his 46 appearances last season, he only had one outing where he allowed two runs or more and even then, he struck out four of the nine batters he faced. A large part of his success is due to his slider, which graded out as the best in the game last season among all relievers by some metrics. With Jonathan Broxton now in the mix, it will be tougher for Holland to factor into late-game situations, but his stuff is good enough to make him relevant no matter what his role in 2012.
The obvious contribution Holland makes is in the strikeout department. He has posted a career 9.6 K/9IP mark in more than 200 career minor league innings and whiffed 11 batters per nine during his brief major league debut last season. Those strikeouts are nice, but a high walk rate does a lot to negate its influence. Look for Holland to see action in low-leverage situations, at least initially, if he makes the Opening Day roster.
More Fantasy News
Records eighth save
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 4, 2019
Holland picked up the save against the Rockies on Friday, giving up one earned run on one hit over his one inning of work to lock down a 10-9 victory for the Diamondbacks. He had two strikeouts and two walks.
ANALYSIS
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Secures another save
PArizona Diamondbacks
May 1, 2019
Holland earned his seventh save of the season by issuing one walk in a scoreless ninth inning to close out Wednesday's 3-2 win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Notches sixth save
PArizona Diamondbacks
April 30, 2019
Holland struck out one in a perfect ninth inning Tuesday to record his sixth save of the season in a 3-1 win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Nails down fifth save
PArizona Diamondbacks
April 23, 2019
Holland allowed one walk and recorded a strikeout Tuesday against the Pirates en route to his fifth save of the season.
ANALYSIS
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Records fourth save
PArizona Diamondbacks
April 17, 2019
Holland allowed one hit and struck out two in a scoreless inning of work to record his fourth save of the season Wednesday against the Braves.
ANALYSIS
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